Stephen Wilde (00:59:57) «Also one would need to observe the air circulation systems moving latitudinally BEFORE
the ocean sea surface temperatures change and I don't think that happens does it?»
Not exact matches
One of the subtle
changes visible in the new data - set is how the Amazon's greenness corresponds to one of the long - known causes of rainfall or drought to the Amazon basin:
changes in
sea surface temperatures in the eastern Pacific
Ocean, called the El Nino Southern Oscillation.
Sea -
surface temperature is an important driver of the weather, and because the
oceans change temperature very slowly compared with the air and land, they form a key, predictable component of seasonal forecasts.
Several studies linked this to
changes in
sea surface temperatures in the western Pacific and Indian
Oceans, but it was not clear if this was part of a long - term trend.
The results suggest that the impact of
sea ice seems critical for the Arctic
surface temperature changes, but the
temperature trend elsewhere seems rather due mainly to
changes in
ocean surface temperatures and atmospheric variability.
Ajay Kalra of the Desert Research Institute in Las Vegas has identified several regions of the Pacific
Ocean where
changes in
sea surface temperature appear to be statistically linked to the Colorado River's streamflow.
For example, tides, winds and
sea surface temperature could disrupt their migration habits, and
ocean color — referring to the water's chemical and particle content — could reflect
changes in the food chain.
The underlying pattern in this year's fire forecast is driven by the fact that the western Amazon is more heavily influence by
sea surface temperatures in the tropical Atlantic, and the eastern Amazon's fire severity risk correlates to
sea surface temperature changes in the tropical Pacific
Ocean.
The first image, based on data from January 1997 when El Nio was still strengthening shows a
sea level rise along the Equator in the eastern Pacific
Ocean of up to 34 centimeters with the red colors indicating an associated
change in
sea surface temperature of up to 5.4 degrees C.
Changes in the
temperature of the
sea surface in the Indian and Atlantic
Oceans are linked to the pattern of rainfall over parts of the surrounding continents.
The most important bias globally was the modification in measured
sea surface temperatures associated with the
change from ships throwing a bucket over the side, bringing some
ocean water on deck, and putting a thermometer in it, to reading the thermometer in the engine coolant water intake.
Consistent with observed
changes in
surface temperature, there has been an almost worldwide reduction in glacier and small ice cap (not including Antarctica and Greenland) mass and extent in the 20th century; snow cover has decreased in many regions of the Northern Hemisphere;
sea ice extents have decreased in the Arctic, particularly in spring and summer (Chapter 4); the
oceans are warming; and
sea level is rising (Chapter 5).
Scientists think this reversal in strength was driven by
changes in
sea surface temperature and upper -
ocean ventilation.
The interaction of the
ocean and atmosphere means that these
changes in
sea surface temperatures are translated into
changes in wind direction and strength.
They wrote that their comparisons of
sea - level pressures,
sea -
surface temperatures and land - based air
temperatures provided «consistent evidence for strong» regulation of
temperatures by
changes in
ocean cycles «from monthly to century time scales.»
Thousands of studies conducted by researchers around the world have documented
changes in
surface, atmospheric, and oceanic
temperatures; melting glaciers; diminishing snow cover; shrinking
sea ice; rising
sea levels;
ocean acidification; and increasing atmospheric water vapor.
During El Nino events the
ocean circulation
changes in such a way as to cause a large and temporary positive
sea surface temperature anomaly in the tropical Pacific.
This seems to be associated with particular patterns of
change in
sea surface temperature in the Atlantic and Pacific
oceans, a teleconnection which is well - captured in climate models on seasonal timescales.
This plot shows thermosteric
sea level
change over that period, which would strongly correlate with OHC /
ocean temperature, and this plot shows
surface temperature evolution.
Given all the independent lines of evidence pointing to average
surface warming over the last few decades (satellite measurements,
ocean temperatures,
sea - level rise, retreating glaciers, phenological
changes, shifts in the ranges of
temperature - sensitive species), it is highly implausible that it would lead to more than very minor refinements to the current overall picture.
The
change in radiation balance is more heating of the
oceans at one side (specifically high in the subtropics, as expected), but more heat released at higher altitudes, thus somewhere acting as a net negative feedback to higher
sea surface temperatures.
A good explanation of the details is provided here: Koll & Abbot (2013)-- Why Tropical
Sea Surface Temperature is Insensitive to
Ocean Heat Transport
Changes.
The
surface temperature responds to energy transfer between the
oceans and atmosphere which varies dynamically as a result of
changes in
sea surface temperature.
Sea surface temperature (SST) measured from Earth Observation Satellites in considerable spatial detail and at high frequency, is increasingly required for use in the context of operational monitoring and forecasting of the
ocean, for assimilation into coupled
ocean - atmosphere model systems and for applications in short - term numerical weather prediction and longer term climate
change detection.
The 2009 State of the Climate Report of the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) tells us that climate
change is real because of rising
surface air
temperatures since 1880 over land and the
ocean,
ocean acidification,
sea level rise, glaciers melting, rising specific humidity,
ocean heat content increasing,
sea ice retreating, glaciers diminishing, Northern Hemisphere snow cover decreasing, and so many other lines of evidence.
Subsequently, climate
change has been greatly affected as Antarctic Intermediate Water have cooled and exerted a tremendous effect on tropical
sea surface temperatures for millions of years via «
ocean tunneling».
They describe abnormally warm or cool
sea surface temperatures in the South Pacific that are caused by
changing ocean currents.
Surface warming / ocean warming: «A reassessment of temperature variations and trends from global reanalyses and monthly surface climatological datasets» «Estimating changes in global temperature since the pre-industrial period» «Possible artifacts of data biases in the recent global surface warming hiatus» «Assessing the impact of satellite - based observations in sea surface temperature trends
Surface warming /
ocean warming: «A reassessment of
temperature variations and trends from global reanalyses and monthly
surface climatological datasets» «Estimating changes in global temperature since the pre-industrial period» «Possible artifacts of data biases in the recent global surface warming hiatus» «Assessing the impact of satellite - based observations in sea surface temperature trends
surface climatological datasets» «Estimating
changes in global
temperature since the pre-industrial period» «Possible artifacts of data biases in the recent global
surface warming hiatus» «Assessing the impact of satellite - based observations in sea surface temperature trends
surface warming hiatus» «Assessing the impact of satellite - based observations in
sea surface temperature trends
surface temperature trends»
The
Sea Surface Temperature Climate Change Initiative (SST CCI) project will accurately map the surface temperature of the global oceans over the period 1991 to 2010, using observations from many sate
Surface Temperature Climate Change Initiative (SST CCI) project will accurately map the surface temperature of the global oceans over the period 1991 to 2010, using observations from many
Temperature Climate
Change Initiative (SST CCI) project will accurately map the
surface temperature of the global oceans over the period 1991 to 2010, using observations from many sate
surface temperature of the global oceans over the period 1991 to 2010, using observations from many
temperature of the global
oceans over the period 1991 to 2010, using observations from many satellites.
Ocean warming: «Assessing recent warming using instrumentally homogeneous sea surface temperature records» «Tracking ocean heat uptake during the surface warming hiatus» «A review of global ocean temperature observations: Implications for ocean heat content estimates and climate change» «Unabated planetary warming and its ocean structure since 2006&r
Ocean warming: «Assessing recent warming using instrumentally homogeneous
sea surface temperature records» «Tracking
ocean heat uptake during the surface warming hiatus» «A review of global ocean temperature observations: Implications for ocean heat content estimates and climate change» «Unabated planetary warming and its ocean structure since 2006&r
ocean heat uptake during the
surface warming hiatus» «A review of global
ocean temperature observations: Implications for ocean heat content estimates and climate change» «Unabated planetary warming and its ocean structure since 2006&r
ocean temperature observations: Implications for
ocean heat content estimates and climate change» «Unabated planetary warming and its ocean structure since 2006&r
ocean heat content estimates and climate
change» «Unabated planetary warming and its
ocean structure since 2006&r
ocean structure since 2006»
The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) is a naturally occurring pattern of
sea surface temperature change that is seen in the North Atlantic
Ocean on decadal timescales and affects weather and climate.
What we know with some certainty about
oceans (if data is to be believed) is that the intra-annual
change in the insolation effects (suspiciously) high symmetricity in the N. Atlantic's
sea surface temperature, cantered on 1st of March and 31st of August.
The
oceans are undergoing a period of unprecedented
change, facing global stressors such as
sea level rise,
ocean acidification, rising
sea surface temperatures, and plastic pollution.
This extended drought is linked with the
changes in the
sea surface temperature of the Pacific
Ocean, according to a study led by University of California Los Angeles (UCLA) professor Glen MacDonald.
How hurricanes develop also depends on how the local atmosphere responds to
changes in local
sea surface temperatures, and this atmospheric response depends critically on the cause of the
change.23, 24 For example, the atmosphere responds differently when local
sea surface temperatures increase due to a local decrease of particulate pollution that allows more sunlight through to warm the
ocean, versus when
sea surface temperatures increase more uniformly around the world due to increased amounts of human - caused heat - trapping gases.25, 26,27,28
Scientists think this reversal in strength was driven by
changes in
sea surface temperature and upper -
ocean ventilation.
I'm inclined to think that
Ocean Heat Content, trends in land ice and
Sea levels are more appropriate indicators of global climate
change than
surface air
temperatures, but that's another issue.
In a study last year, the U.S. Climate
Change Science Program indicated that an increase in
sea -
surface temperatures would lead to a proliferation of
ocean bacteria species like Vibrio vulnificus and Vibrio parahaemolyticus that cause seafood - borne diseases.
«The authors write that «the notorious tropical bias problem in climate simulations of global coupled general circulation models manifests itself particularly strongly in the tropical Atlantic,»... they state that «the climate bias problem is still so severe that one of the most basic features of the equatorial Atlantic
Ocean — the eastward shoaling thermocline — can not be reproduced by most of the IPCC assessment report models,... as they describe it, «show that the bias in the eastern equatorial Atlantic has a major effect on
sea -
surface temperature (SST) response to a rapid
change in the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC).»
They wrote that their comparisons of
sea - level pressures,
sea -
surface temperatures and land - based air
temperatures provided «consistent evidence for strong» regulation of
temperatures by
changes in
ocean cycles «from monthly to century time scales.»
Importantly, the
changes in cereal yield projected for the 2020s and 2080s are driven by GHG - induced climate
change and likely do not fully capture interannual precipitation variability which can result in large yield reductions during dry periods, as the IPCC (Christensen et al., 2007) states: ``... there is less confidence in the ability of the AOGCMs (atmosphere -
ocean general circulation models) to generate interannual variability in the SSTs (
sea surface temperatures) of the type known to affect African rainfall, as evidenced by the fact that very few AOGCMs produce droughts comparable in magnitude to the Sahel droughts of the 1970s and 1980s.»
The slab
ocean model is a computationally efficient scheme that allows
sea surface temperatures to interact with the atmosphere; and is necessary for propagating energy imbalances due to land cover
change that lead to shifts in precipitation.
The problem emerges from the fact that
sea surface temperature (SST)
change is dominated by ENSO
ocean dynamics and not by atmosphere /
ocean coupling.
Even while identifying some of the observed
change in climatic behaviour, such as a 0.4 C increase in
surface temperature over the past century, or about 1 mm per year
sea level rise in Northern Indian
Ocean, or wider variation in rainfall patterns, the document notes that no firm link between the do...
Because the GISS analysis combines available
sea surface temperature records with meteorological station measurements, we test alternative choices for the
ocean data, showing that global
temperature change is sensitive to estimated
temperature change in polar regions where observations are limited.
«Assessing recent warming using instrumentally homogeneous
sea surface temperature records» «Tracking
ocean heat uptake during the
surface warming hiatus» «A review of global
ocean temperature observations: Implications for
ocean heat content estimates and climate
change» «Unabated planetary warming and its
ocean structure since 2006»
Here we use an ensemble of simulations with a coupled
ocean — atmosphere model to show that the
sea surface temperature anomalies associated with central Pacific El Niño force
changes in the extra-tropical atmospheric circulation.
2) If minor
changes in the air attempt to make the air
temperature alone diverge from that equilibrium then the weather systems
change to modify the energy flow and in due course restore the
surface air
temperature to match the
sea surface temperature set by the
oceans.
The chemical tracers show that the speed of the
ocean overturning circulation
changed first and that a
change in
sea surface temperature followed.
This basin - wide
change in the Atlantic climate (both warming and cooling) induces a basin - scale
sea surface temperature seesaw with the Pacific
Ocean, which in turn modifies the position of the Walker circulation (the language by which the tropical basins communicate) and the strength of the Pacific trade winds.