Even during the most rapid
ocean rise scenarios things will be just fine... The sky is not falling.
Your unsupported claim that» Even during the most rapid
ocean rise scenarios things will be just fine...» is simply false.
Not exact matches
One possible
scenario is that
rising temperatures may alter
ocean currents, depriving Europe of the Gulf Stream and making it more like Labrador or Siberia.
«When we modeled future shoreline change with the increased rates of sea level
rise (SLR) projected under the IPCC's «business as usual»
scenario, we found that increased SLR causes an average 16 - 20 feet of additional shoreline retreat by 2050, and an average of nearly 60 feet of additional retreat by 2100,» said Tiffany Anderson, lead author and post-doctoral researcher at the UH Mānoa School of
Ocean and Earth Science and Technology.
In using the model to assess the
ocean - carbon sink, the researchers assumed a «business as usual» carbon dioxide emissions trajectory, the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5
scenario found in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change for 2006 - 2010, where emissions continue to
rise throughout the 21st century.
Recent projections show that for even the lowest emissions
scenarios, thermal expansion of
ocean waters21 and the melting of small mountain glaciers22 will result in 11 inches of sea level
rise by 2100, even without any contribution from the ice sheets in Greenland and Antarctica.
The study (1) creates maps of land and transportation infrastructure that, without protection, could be inundated regularly by the
ocean or be at risk of periodic inundation due to storm surge under a range of sea level
rise scenarios; and, (2) provides statistics to demonstrate the potential extent of land areas and transportation infrastructure affected.
Paul D... As a part - time alarmist I would answer that with a little bit of extrapolation added to some warnings of climate scientists I guess the worst case
scenario at least includes the total collapse of the WAIS, creating tsunamis at least all over the Pacific rim, the subsequent sea level
rise of c. 7m will destroy most of the remaining harbours, communication centers near coasts, next up would be the melting of the collapsed ice in the southern
ocean altering the climate of the entire southern hemisphere, making it near - impossible to guess what areas are good for similar agriculture as before, leading to massive movements of people.
Under all RCP
scenarios the rate of sea level
rise will very likely exceed that observed during 1971 — 2010 due to increased
ocean warming and increased loss of mass from glaciers and ice sheets.
With regard to the diabatic process the exchange of radiation in and out reaches thermal equilibrium relatively quickly (leaving Earth's
oceans out of the
scenario for current purposes) and once the temperature
rise within the atmosphere has occurred then equilibrium has been achieved and energy in at TOA will match energy out.
«It is very likely that the rate of global mean sea level
rise during the 21st century will exceed the rate observed during 1971 — 2010 for all Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP)
scenarios due to increases in
ocean warming and loss of mass from glaciers and ice sheets.
We'd driving the models with the GHG concentrations, and using carbon cycle models within the climate models to simulate the natural carbon fluxes (atmosphere - land and atmosphere -
ocean), which themselves are affected by the simulated climate change, and the residual needed to balance the carbon budget then indicates the anthropogenic emissions that would give the prescribed
scenario of CO2
rise.
Imagine if Waxman - Markey had passed within the envelope of both major
ocean circulations going negative...... Grand recession / solar minima / end extreme eccentricity minima interglacial or not, we could be sitting around now, swilling non-carbonated champagne, patting each other on the back, celebrating the FACT that we had quelled the heathen devil promulgated sea level
rising to the AR4 worst case
scenario of 0.59 meters, only to watch it go +6 M etc,.
Lam and team used climate models from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change to examine the economic impacts of climate change on fish stocks and fisheries revenues under two different emissions
scenarios: a high - emission
scenario, in which the rates at which greenhouse gases are pumped into the Earth's atmosphere continue to
rise unchecked, and a low - emission
scenario under which
ocean warming is kept below two degrees Celsius.
Vanity Fair published a «worst - case
scenario» photo illustration of Manhattan drowned by an 80 - foot sea - level
rise, the skyscrapers poking up from what has become part of the Atlantic
Ocean.
All such projections involve assumptions about the future that can not be tested, so the authors spread their bets: they considered a range of
scenarios involving crude population growth, levels of economic growth with time, and a series of predictions of sea level
rise, as icecaps and glaciers melt, and as the
oceans warm and expand according to predictable physical laws.
Climate
scenarios of sea level
rise for the northeast Atlantic
Ocean: a study including the effects of ocean dynamics and gravity changes induced by ice
Ocean: a study including the effects of
ocean dynamics and gravity changes induced by ice
ocean dynamics and gravity changes induced by ice melt.