The work supports the Laboratory's Global Security mission area and the Information, Science, and Technology science pillar through enhanced
ocean model components of global climate simulations.
Not exact matches
The
ocean's carbon cycle is a vital
component of climate
models.
The researchers developed a novel approach to the issue by using climate data from the IPCC and directly
modeling all of the
components that cause flooding at the coast including, waves, tides, winds blowing over the surface of the
ocean and estuaries, precipitation, and stream flow.
This corresponds in scope (not un-coincidentally) to the atmospheric
component of General Circulation
Models (GCMs) coupled to (at least) a mixed - layer
ocean.
development of a regional scale earth system
model that includes coupling WRF with other earth system
components such as
ocean, sea ice, land surface hydrology, ecosystem, and chemistry; and
CESM is a fully - coupled Earth System
model, meaning all
components of the Earth (atmosphere, land,
ocean and cryosphere) «talk» to each other in the
model.
ECCO
model - data syntheses are being used to quantify the
ocean's role in the global carbon cycle, to understand the recent evolution of the polar
oceans, to monitor time - evolving heat, water, and chemical exchanges within and between different
components of the Earth system, and for many other science applications.
It belongs to the class of ice -
ocean models that have
components for the sea ice and the
ocean, but no interactive atmosphere.
This corresponds in scope (not un-coincidentally) to the atmospheric
component of General Circulation
Models (GCMs) coupled to (at least) a mixed - layer
ocean.
[Response: At the dawn of coupled
modelling, errors that arose in separate developments of
ocean and atmospheric
models lead to significant inconsistencies between the fluxes that each
component needed from the other, and the ones they were getting.
Additional simulations used a hierarchy of coupled
ocean - atmosphere
models combining different atmosphere and
ocean components.
Abstract: «The patterns of time / space changes in near - surface temperature due to the separate forcing
components are simulated with a coupled atmosphere —
ocean general circulation
model»
Anav A., P. Friedlingstein, M. Kidston, L. Bopp, P. Ciais, P. Cox, C. Jones, M. Jung, R. Myneni, and Z. Zhu, 2013: Evaluating the Land and
Ocean Components of the Global Carbon Cycle in the CMIP5 Earth System
Models.
Coverage includes original paleoclimatic, diagnostic, analytical and numerical
modeling research on the structure and behavior of the atmosphere,
oceans, cryosphere, biomass and land surface as interacting
components of the dynamics of global climate.
When
ocean models were first coupled to atmospheric
models well over a quarter century ago, systematic errors in each
component near their interface led to sizeable drift and unrealistic climate simulations.
The role of the Indian
Ocean, the stationarity of teleconnections, the determination of the leader ocean basin in driving decadal variability, the anthropogenic role, the reduction of the model rainfall spread, and the improvement of some model components are among the most important remaining questions that continue to be the focus of current international proj
Ocean, the stationarity of teleconnections, the determination of the leader
ocean basin in driving decadal variability, the anthropogenic role, the reduction of the model rainfall spread, and the improvement of some model components are among the most important remaining questions that continue to be the focus of current international proj
ocean basin in driving decadal variability, the anthropogenic role, the reduction of the
model rainfall spread, and the improvement of some
model components are among the most important remaining questions that continue to be the focus of current international projects.
Climate
models are like weather
models for the atmosphere and land, except they have to additionally predict the
ocean currents, sea - ice changes, include seasonal vegetation effects, possibly even predict vegetation changes, include aerosols and possibly atmospheric chemistry, so they are not like weather
models after all, except for the atmospheric dynamics, land surface, and cloud / precipitation
component.
And once again we're using the
model mean because it represents the forced
component of the climate
models; that is, if the forcings used by the climate
models were what caused the surfaces of the
oceans to warm, the
model mean best represents how the
ocean surfaces would warm in response to those forcings.
«The authors write that North Pacific Decadal Variability (NPDV) «is a key
component in predictability studies of both regional and global climate change,»... they emphasize that given the links between both the PDO and the NPGO with global climate, the accurate characterization and the degree of predictability of these two modes in coupled climate
models is an important «open question in climate dynamics» that needs to be addressed... report that
model - derived «temporal and spatial statistics of the North Pacific
Ocean modes exhibit significant discrepancies from observations in their twentieth - century climate... conclude that «for implications on future climate change, the coupled climate
models show no consensus on projected future changes in frequency of either the first or second leading pattern of North Pacific SST anomalies,» and they say that «the lack of a consensus in changes in either mode also affects confidence in projected changes in the overlying atmospheric circulation.»»
While the historical performance of
ocean models can be benchmarked against global inventories of
ocean carbon, only recently have equivalently robust global estimates been developed for some
components of land carbon storage (Saatchi et al 2011) and soils, the largest reservoir, remains very sparsely sampled.
Research teams had previously studied the Permian extinction with more limited computer
models that focused on a single
component of Earth's climate system, such as the
ocean.
MOM3, MOM4, and MOM5 are used as a code base for the
ocean component of the GFDL coupled
models used in the IPCC assessment reports, including the GFDL CM2.X physical climate
model series and the ESM2M Earth System M
model series and the ESM2M Earth System
ModelModel.
Among the dynamic
models, 9 are fully - coupled (with sea ice,
ocean and atmosphere
components) and 5 are ice -
ocean only.
Following the trend in global
modelling, RCMs are increasingly coupled interactively with other
components of the climate system, such as regional
ocean and sea ice (e.g., Bailey and Lynch 2000; Döscher et al., 2002; Rinke et al., 2003; Bailey et al., 2004; Meier et al., 2004; Sasaki et al., 2006a), hydrology, and with interactive vegetation (Gao and Yu, 1998; Xue et al., 2000).
The 60 level
ocean model is coupled with the sea - ice
component and uses a horizontal resolution of approximately 3 ° with a displaced North Pole.
Earth System
Models are mathematical descriptions of the real world at the cutting edge of understanding how our planet works and the links between the main
components of the
oceans, vegetation, ice and desert, gases in the atmosphere, and the carbon cycle, as well as numerous other
components.
Our approach has been to develop two
models with different
ocean dynamical / physical cores while keeping all other
components the same in order to test the sensitivity of our results to our assumptions inherent in our
ocean configuration.
How many distinct
ocean components are there is the 20 +
models in AR5.
I don't need to explain it for my
Model to remain valid.The concept of
ocean outgassing in response to more sunlight is a useful add on but not an integral
component because I do not ascribe significant climate forcing to that CO2.
Thus, predictions of future trajectories of pH in coastal ecosystems are still highly uncertain even though
model predictions can provide reliable predictions for the future trajectories of open -
ocean pH and, thereby, the open -
ocean end - member affecting coastal pH. Moreover, we argue that even the expectation that the
component of coastal pH change associated with OA from anthropogenic CO2 will follow the same pattern as that in the open
ocean is not necessarily supported.
We examine the annular mode within each hemisphere (defined here as the leading empirical orthogonal function and principal
component of hemispheric sea level pressure) as simulated by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change Fourth Assessment Report ensembles of coupled
ocean - atmosphere
models.
However, global
model projections have coarse resolution, with grid cell sizes of 200 × 200 km or more, reflecting limitations of the
ocean GCM
component of global coupled climate and
ocean circulation — biogeochemical
models.
The HadGEM3 family of climate
models represents the third generation of HadGEM configurations and includes the NEMO
ocean model and CICE sea - ice
model components.
A mismatch between them can arise from a mis - specification of any of these
components and climate science is full of examples where reported mismatches ended up being due to problems in the observations or forcing functions rather than the
models (ice age tropical
ocean temperatures, the MSU records etc.).
The ability of
models to simulate
ocean heat uptake, including variations imposed by large volcanic eruptions, adds confidence to their use in assessing the global energy budget and simulating the thermal
component of sea level rise.
RealClimate is wonderful, and an excellent source of reliable information.As I've said before, methane is an extremely dangerous
component to global warming.Comment # 20 is correct.There is a sharp melting point to frozen methane.A huge increase in the release of methane could happen within the next 50 years.At what point in the Earth's temperature rise and the rise of co2 would a huge methane melt occur?No one has answered that definitive issue.If I ask you all at what point would huge amounts of extra methane start melting, i.e at what temperature rise of the
ocean near the Artic methane ice deposits would the methane melt, or at what point in the rise of co2 concentrations in the atmosphere would the methane melt, I believe that no one could currently tell me the actual answer as to where the sharp melting point exists.Of course, once that tipping point has been reached, and billions of tons of methane outgass from what had been locked stores of methane, locked away for an eternity, it is exactly the same as the burning of stored fossil fuels which have been stored for an eternity as well.And even though methane does not have as long a life as co2, while it is around in the air it can cause other tipping points, i.e. permafrost melting, to arrive much sooner.I will reiterate what I've said before on this and other sites.Methane is a hugely underreported, underestimated risk.How about RealClimate attempts to
model exactly what would happen to other tipping points, such as the melting permafrost, if indeed a huge increase in the melting of the methal hydrate ice WERE to occur within the next 50 years.My amateur guess is that the huge, albeit temporary, increase in methane over even three or four decades might push other relevent tipping points to arrive much, much, sooner than they normally would, thereby vastly incresing negative feedback mechanisms.We KNOW that quick, huge, changes occured in the Earth's climate in the past.See other relevent posts in the past from Realclimate.Climate often does not change slowly, but undergoes huge, quick, changes periodically, due to negative feedbacks accumulating, and tipping the climate to a quick change.Why should the danger from huge potential methane releases be vievwed with any less trepidation?
«the simulations described here as «GM - CORR» utilise a correction to the Gent - McWilliams parameterisation in the
ocean component of the coupled climate
model.
2, 3 The climate
model component is a two - dimensional (zonally averaged)
model that reproduces the behavior of coupled atmosphere -
ocean general circulation
models (AOGCMs).
Called ModelE, it provides the ability to simulate many different configurations of Earth System
Models — including interactive atmospheric chemistry, aerosols, carbon cycle and other tracers, as well as the standard atmosphere,
ocean, sea ice and land surface
components.
ESM2G is unique among for a global climate
model, in that its
ocean component employs an isopycnal - coordinate, in contrast to most global climate
models, which use z - coordinate
ocean components.
Use the calculated fluxes to force the surface
component of a climate
model (without the atmosphere), including the
ocean, sea ice, and land subsystem
models, for the baseline (preindustrial) and the doubled CO2 forcing.
Using two different coupled climate
models with mixed - layer
oceans, with and without OHT, along with a coupled
model with a fixed - current
ocean component in which the currents are uniformly reduced and increased by 50 %, an attempt is made to explain why this may happen.