As you can see in Figure 1, natural land and
ocean carbon remains roughly in balance and have done so for a long time — and we know this because we can measure historic levels of CO2 in the atmosphere both directly (in ice cores) and indirectly (through proxies).
Not exact matches
That's because the
carbon dioxide
remains trapped in the atmosphere — much of it lingers a millennium later — pumping more and more energy into the
ocean.
«While it has long been suggested that the PETM was caused by injection of
carbon into the atmosphere and
ocean, the mechanism has
remained elusive until now,» Ridgwell said.
When the creatures that eat the plankton die, their shells and organic
remains fall to the
ocean floor, sequestering
carbon in the deep water and sediments.
As a result — and for reasons that
remain unexplained — the waters of the Southern
Ocean may have begun to release
carbon dioxide, enough to raise concentrations in the atmosphere by more than 100 parts per million over millennia — roughly equivalent to the rise in the last 200 years.
When phytoplankton die, their
carbon - based bodies sink to the
ocean floor, where they can
remain for millions of years.
Even if all greenhouse emissions were to stop today, atmospheric
carbon dioxide will
remain high for millennia, and
ocean surface temperatures will stay elevated even longer, a new study predicts.
«Of the
carbon dioxide human beings put into the atmosphere from the burning of fossil fuels and deforestation,» Berry says, «roughly a third
remains in the atmosphere, a third goes into terrestrial ecosystems, and a third goes into the
ocean.»
When
carbon is emitted by human activities into the atmosphere it is generally thought that about half
remains in the atmosphere and the remainder is stored in the
oceans and on land.
(Either way, the chance is very small that a
carbon atom in the
ocean will be incorporated into organic matter or chemically combined with a carbonate cation to form calcium carbonate that will end up sequestered in sediments, where it might
remain for hundreds of millions of years.)
The findings give scientists a better handle on the earth's
carbon budget — how much
carbon remains in the atmosphere as CO2, contributing to global warming, and how much gets stored in the land or
ocean in other
carbon - containing forms.
They exchanged ideas for more joint approaches as island nations dependent on tourism, and they all agreed on the need for long - haul tourism destinations such as the Caribbean islands and the Indian
Ocean Vanilla Islands to work together to continue to lobby against the UK
Carbon Tax, which is working against the continued consolidation of tourism as an industry for these island nations who have worked tirelessly and made sacrifices to protect their environment which is today compensating the
carbon emission from the developed world who are today imposing a
carbon tax that is affecting tourism and travel, the industry that
remains their main industry.
But HFCs
remain a small contributor to meeting the grand challenge of stabilizing climate, with many centuries of heating of the climate and
oceans being driven predominantly by the unrelenting buildup of long - lasting
carbon dioxide, as Raymond Pierrehumbert of Oxford University and others have shown.
We're strip - mining the
oceans of biomass with industrial efficiency; soon, only jellyfish and anaerobic algae will
remain to sink
carbon in the emptied, acidified
oceans.
Funny how difficult it is for him and his fellow denialati to look at 1) where that
carbon came from 2) its isotopic composition 3) the fact that it takes a while for permafrost to melt and
oceans to become a source rather than a sink 4) the fact that humans are producing about 2x as much
carbon as is going into the atmosphere 5) the
remaining CO2 is acidifying the
oceans
The
carbon balance shows that terrestrial biomass and soil nets an extra 3 Gt C per year, so only 60 - 70 % of emissions
remain, ~ 6 Gt C, as ghg's and
ocean acidifying H2CO3.
While the characteristic time scales of the deep
oceans, the cryosphere, and the
carbon cycle are much longer, the fact
remains that these problems are to all appearances separable.
Best evidence is that the
oceans remain a net
carbon sink.
In other words, about 40 % (174/441.5) of the additional
carbon has
remained in the atmosphere, while the
remaining 60 % has been transferred to the
oceans and terrestrial biosphere.
It is the primary mechanism whereby heat and dissolved
carbon in surface water is transported down to the
ocean depths, where they may
remain for a thousand years or more.
«The real elephant in the room is
carbon dioxide, which
remains in the atmosphere for thousands of years and in the
oceans for even longer.
The rest of the huge
remaining tonnages of plant - based
carbon are diffused through the
oceans, the forests, the grasslands and the soil.
It maintained that «the biggest source of CO2 by far is the
oceans» (they
remain a net
carbon sink).
Because of these restraints the
oceans locally can release only a small part of the total dissolved
carbon dioxide and, more importantly, when averaged over a year the amount released equals the amount dissolved, i.e. there is not net addition of
carbon dioxide to the atmosphere from the
oceans so long as the temperature averaged over a year
remains constant from year to year.
At the beginning of MIS 16, CO2
remains below 180 p.p.m.v. for 3 kyr, most probably reflecting more pronounced glacial
carbon storage in the
ocean.
At the end of the 100 - year simulation, only 46 % of sequestered
carbon injected at 1000 meters
remained within the Southern
Ocean, and only 56 % in the 2000 meter experiment;
Despite this, I think a lot of
carbon will
remain on the
ocean floor until it is subducted and eventually out gassed by a volcano.
John Everett, a former scientist with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration who's now a consultant on
ocean issues, told the subcommittee that the
oceans will
remain alkaline even as they absorb more
carbon dioxide.
«[The research] demonstrates that proposed technological solutions, like CDR, to the problems of global warming and
ocean acidification are no substitute for reducing
carbon emissions, which
remains the safest and most reliable path for avoiding dangerous climate change.»
Even if we could re-establish the atmospheric
carbon dioxide concentration, the deep
ocean would
remain acidified for many centuries.»
Each of these components, C1, C2 and C3, is then associated with some fraction of the emissions into the atmosphere, E, and a particular removal mechanism: where b3 (= 0.1) is a fixed constant representing the Revelle buffer factor, and b1 is a fixed constant such that b1 + b3 = 0.3 [11]; b1 represents the fraction of atmospheric CO2 that would
remain in the atmosphere following an injection of
carbon in the absence of the equilibrium response and
ocean advection; b0 represents an adjustable time constant, the inverse of which is of order 200 years.
While the historical performance of
ocean models can be benchmarked against global inventories of
ocean carbon, only recently have equivalently robust global estimates been developed for some components of land
carbon storage (Saatchi et al 2011) and soils, the largest reservoir,
remains very sparsely sampled.
It
remains a bit speculative just what they are, but there are a number of plausible mechanisms: outgassing from warming
ocean waters,
carbon released from warming soils, methane from thawing permafrost, methane from clathrates in
ocean sediment.
Although higher concentrations of
carbon dioxide reduce the pH of the
ocean to some degree, it still
remains slightly alkaline; pH values range from 8.2 (in the Norwegian Sea of the North Atlantic) to 7.9 (in the Eastern Pacific and Arabian Sea)[Doney 2006].
Up until now, 29 per cent of human emissions of
carbon dioxide has been taken up by the
oceans, 28 per cent has been absorbed by plant growth on land, and the
remaining 43 per cent has accumulated in the atmosphere.
The changing temperature and chemistry of the Arctic
Ocean and Bering Sea are likely changing their role in global ocean circulation and as carbon sinks for atmospheric CO2 respectively, although the importance of these changes in the global carbon budget remains unreso
Ocean and Bering Sea are likely changing their role in global
ocean circulation and as carbon sinks for atmospheric CO2 respectively, although the importance of these changes in the global carbon budget remains unreso
ocean circulation and as
carbon sinks for atmospheric CO2 respectively, although the importance of these changes in the global
carbon budget
remains unresolved.
A fraction of this
carbon is released as CO2 by rivers and lakes to the atmosphere, a fraction is buried in freshwater organic sediments and the
remaining amount (~ 0.9 PgC / year) is delivered by rivers to the coastal
ocean.
However, current understanding suggests that, unless substantial
ocean circulation changes occur, plankton growth
remains roughly unchanged because it is limited mostly by environmental factors, such as nutrients and light, and not by the availability of inorganic
carbon it does not contribute significantly to the
ocean uptake of anthropogenic CO2.
But when it comes to «the other
carbon problem,»
ocean acidification, the discussion
remains stuck between steps 1 and 2.
The effects of this marked shift in westerly winds are already being seen today, triggering warm and salty water to be drawn up from the deep
ocean, melting large sections of the Antarctic ice sheet with unknown consequences for future sea level rise while the ability of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current to soak up heat and
carbon from the atmosphere
remains deeply uncertain.
Though «climate denial starts at the top,» the New York Times» Coral Davenport wrote in March, it was trickling down into a variety of high - influence position: Vice President Mike Pence, who once called global warming a «myth» disproved by the fact that his home state once had a cold winter; then - senior advisor Steve Bannon, whose news site Breitbart
remains one of the top destinations for climate misinformation; Environmental Protection Agency Administrator Scott Pruitt, who believes
carbon dioxide is not a «primary contributor» to global warming; and Department of Energy Secretary Rick Perry, who believes the same myth, saying in June, «No, most likely the primary control knob is the
ocean waters and this environment that we live in.»
Where the missing
carbon is going [
carbon sinks are still hard to quantify precisely, and the whether the
oceans are losing their ability to draw down CO2
remains equivocal (and distorted by the deniers); better monitoring and accounting systems are being developed to address this critical uncertainty]
From the formula, we can see that the
carbon footprint area is essentially calculated by dividing total anthropogenic
carbon emissions
remaining after accounting for
ocean uptake (i.e., 72 % of net human emissions) by the rate at which existing forests sequester
carbon.
The Statement also highlighted that long - term indicators of climate change such as increasing
carbon dioxide concentrations, sea level rise and
ocean acidification continue «unabated», with Arctic sea ice coverage
remaining below average and the previously stable Antarctic sea ice extent at or near a record low.
Figure 7.14 shows how uncertainties in the sensitivities of
ocean and land
carbon processes contribute to uncertainties in the fraction of emissions that
remain in the atmosphere.
• Climate change alone will tend to suppress both land and
ocean carbon uptake, increasing the fraction of anthropogenic CO2 emissions that
remain airborne and producing a positive feedback to climate change.
The test «will show how plankton reacts to the addition of iron, what quantity of phytoplankton forms, how much CO2 is fixed - absorbed -, what percentage of
carbon remains in the system, and how much
carbon is sunk in the depths of the
ocean,» Bathmann explained to Tierramà © rica.
Trillions of tons of
carbon remain locked up in reservoirs in vegetation,
oceans, and fossil fuels.
In a high -
carbon environment, it seems safe to presume that (a) more of the surface area of the
oceans would be above 80f, and (b) these areas would
remain above 80f for a greater portion of each year.
The lack of attention to water - vapour and cloudiness led to criticisms of crudeness, and again the matter of the
ocean absorbing the extra gas was raised in objection to Plass» suggestion that the extra
carbon dioxide would
remain in the atmosphere for a thousand years.