Not exact matches
Donald Hunten of the Lunar
and Planetary Laboratory at the University of Arizona at Tucson claims to know the answer: His
observations of falling particles in Titan's
atmosphere indicate that the putative
ocean consists of a solid pile of «smust.»
The collection of larger than usual amounts of Arctic winter weather data in 2015 was due to two reasons: the Norwegian research vessel Lance was in the Arctic
Ocean observing
and collecting upper
atmosphere meteorological data,
and the frequency of
observation and data collection was increased at some of the land - based
observation stations around the Arctic.
Suomi NPP's job is to collect environmental
observations of
atmosphere,
ocean and land for both NOAA's weather
and oceanography operational missions
and NASA's research mission to continue the long - term climate record to better understand Earth's climate
and long - term trends.
«If this conclusion is confirmed by future
observations, it would mean that the coastal
ocean will become more
and more efficient at removing carbon dioxide from the
atmosphere,» said Goulven Lurallue, the paper's lead author
and a researcher with Université Libre de Bruxelles in Belgium.
Researchers carry out innovative basic
and applied research programs in coral reef biology, ecology,
and geology; fish biology, ecology,
and conservation; shark
and billfish ecology; fisheries science; deep - sea organismal biology
and ecology; invertebrate
and vertebrate genomics, genetics, molecular ecology,
and evolution; microbiology; biodiversity;
observation and modeling of large - scale
ocean circulation, coastal dynamics,
and ocean atmosphere coupling; benthic habitat mapping; biodiversity; histology;
and calcification.
Field
observations of microbes recovered from deep drill cores, deep mines,
and the
ocean floor, coupled with laboratory investigations, reveal that microbial life can exist at conditions of extreme temperatures (to above 110ºC)
and pressures (to > 10,000
atmospheres) previous thought impossible.
By combining the
ocean heating rates, TOA
observations (figure 4)
and other energy storage terms (land,
atmosphere warming
and ice melt), the authors calculated Earth's energy imbalance from January 2001 - December 2010 to be 0.5 (± 0.43) W / m2.
Ocean scientists plan to maintain their observations over months and years to study how the Earth, ocean, and atmosphere evolve and inte
Ocean scientists plan to maintain their
observations over months
and years to study how the Earth,
ocean, and atmosphere evolve and inte
ocean,
and atmosphere evolve
and interact.
The decrease over the last 20 years is well substantiated by
observation and is indistinguishable from the calculated decline assuming that the surface
ocean is in near thermodynamic equilibrium with increasing CO2 concentration of the
atmosphere.
However, comparison of the global, annual mean time series of near - surface temperature (approximately 0 to 5 m depth) from this analysis
and the corresponding SST series based on a subset of the International Comprehensive
Ocean -
Atmosphere Data Set (ICOADS) database (approximately 134 million SST
observations; Smith
and Reynolds, 2003
and additional data) shows a high correlation (r = 0.96) for the period 1955 to 2005.
There is a significant component of «synoptic» variability in the
ocean as well (eddies etc.)
and so while the variation is less than in the
atmosphere, for many areas there aren't / weren't sufficient independent
observations to be sure of the mean values.
Summary for Policymakers Chapter 1: Introduction Chapter 2:
Observations:
Atmosphere and Surface Chapter 3:
Observations:
Ocean Chapter 4:
Observations: Cryosphere Chapter 5: Information from Paleoclimate Archives Chapter 6: Carbon
and Other Biogeochemical Cycles Chapter 7: Clouds
and Aerosols Chapter 8: Anthropogenic
and Natural Radiative Forcing Chapter 8 Supplement Chapter 9: Evaluation of Climate Models Chapter 10: Detection
and Attribution of Climate Change: from Global to Regional Chapter 11: Near - term Climate Change: Projections
and Predictability Chapter 12: Long - term Climate Change: Projections, Commitments
and Irreversibility Chapter 13: Sea Level Change Chapter 14: Climate Phenomena
and their Relevance for Future Regional Climate Change Chapter 14 Supplement Technical Summary
This suggestion of an accelerated warming in a deep layer of the
ocean has been suggested mostly on the basis of results from reanalyses of different types (that is, numerical simulations of the
ocean and atmosphere that are forced to fit
observations in some manner).
The empirical
observations made in
atmosphere,
oceans, ice sheets
and on biosphere have been important in this process.
Ocean -
atmosphere interactions in
observations, theory,
and models.
Evaluating
ocean and atmospheric observations with advanced modeling tools, scientists from NOAA and CIRES found that about 60 percent of 2016's record warmth was caused by record - low sea ice observed that year, and the ensuing transfer of ocean heat to the atmosphere across wide expanses of ice - free or barely frozen Arctic O
ocean and atmospheric
observations with advanced modeling tools, scientists from NOAA
and CIRES found that about 60 percent of 2016's record warmth was caused by record - low sea ice observed that year,
and the ensuing transfer of
ocean heat to the atmosphere across wide expanses of ice - free or barely frozen Arctic O
ocean heat to the
atmosphere across wide expanses of ice - free or barely frozen Arctic
OceanOcean.
It is a state of the art long - range forecast system using
ocean,
atmosphere, ice
and land data
observations to initiate outlooks up to nine months ahead.
Also, you may not be aware that the International Comprehensive
Ocean Atmosphere Data Set (ICOADS, www.icoads.gov) ingests all of the marine
observations and is used in all reanalyses.
However, comparison of the global, annual mean time series of near - surface temperature (approximately 0 to 5 m depth) from this analysis
and the corresponding SST series based on a subset of the International Comprehensive
Ocean -
Atmosphere Data Set (ICOADS) database (approximately 134 million SST
observations; Smith
and Reynolds, 2003
and additional data) shows a high correlation (r = 0.96) for the period 1955 to 2005.
Here a simple biologically
and physically - based model of sapflow potential is used to assess observed changes in sapflow across the Northeastern US from 1980 to 2006; document the correspondence between these
observations and independent downscaled
atmosphere ocean general circulation model (AOGCM) simulations of conditions during this period;
and quantify changes in sapflow potential through 2100.
«Observational evidence of decadal change in cloud cover is seen in a 2009 study by Amy Clements
and colleagues using surface
observation of clouds from the Comprehensive
Ocean Atmosphere Data Set (COADS).
That was compared to real world
observations of quantities
and isotope changes in
atmosphere and the
oceans mixed layer.
SHEBA
observations of the evolution of temperature over the course of winter within the
atmosphere (red), at the snow surface (black), at the top of the sea ice (green),
and at the
ocean surface beneath the sea ice (blue).
As the lead time shortens, there is more opportunity for heuristic forecasts based on persistence or
observations of the current state of the
atmosphere and ocean.
«Assessing Impacts of PBL
and Surface Layer Schemes in Simulating the Surface —
Atmosphere Interactions
and Precipitation over the Tropical
Ocean Using
Observations from AMIE / DYNAMO.»
The point is that this
observation is not very relevant if the outcome comes from a combination of relevant
and persistently warming data from areas where the temperature is strongly correlated with increase in the heat content of
oceans,
atmosphere and continental topmost layers,
and almost totally irrelevant data from areas
and seasons where
and when exceptionally great natural variability of surface temperatures makes these temperatures essentially irrelevant for the determination of longterm trends.
Critcisms of the energy budget model approach are that it is sensitive to uncertainties in
observations and doesn't account for slow feedbacks between the
atmosphere, deep
oceans and ice sheets.
Ocean scientists would like to sustain their observations over months and years to see how the Earth, ocean, and atmosphere ev
Ocean scientists would like to sustain their
observations over months
and years to see how the Earth,
ocean, and atmosphere ev
ocean,
and atmosphere evolve.
Three scientific panels, reporting to the Steering Committee, were established to define the
observations needed in each of the main global domains (
atmosphere,
oceans and land), to prepare specific programme elements
and to make recommendations for implementation:
This time period is too short to signify a change in the warming trend, as climate trends are measured over periods of decades, not years.12, 29,30,31,32 Such decade - long slowdowns or even reversals in trend have occurred before in the global instrumental record (for example, 1900 - 1910
and 1940 - 1950; see Figure 2.2), including three decade - long periods since 1970, each followed by a sharp temperature rise.33 Nonetheless, satellite
and ocean observations indicate that the Earth -
atmosphere climate system has continued to gain heat energy.34
The global
ocean temperature analysis is primarily based on buoy and ship observations from the International Comprehensive Ocean Atmosphere Dataset (ICOADS), while monthly data updates come from the Global Telecommunications System (
ocean temperature analysis is primarily based on buoy
and ship
observations from the International Comprehensive
Ocean Atmosphere Dataset (ICOADS), while monthly data updates come from the Global Telecommunications System (
Ocean Atmosphere Dataset (ICOADS), while monthly data updates come from the Global Telecommunications System (GTS).
The widespread change detected in temperature
observations of the surface, free
atmosphere and ocean, together with consistent evidence of change in other parts of the climate system, strengthens the conclusion that greenhouse gas forcing is the dominant cause of warming during the past several decades.
These
and other
observations can be integrated into a model with feedbacks
and having two unstable end ‐ points that is consistent both with classical studies of past climate states,
and also with recent analysis of ice dynamics in the Arctic basin by Zhakarov, whose oscillatory model identifies feedback mechanisms in
atmosphere and ocean, both positive and negative, that interact in such a manner as to prevent long ‐ term trends in either ice ‐ loss or ice ‐ gain on the Arctic Ocean to proceed to an ultimate s
ocean, both positive
and negative, that interact in such a manner as to prevent long ‐ term trends in either ice ‐ loss or ice ‐ gain on the Arctic
Ocean to proceed to an ultimate s
Ocean to proceed to an ultimate state.
The SST data used here comprise over 80 million
observations from the UK Main Marine Data Bank, the United States Comprehensive
Ocean Atmosphere Data Set (COADS)
and recent information telecommunicated from ships
and buoys from the World Weather Watch.
If the whole policy issues did not exist, the
ocean -
atmosphere - climate physics realm is pretty good from for the scientific methodological perspective (consistent progress in
observation, theory
and modeling).
Fair enough — except that US continental spot
observations is the wrong place
and method to look for changes in cloud associated with
ocean and atmosphere regimes.
However, in August 2015, the US Coast Guard with additional support from agencies such as the Office of Naval Research
and NOAA carried out a ground breaking
atmosphere - ice -
ocean observation flight to the North Pole.
Compared with observed atmospheric
and ocean warming, the hindcasts tracked the
observations best in both
atmosphere and ocean for a pCO2 - doubling, climate sensitivity of 2.5 K.
Develop interagency
and international support for year - round, coordinated
atmosphere, sea - ice,
and ocean observations in the sea - ice environment of the central Arctic Basin.
http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/assessment-report/ar4/wg1/ar4-wg1-chapter9.pdf The widespread change detected in temperature
observations of the surface (Sections 9.4.1, 9.4.2, 9.4.3), free
atmosphere (Section 9.4.4)
and ocean (Section 9.5.1), together with consistent evidence of change in other parts of the climate system (Section 9.5), strengthens the conclusion that greenhouse gas forcing is the dominant cause of warming during the past several decades.
I can't possibly take seriously any discussion which hinges on this commonly number that the earth is 33C warmer than it would be sans
ocean and atmosphere when it appears to be 5C smaller than experimental
observations.
-- First we increase the greenhouse gases — then that causes warming in the
atmosphere and oceans — as the
oceans warm up, they evaporate more H2O — more moisture in the air means more precipitation (rain, snow)-- the southern hemisphere is essentially lots of water
and a really big ice cube in the middle called Antarctica — land ice is different than sea ice — climate models indicated that more snowfall would cause increases in the frozen H2O — climate models indicated that there would be initial increases in sea ice extent —
observations confirm the indications
and expectations that precipitation is increasing, calving rates are accelerating
and sea ice extent is increasing.
The analysis involved a brand new
ocean analysis (ORAS4; Balmaseda et al., 2013) based on an optimal use of
observations, data assimilation,
and an
ocean model forced with state - of - the - art description of the
atmosphere (reanalyses).
While the climate system is very complex,
observations have shown that our formulation of the physics of the
atmosphere and oceans is largely correct,
and ever improving.
What they did was constrain the Community Earth System Model with known ECS of 4.1 C (very high) to
observations of global temperature
and two different estimates of
ocean heat uptake in combination with an
ocean model coupled to an
atmosphere model to represent natural internal variability.
J. Le Marshall, «The Use of Global AIRS Hyperspectral
Observations in Numerical Weather Prediction,» 11th Symposium on Integrated Observing
and Assimilation Systems for the
Atmosphere,
Oceans,
and Land Surface, 87th American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting, San Antonio, Texas, January 15 - 18, 2007, available at http://ams.confex.com/ams/pdfpapers/119660.pdf.
The important
observation is that there is an imbalance between the
ocean and the
atmosphere.
In the Metzl et al paper for example (your link above),
Ocean -
atmosphere fluxes differ wildly between models
and observations (more than 5 GTc / month, ie 60 Gt / y,)
and measurements are made on short periods (less than a decade).