Across the oceans, the average global
ocean surface temperature during November 2017 was 0.62 °C (1.12 °F) above the 20th century average of 15.8 °C (60.4 °F)-- the fourth highest November temperature in the 138 - year record.
This was the warmest January since 2007 and the fourth highest since records began in 1880... The Northern Hemisphere land and
ocean surface temperature during January 2014 was also the warmest since 2007 and the fourth warmest since records began in 1880 at 0.75 °C (1.35 °F) above average.»
Not exact matches
If
ocean -
surface temperatures during the Eocene were on the high end of what is suggested by paleo - climate records — 35 to 41 °C — then
temperatures in the interior of continents in the tropics would have been up to 10 °C higher.
With ENSO - neutral conditions present
during the first half of 2013, the January — June global
temperature across land and
ocean surfaces tied with 2003 as the seventh warmest such period, at 0.59 °C (1.06 °F) above the 20th century average.
However, for the globe as a whole,
surface air
temperatures over land have risen at about double the
ocean rate after 1979 (more than 0.27 °C per decade vs. 0.13 °C per decade), with the greatest warming
during winter (December to February) and spring (March to May) in the Northern Hemisphere.
The warmth was due to the near - record strong El Niño that developed
during the Northern Hemisphere spring in the eastern and central equatorial Pacific
Ocean and to large regions of record warm and much warmer - than - average sea surface temperatures in parts of every major ocean b
Ocean and to large regions of record warm and much warmer - than - average sea
surface temperatures in parts of every major
ocean b
ocean basin.
Much warmer - than - average
temperatures engulfed most of the world's
oceans during June 2016, with record high sea
surface temperatures across parts of the central and southwest Pacific
Ocean, northwestern and southwestern Atlantic
Ocean, and across parts of the northeastern Indian
Ocean.
During El Nino events the
ocean circulation changes in such a way as to cause a large and temporary positive sea
surface temperature anomaly in the tropical Pacific.
Cooler than normal sea
surface temperatures (blue shades) were developing in the tropical Pacific
Ocean during October, signaling the possible development of La Nina.
During the final month, the December combined global land and
ocean average
surface temperature was the highest on record for any month in the 136 - year record.
The main point is that just as
surface temperatures has experienced periods of short term cooling
during long term global warming, similarly the
ocean shows short term variability
during a long term warming trend.
During the final month, the December combined global land and
ocean average
surface temperature was the third highest for December in the 137 - year record.
That would also imply that (T - T0 (t)-RRB- must be negative
during the pre-900 period when SLR = 0... would a plausible physical explanation be that the deep
ocean and ice sheets are still responding somewhat to the post-glacial
temperature increase (eg, T - T0, 0 > 0), but that the faster components of SLR like the
surface oceans and glaciers were actually responding to the decrease in
temperature since the early Holocene?
According to the investigation: «There is a strong increasing trend in sea
surface temperature over the northern Indian
Ocean during the 1952 - 96 time period» and «Soot was a sizeable fraction of the aerosol mix and caused substantial absorption of solar radiation.
The fundamental reason that CO2 and global
surface temperature are so highly correlated
during comings and going of the the ice ages is that the orbits cause the
temperature change, and then the resulting heating of the
ocean causes it to outgas some CO2 to the atmosphere.
Paul S (# 1)-- Since the Planck Response dominates over positive feedback responses to
temperature, wouldn't a La Nina - like failure of
surface temperature to rise lead to an increase rather than a reduction in energy accumulation compared with accumulation
during a
surface warming — presumably a small increase, so that the observed rise in
ocean heat content would still be substantial?
If a significant fraction of this heat lost from the
ocean went into the atmosphere one might have expected the
surface air
temperature to have increased faster
during this period than
during the subsequent period of the 1990s when the
ocean heat content gained > 5 X 10 ^ 22 J, but this is not what was observed (see reference Figure 2.7 c in the IPCC TAR Working group I).
During the period 1992 - 2000, the average sea -
surface temperature of the Indian
Ocean increased by approximately 0.25 Celsius, this may be the cause of an increased monsoon strength here (or more hurricanes on other places)...
Particularly «The Sea
Surface Temperatures of the East Indian and West Pacific
Oceans remain elevated
during the La Nina because the stronger trade winds reduce cloud cover.»
Second,
during the El Niño, note how the sea
surface temperatures warm first in the Atlantic, then in the Indian
Ocean, and then in the western Pacific.
The Sea
Surface Temperatures of the East Indian and West Pacific
Oceans remain elevated
during the La Nina because the stronger trade winds reduce cloud cover.
The Pacific
Ocean has a significant influence on global mean
surface temperature, as recently demonstrated
during the 2015/16 El Niño.
«Model - Based Evidence of Deep -
Ocean Heat Uptake
During Surface -
Temperature Hiatus Periods.»
The intense prehistoric hurricanes were fueled in part by warmer sea
surface temperatures in the Atlantic
Ocean during the ancient period investigated than have been the norm off the U.S. East Coast over the last few hundred years, according to the study.
Key factors expected to influence the regional climate
during the OND 2016 season include the evolution of Sea
Surface Temperature (SST) anomalies over the tropical
Oceans.
Ocean warming: «Assessing recent warming using instrumentally homogeneous sea surface temperature records» «Tracking ocean heat uptake during the surface warming hiatus» «A review of global ocean temperature observations: Implications for ocean heat content estimates and climate change» «Unabated planetary warming and its ocean structure since 2006&r
Ocean warming: «Assessing recent warming using instrumentally homogeneous sea
surface temperature records» «Tracking
ocean heat uptake during the surface warming hiatus» «A review of global ocean temperature observations: Implications for ocean heat content estimates and climate change» «Unabated planetary warming and its ocean structure since 2006&r
ocean heat uptake
during the
surface warming hiatus» «A review of global
ocean temperature observations: Implications for ocean heat content estimates and climate change» «Unabated planetary warming and its ocean structure since 2006&r
ocean temperature observations: Implications for
ocean heat content estimates and climate change» «Unabated planetary warming and its ocean structure since 2006&r
ocean heat content estimates and climate change» «Unabated planetary warming and its
ocean structure since 2006&r
ocean structure since 2006»
Show data which shows
ocean heat content increasing and sea
surface temperatures increasing
during a prolonged solar minimum period or vice versa.
During that same period, average annual rainfall in New South Wales declined by 3.6 inches (92 millimeters).3 Scientists think the decline in autumn rainfall in southeast Australia since the late 1950s may be partly due to increases in heat - trapping gases in Earth's atmosphere.3, 14 Major bushfires over southeast Australia are linked to the positive phase of an
ocean cycle called the «Indian Ocean Dipole» — when sea surface temperatures are warmer than average in the western Indian Ocean, likely in response to global warming.1
ocean cycle called the «Indian
Ocean Dipole» — when sea surface temperatures are warmer than average in the western Indian Ocean, likely in response to global warming.1
Ocean Dipole» — when sea
surface temperatures are warmer than average in the western Indian
Ocean, likely in response to global warming.1
Ocean, likely in response to global warming.15, 16
Not adding to
ocean temperature during daylight, but doing something to slow the
ocean surface from losing heat.
During an ENSO event, the prevailing trade winds weaken, reducing upwelling and altering
ocean currents such that the sea
surface temperatures warm, further weakening the trade winds.
«A peer - reviewed paper [Krivova et al.] published in the Journal of Geophysical Research finds that reconstructions of total solar irradiance (TSI) show a significant increase since the Maunder minimum in the 1600's
during the Little Ice Age and shows further increases over the 19th and 20th centuries... Use of the Stefan - Boltzmann equation indicates that a 1.25 W / m2 increase in solar activity could account for an approximate.44 C global
temperature increase... A significant new finding is that portions of the more energetic ultraviolet region of the solar spectrum increased by almost 50 % over the 400 years since the Maunder minimum... This is highly significant because the UV portion of the solar spectrum is the most important for heating of the
oceans due to the greatest penetration beyond the
surface and highest energy levels.
published in the Journal of Geophysical Research finds that reconstructions of total solar irradiance (TSI) show a significant increase since the Maunder minimum in the 1600's
during the Little Ice Age and shows further increases over the 19th and 20th centuries... Use of the Stefan - Boltzmann equation indicates that a 1.25 W / m2 increase in solar activity could account for an approximate.44 C global
temperature increase... A significant new finding is that portions of the more energetic ultraviolet region of the solar spectrum increased by almost 50 % over the 400 years since the Maunder minimum... This is highly significant because the UV portion of the solar spectrum is the most important for heating of the
oceans due to the greatest penetration beyond the
surface and highest energy levels.
Importantly, the changes in cereal yield projected for the 2020s and 2080s are driven by GHG - induced climate change and likely do not fully capture interannual precipitation variability which can result in large yield reductions
during dry periods, as the IPCC (Christensen et al., 2007) states: ``... there is less confidence in the ability of the AOGCMs (atmosphere -
ocean general circulation models) to generate interannual variability in the SSTs (sea
surface temperatures) of the type known to affect African rainfall, as evidenced by the fact that very few AOGCMs produce droughts comparable in magnitude to the Sahel droughts of the 1970s and 1980s.»
«Assessing recent warming using instrumentally homogeneous sea
surface temperature records» «Tracking
ocean heat uptake
during the
surface warming hiatus» «A review of global
ocean temperature observations: Implications for
ocean heat content estimates and climate change» «Unabated planetary warming and its
ocean structure since 2006»
We observe changing air
temperatures together with movements of the weather systems towards the poles or towards the equator
during those periods of transition when the air is catching up with the
ocean surface changes whether they be warming or cooling.
The best way to envision the relation between ENSO and precipitation over East Africa is to regard the Indian
Ocean as a mirror of the Pacific
Ocean sea
surface temperature anomalies [much like the Western Hemisphere Warm Pool creates such a SST mirror with the Atlantic
Ocean too]:
during a La Niña episode, waters in the eastern Pacific are relatively cool as strong trade winds blow the tropically Sun - warmed waters far towards the west.
Meehl, G. A., J. M. Arblaster, J. T. Fasullo, A. Hu, and K. E. Trenberth, 2011: Model - based evidence of deep -
ocean heat uptake
during surface -
temperature hiatus periods.
The widespread change detected in
temperature observations of the
surface, free atmosphere and
ocean, together with consistent evidence of change in other parts of the climate system, strengthens the conclusion that greenhouse gas forcing is the dominant cause of warming
during the past several decades.
However, the observations show that both
surface temperatures as well as
ocean heat content started to increase (
during the 1970's and 80's) long after solar activity had reached its plateau (
during the 1950's).
Water now returning to the
surface having entered deep
ocean during the MWP may be inducing release of oceanic CO2 in response to altered pH, and this release could be expected to provide the steady increase in atmospheric CO2 concentration (of at least 1.5 ppm / year) that is observed to be independent of
temperature variations.
[later in the report:] Sea
surface temperatures during June 2009 were warmer than average across much of the world's
oceans, with the exception of cooler - than - average conditions across the southern
oceans.
Map showing global land and
ocean surface temperature departures from average
during August 2012.
Meehl, G. A., Arblaster, J. M., Fasullo, J. Y., Hu, A. & Trenberth, K. E. Model - based evidence of deep -
ocean heat uptake
during surface -
temperature hiatus periods.
This would give us the increase of mean
temperature of the air layer above the
ocean surface from 300K to 300.167 K
during the ten years period.
Vincentrj # 28 you are unclear re the division of your opinions / inferences between the 3 basic sub-topics (1) heat is entering the
oceans due to radiative imbalance due to humans burning carbon fuels (2) the heat rate coupled with its estimated duration (based on its cause) will make it within a few decades become unprecedented
during the last several thousand years and same for the
surface temperature rise that will be required to stop it (3) the effects on flora & fauna will be highly negative even within this century and more so for centuries and millenia thereafter, in particular the human species which has softened much and expects much more since the days when a mammoth tusk through the groin was met with «well Og's had it, press on».
http://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/assessment-report/ar4/wg1/ar4-wg1-chapter9.pdf The widespread change detected in
temperature observations of the
surface (Sections 9.4.1, 9.4.2, 9.4.3), free atmosphere (Section 9.4.4) and
ocean (Section 9.5.1), together with consistent evidence of change in other parts of the climate system (Section 9.5), strengthens the conclusion that greenhouse gas forcing is the dominant cause of warming
during the past several decades.
surface temperature during the hiatus has not been driven primarily by a reduction in the planetary imbalance due to negative feedbacks but rather by the vertical redistribution of where in the
ocean the imbalance is stored
http://www.skepticalscience.com/Mystery-of-the-vanishing-
ocean-heat.html «However, upper
ocean heat, like
surface temperature, doesn't follow a monotonically warming trend
during global warming.
Meehl, G. A., Arblaster, J. M., Fasullo, J. T., Hu, A. & Trenberth, K. E. Model - based evidence of deep -
ocean heat uptake
during surface -
temperature hiatus periods.
During November 2017, warmer - than - average
temperatures dominated across much of the world's land and
ocean surfaces, with the most notable
temperature departures from average across the Northern Hemisphere.