Many such events are known and have been reported for the Mediterranean, a region where high - frequency
occurrences of these extreme events coincides with some of the most densely populated coastal areas in the world.
«There is strong evidence that changing
occurrences of extreme events are related to climate change, and that such changes will continue with further climate change,» the group writes.
Additionally, Nassim Taleb, in his now famous work The Black Swan discussed the disconnect between traditional statistical measures (such as standard deviation) and
the occurrence of extreme events
We have begun a study of the variability of temperature, and the rate of
occurrence of extreme events.
The occurrence of extreme events requires careful analysis.
Not exact matches
The Raising Risk Awareness project seeks to assess the contribution
of anthropogenic climate change and other external drivers (e.g.» El Niño») to the
occurrence of extreme weather
events in developing countries in East Africa and South East Asia, and identify how such information could help to bridge the science - communications policy gap, and enable these countries and communities to become more climate resilient.
Increasing atmospheric concentrations
of carbon dioxide do not only cause global warming, but probably also trigger increased
occurrences of extreme weather
events such as long - lasting droughts, heat - waves, heavy rainfall
events or
extreme storms.
In increasing order
of suddenness, there are what you might call «steady - state» impacts such as rising sea levels; increased separation
of weather into more concentrated wet periods and dry periods; and a greater
occurrence of extreme weather
events such as hurricanes, floods, heatwaves and droughts.
A high
occurrence of new record -
events is an indication
of a change in the «tails»
of the frequency distribution and thus that values that in the past were considered
extreme are becoming more common.
However, there have been some good scientific studies indicating that the
occurrence of extreme climate
events might have increased as a result
of climate change.
Climate modelling with improved resolutions has demonstrated the capability to diagnose the probability
of occurrence of short - term
extreme events under global warming (Meehl et al., 2007).
Concurrent
Events: Dowdy and Catto's (2017) storm /
extreme weather analysis found: «The highest risk
of extreme precipitation and
extreme wind speeds is found to be associated with a triple storm type characterized by concurrent cyclone, front and thunderstorm
occurrences.»
Understanding the role
of human emissions in the
occurrence of such
extreme fire
events can lend insight into how these
events might change in the future.
The result would be «more
occurrences of devastating weather
events and more frequent swings
of opposite
extremes from one year to the next, with profound socio - economic consequences.»
Many
of us are witness to increasingly «freak»
occurrences like floods, storms, drought and other
extreme weather
events.
The study concludes that an increase in «super La Ninas» will mean «more
occurrences of devastating weather
events, and more frequent swings
of opposite
extremes from one year to the next, with profound socio - economic consequences.»
By the end
of this century the projections show that the intensified wind impacts
of strong El Niño and La Niña
events are likely to double the frequency
of extreme sea level
occurrences, especially in the tropical southwestern Pacific.
«Climate variability refers to variations in the mean state and other statistics (such as standard deviations, the
occurrence of extremes, etc.)
of the climate on all temporal and spatial scales beyond that
of individual weather
events.
Extreme weather attribution is however an emerging and rapidly advancing science, and there is increasing capacity to estimate the change in magnitude and
occurrence of specific types
of extreme events in a warming world.
The Raising Risk Awareness project seeks to assess the contribution
of anthropogenic climate change and other external drivers (e.g.» El Niño») to the
occurrence of extreme weather
events in developing countries in East Africa and South East Asia, and identify how such information could help to bridge the science - communications policy gap, and enable these countries and communities to become more climate resilient.
Global food production and food security are threatened by the greater variability
of the climate and increasing
occurrence of extreme weather
events.
This report discusses our current understanding
of the mechanisms that link declines in Arctic sea ice cover, loss
of high - latitude snow cover, changes in Arctic - region energy fluxes, atmospheric circulation patterns, and the
occurrence of extreme weather
events; possible implications
of more severe loss
of summer Arctic sea ice upon weather patterns at lower latitudes; major gaps in our understanding, and observational and / or modeling efforts that are needed to fill those gaps; and current opportunities and limitations for using Arctic sea ice predictions to assess the risk
of temperature / precipitation anomalies and
extreme weather
events over northern continents.
This project generated important knowledge on how the vulnerability
of agriculture could be reduced and how the buffering ability and resilience could be improved with regard to climate change, climate variability, and changes in the
occurrence and strength
of extreme weather
events.
These simulations are used to determine the extent to which the risk
of occurrence of extreme weather
events is attributable to human - induced climate change.
Therefore attribution is a key aspect
of the understanding
of climate change risks, many
of which are associated with the
occurrence of extreme weather or climate
events.
But, as far as what we can expect from the IPCC and what the consensus science is, climate change is likely to lead to increased
occurrences and intensity
of extreme weather
events like heavy rainfall, droughts, warm spells, storm surges, heat waves and sea level rise.
All forcings (anthropogenic and natural, ALL) are necessary to explain the
occurrence of SIE
events more
extreme than the current record minima (2012 for Sep., 2015 for Mar.), but not yet sufficient.
Climate change is not only warming, it is mostly the escalating
occurrence of extreme weather
events.
The ones I've read about (here in Realclimate, mostly) seem to find that global warming is resulting in a modest increase in the likelihood
of occurrence of specific
extreme events.
The SREX clearly found a major increase in heat waves and
extreme precipitation
events, and in order to adapt to these
occurrences, the intensity and frequency
of which is likely to increase, it would be essential to take in hand urgently certain low regrets measures.
Many impacts
of climate change will be realised as the result
of a change in the frequency
of occurrence of extreme weather
events such as windstorms, tornados, hail, heatwaves, gales, heavy precipitation or
extreme temperatures over a few hours to several days.