Not exact matches
Modeling experiments by Tan and two other scientists focused on inbetweeners —
mixed - phase clouds, such as undulating stratiform and fluffy stratocumulus clouds, which are abundant over the vast Southern
Ocean and around the Northern Hemisphere north of New York.
Because these waves are involved in
ocean mixing and thus the transfer of heat, understanding them is crucial to global climate
modeling, says Tom Peacock, a researcher at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology.
This corresponds in scope (not un-coincidentally) to the atmospheric component of General Circulation
Models (GCMs) coupled to (at least) a
mixed - layer
ocean.
The team fed this wealth of information into a
model that estimates the
mixing of
ocean layers.
Physical oceanography, geophysical fluid dynamics,
ocean mixing processes, numerical
ocean modeling, biological / physical interactions and marine pollution.
Furthermore, the
models couple CO2 forcing to the whole
mixing layer of the
ocean while in reality the CO2 wavelengths barely penetrate more than a millimeter and so qualitatively are a complex surface effect.
Bernie, D., S.J. Woolnough, J.M. Slingo, and E. Guilyardi, 2005:
Modelling diurnal and intraseasonal variability of the
ocean mixed layer.
Opsteegh, J.D., R.J. Haarsma, F.M. Selten, and A. Kattenberg, 1998: ECBILT: A dynamic alternative to
mixed boundary conditions in
ocean models.
The treatment of uncertainty in the
ocean's uptake of heat varies, from assuming a fixed value for a
model's
ocean diffusivity (Andronova and Schlesinger, 2001) to trying to allow for a wide range of
ocean mixing parameters (Knutti et al., 2002, 2003) or systematically varying the
ocean's effective diffusivity (e.g., Forest et al., 2002, 2006; Frame et al., 2005).
Peters, M.E., and C.S. Bretherton, 2005: A simplified
model of the Walker circulation with an interactive
ocean mixed layer and cloud - radiative feedbacks.
Climate
modeling groups have also been experimenting with ways to use the predictability of deeper
ocean circulations (where internal variations can persist for up to a decade), but results have been
mixed at best.
Los Alamos researchers created
models to quantify the horizontal and vertical structure of
mixing in the
ocean and its dependence upon eddy velocities.
Understanding the processes driving
mixing is vital for
ocean and climate
modeling.
But then the effective heat capacity, the surface temperature, depends on the rate of
mixing of the
ocean water and I have presented evidence from a number of different ways that
models tend to be too diffusive because of numerical reasons and coarse resolution and wave parameter rise, motions in the
ocean.
Right now, climate
models have to approximate many physical processes that turn out to be very important; air flowing over mountain ranges, for example, or small eddies
mixing water in the
ocean.
Heat the
models suggest should be staying in the atmosphere might instead be expelled more readily through the atmosphere into space, or is being more rapidly
mixed into the
oceans.
This setup consists of an atmospheric
model with a simple
mixed - layer
ocean model, but that doesn't include chemistry, aerosol vegetation or dynamic ice sheet modules.
Our study once again emphasizes the importance of a realistic representation of
ocean physics, in particular vertical
mixing, as a necessary foundation for ecosystem
modeling and predictions.»
This corresponds in scope (not un-coincidentally) to the atmospheric component of General Circulation
Models (GCMs) coupled to (at least) a
mixed - layer
ocean.
Here, we elucidate this question by using 26 years of satellite data to drive a simple physical
model for estimating the temperature response of the
ocean mixed layer to changes in aerosol loadings.
This is because (a) the rate of heat penetration into the deeper
ocean increases in proportion to temperature (like for ice melt), and (b) the second term we added
models the
mixed layer response successfully.
Then he used that time series to drive a simple linear globally averaged
mixed layer
ocean model incorporating a linearized term representing heat loss to space.
The introductory paragraphs of the new Stainforth et al. article mention that the climateprediction.net
modeling includes «a
mixed - layer
ocean».
To some extent, this is again due to the factors mentioned above, but additionally, the
models predict that the North Atlantic as a whole will not warm as fast as the rest of globe (due to both the deep
mixed layers in this region which have a large thermal inertia and a mild slowdown in the
ocean heat transports).
A simple diffusive
ocean model would be more appropriate as has been shown by many studies of the
mixing of tracers or of anthropogenic carbon dioxide in the
ocean.
«This necessitates the inclusion of biogenic
mixing sources in
ocean circulation and global climate
models.»
The weakening of the Walker circulation arises in these
models from processes that are fundamentally different from those of El Nià ± o — and is present in both
mixed - layer and full -
ocean coupled
models, so is not dependent on the
models» ability to represent Kelvin waves (by the way, most of the IPCC - AR4
models have sufficient oceanic resolution to represent Kelvin waves and the physics behind them is quite simple — so of all the
model deficiencies to focus on this one seems a little odd).
On a larger point, the radiative imbalance in the AR4
models is a function of how effectively the
oceans sequester heat (more
mixing down implies a greater imbalance) as well as what the forcings are.
The research provides insight for climate
models which until now have lacked the detailed information on
ocean mixing....
In CMIP3, an AGCM was coupled to a non-dynamic
mixed - layer (slab)
ocean model with prescribed
ocean heat transport convergence.
The Hasselmann
model has a single time scale which is controlled by the heat capacity C which can be visualised as corresponding to the depth of a single well -
mixed ocean box which damps the temperature fluctuations.
While impressive, this may be due to an error in the forcings combined with compensating errors in the climate sensitivity (2.7 C for a doubling of CO2 in this
model) or the
mixing of heat into the deep
ocean.
An atmospheric general circulation
model coupled to a simple
mixed layer
ocean was forced with altered implied
ocean heat transports during a period of increasing trace gases.
That's ironic that you mention that particular property of CO2, because there are scientist that theorize that, since CO2 is heavier, the GCM
models are not correct — most CO2 produced at Earth's surface NEVER gets well
mixed in fact most CO2 gets removed by rainfall, or gets absorbed by plants or the
ocean long before it can cause any change in the so - called Greenhouse gas effect (but the GHG theory is not correct anyway) and the fact that they have severly underestimated CO2 upweelinng from the dee
«Seasonal Cycle Experiments on Climate Sensitivity Due to a Doubling of CO2 with an Atmospheric General Circulation
Model Coupled to a Simple
Mixed Layer
Ocean Model.»
«Hansen now believes he has an answer: All the climate
models, compared to the Argo data and a tracer study soon to be released by several NASA peers, exaggerate how efficiently the
ocean mixes heat into its recesses.
Here for example is the climate
model simulation of the
mixing currents that overturn the upper layers of the
ocean across the Pacific.
increased CO -LCB- sub 2 -RCB- by using
ocean models that include realistic processes such as horizontal heat transport, vertical
mixing due to convection and small - scale processes, and upwelling along coastal regions and the equator.
[17] Most global
models have incorporated uniform
mixing throughout the
ocean because they do not include or resolve internal tidal flows.
Whether
ocean circulation
models... neither explicitly accounting for the energy input into the system nor providing for spatial variability in the
mixing, have any physical relevance under changed climate conditions is at issue.»
According to KNMI the
model results are comparable to other observations of the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and
ocean layer
mixing over the past decade.
Many of the processes governing the role of salinity in the modulation of upper -
ocean mixing in both tropical and high - latitude regions are neither well understood nor adequately represented in climate
models.
When a climate
model uses only the upper 50 to 100 meters as the total
ocean battery, I believe that is mathurbation, since the charge time of the whole battery is roughly 1700 years plus or minus a millennium or two depending on high latitude
mixing.
Due to computational constraints, the equilibrium climate sensitivity in a climate
model is usually estimated by running an atmospheric general circulation
model coupled to a
mixed - layer
ocean model, because equilibrium climate sensitivity is largely determined by atmospheric processes.
Using a single time constant when there are clearly multiple reservoirs (
ocean well
mixed surface and deeper
ocean just for two in addition to the atmosphere) with different time constants, not to mention unknown sinks, makes your
model seriously oversimplified.
When the convective processes of the atmosphere remove enough water vapor from the
oceans to drop sea levels and build polar ice caps, as has happened many times before, the top 35 meters of the
oceans where climate
models assume the only thermal
mixing occurs, must heat up cold
ocean water that comes from depths below the original 35 meter depth, removing vast more amounts of heat from the earth's surface and atmosphere.
The discrepancy is likely accounted for by excessive
ocean heat uptake at low latitudes in our
model, a problem related to the
model's slow surface response time (Fig. 4) that may be caused by excessive small - scale
ocean mixing.
On simulating leads in the Arctic sea ice using the new Lagrangian
model neXtSIM, and on studying their impact on the
ocean mixing, heat budget and primary production.
Simple box
models that keep
mixing into deep
ocean fixed are wrong!
A slight change of
ocean temperature (after a delay caused by the high specific heat of water, the annual
mixing of thermocline waters with deeper waters in storms) ensures that rising CO2 reduces infrared absorbing H2O vapour while slightly increasing cloud cover (thus Earth's albedo), as evidenced by the fact that the NOAA data from 1948 - 2008 shows a fall in global humidity (not the positive feedback rise presumed by NASA's
models!)