Glacial cycles (ice ages) are set in motion by (1) periodic wobbles in the tilt of the Earth's rotation, (2) changes in the tilt of its axis, and (3) the shape of its orbit
occurring over tens of thousands of years.
Not exact matches
«There must have been regional climate and chemical conditions that varied in time and space,» he says, adding that this would
occur as the tilt
of Mars's spin axis changed
over tens of thousands of years, a wobble caused by the lack
of a massive moon to stabilise the planet.
Processes that have historically altered the face
of the planet, like cycles in the Earth's orbit around the Sun or shifts in continental tectonic plates,
occur over tens of thousands to millions
of years.
Reality: Whilst there are many areas
of interesting research with respect to the glacial - interglacial cycles
of the Quaternary, we have a good understanding
of the primary drivers i.e. orbital variations
occurring over cycles
of tens of thousands of years.
Problem being that the huge influx
of anthropogenic CO2 has pretty much overwhelmed this negative feedback process as it
occurs over thousands and
tens of thousands of years, and we'll have doubled CO2 in just a few hundred
years.
Only one
of the past «Big Five» mass extinctions (the dinosaur extinction event at the end
of the Cretaceous) is thought to have
occurred as rapidly as would be the case if currently observed extinctions rates were to continue at their present high rate (Alvarez et al., 1980; Barnosky et al., 2011; Robertson et al., 2004; Schulte et al., 2010), but the minimal span
of time
over which past mass extinctions actually took place is impossible to determine, because geological dating typically has error bars
of tens of thousands to hundreds
of thousands of years.
Surely what matters are (i) the effects on future generations
over tens of thousands of years if runaway warming
of several C is allowed to
occur (ii) loss
of biodiversity forever (iii) effects on developing world in our lifetime as well as beyond.