Fasullo and Trenberth (2008a) provide an assessment of the global energy budgets at TOA and the surface, for the global atmosphere, and ocean and land domains based on a synthesis of satellite retrievals, reanalysis fields, a land surface simulation, and
ocean temperature estimates.
Not exact matches
Temperatures in
Ocean City vary from being in the 90s F in the summer down to the teens during the average winter, Moore
estimates.
Several of the team, including Smith, Hillenbrand and Kuhn, are now are working on a new project to provide
estimates of
ocean temperatures during this time interval.
The project, called
Estimating the Circulation and Climate of the
Ocean (ECCO), uses observational data — including ocean surface topography, surface wind stress, temperature, salinity profiles and velocity data — collected between June 2005 and December
Ocean (ECCO), uses observational data — including
ocean surface topography, surface wind stress, temperature, salinity profiles and velocity data — collected between June 2005 and December
ocean surface topography, surface wind stress,
temperature, salinity profiles and velocity data — collected between June 2005 and December 2007.
To create their
estimate, the researchers took the most recent understanding for how rocks,
oceans, and air
temperature interact, and put that into a computer simulation of Earth's
temperature over the past 4 billion years.
Research at the University of Edinburgh first created a simple algorithm to determine the key factors shaping climate change and then
estimated their likely impact on the world's land and
ocean temperatures.
Any reforms to come from the process, starting next week, would affect about 62 percent of New York state's population, the proportion
estimated to reside now in areas that could be hard hit as rising land and
ocean temperatures raise average sea levels around the globe.
Global mean
temperatures averaged over land and
ocean surfaces, from three different
estimates, each of which has been independently adjusted for various homogeneity issues, are consistent within uncertainty
estimates over the period 1901 to 2005 and show similar rates of increase in recent decades.
GISS produces two
estimates — the met station index (which does not cover a lot of the
oceans), and a land -
ocean index (which uses satellite
ocean temperature changes in addition to the met stations).
So, what's the current best
estimate of the
ocean temperature sensitivity?
Gregory et al. (2002) used observed interior -
ocean temperature changes, surface
temperature changes measured since 1860, and
estimates of anthropogenic and natural radiative forcing of the climate system to
estimate its climate sensitivity.
The
estimated maximum drop deep in deep
ocean temperature is 2.5 C.
The CDR potential and possible environmental side effects are
estimated for various COA deployment scenarios, assuming olivine as the alkalinity source in ice ‐ free coastal waters (about 8.6 % of the global
ocean's surface area), with dissolution rates being a function of grain size, ambient seawater
temperature, and pH. Our results indicate that for a large ‐ enough olivine deployment of small ‐ enough grain sizes (10 µm), atmospheric CO2 could be reduced by more than 800 GtC by the year 2100.
In addition, some studies also use the
estimated ocean heat uptake since 1955 based on Levitus et al. (2000, 2005)(Chapter 5), and
temperature changes in the free atmosphere (Chapter 3; see also Table 9.3).
Composite land plus
ocean temperature reconstructions and
estimated 95 % confidence intervals.
There's no satellite in space that's capable of directly measuring
ocean acidity, but an international team of scientists writing in the journal Environmental Science & Technology described last week how satellite measurements of sea surface
temperatures, salinity and plankton activity could be combined and used to
estimate pH.
The
ocean temperature history is obviously a big part of the global surface air
temperature history and these new
estimates will be used eventually in updates of the HadCRUT3 product.
Here, we elucidate this question by using 26 years of satellite data to drive a simple physical model for
estimating the
temperature response of the
ocean mixed layer to changes in aerosol loadings.
A review of global
ocean temperature observations: Implications for
ocean heat content
estimates and climate change
The significant difference between the observed decrease of the CO2 sink
estimated by the inversion (0.03 PgC / y per decade) and the expected increase due solely to rising atmospheric CO2 -LRB--0.05 PgC / y per decade) indicates that there has been a relative weakening of the Southern
Ocean CO2 sink (0.08 PgC / y per decade) due to changes in other atmospheric forcing (winds, surface air
temperature, and water fluxes).
The long - wave radiation
estimated for surface
temperatures is pretty clear that forcing is occuring near the equator and since the
ocean in this region is acccumulating heat that will eventually re-emerge the deeper it can be sequestered the better.
Given those assumptions, looking at the forcing over a long - enough multi-decadal period and seeing the
temperature response gives an
estimate of the transient climate response (TCR) and, additionally if an
estimate of the
ocean heat content change is incorporated (which is a measure of the unrealised radiative imbalance), the ECS can be
estimated too.
Second, the quantity of methane necessary to explain the carbon isotope ratio, as calculated by Dickens, would be much less than that required to warm
ocean and atmosphere
temperatures to the extent
estimated by PETM
temperature proxies and calculated by physical climate models.
It is certainly true that a very small
temperature bias that is not random from instrument to instrument, but instead is the same over a large number of profiles can create systematic error in global
estimates of
ocean heat content.
Many different models have now demonstrated that our understanding of current forcings, long - term observations of the land surface and
ocean temperature changes and the canonical
estimates of climate forcing are all consistent within the uncertainties.
GISS produces two
estimates — the met station index (which does not cover a lot of the
oceans), and a land -
ocean index (which uses satellite
ocean temperature changes in addition to the met stations).
The
estimated maximum drop deep in deep
ocean temperature is 2.5 C.
The RF time series are linked to the observations of
ocean heat content and
temperature change through an energy balance model and a stochastic model, using a Bayesian approach to
estimate the ECS from the data.
The HadCRUT4 dataset, compiled from many thousands of
temperature measurements taken across the globe, from all continents and all
oceans, is used to
estimate global
temperature, shows that 2017 was 0.99 ± 0.1 °C above pre-industrial levels, taken as the average over the period 1850 - 1900, and 0.38 ± 0.1 °C above the 1981 - 2010 average.
The Curry et al. paper examined the posteriors separately for the surface
temperature data, the
ocean data, and the upper air data and never
estimated a posterior using all three diagnostics.
In this work the equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) is
estimated based on observed near - surface
temperature change from the instrumental record, changes in
ocean heat content and detailed RF time series.
In fact, using their corrected forcings and assuming HadCRUT4
temperature changes, together with observationally based
estimates of heat flux to the
oceans and elsewhere, I would
estimate ECS values of 0.8 to 1.3 C and TCRs of 0.7 to 1.1 C — even lower than those in your paper.
Ocean basin
temperature, according to best Bedwetter Bandwagon
estimate of energy imbalance at top of atmosphere, is only going to rise by 0.2 C over the next century.
By comparing modelled and observed changes in such indices, which include the global mean surface
temperature, the land -
ocean temperature contrast, the
temperature contrast between the NH and SH, the mean magnitude of the annual cycle in
temperature over land and the mean meridional
temperature gradient in the NH mid-latitudes, Braganza et al. (2004)
estimate that anthropogenic forcing accounts for almost all of the warming observed between 1946 and 1995 whereas warming between 1896 and 1945 is explained by a combination of anthropogenic and natural forcing and internal variability.
Figure 6: Composite Northern Hemisphere land and land plus
ocean temperature reconstructions and
estimated 95 % confidence intervals.
So after considering all of that, the
estimated current «surface»
temperature produces an
estimated effective radiant return energy from the atmosphere of about 345Wm - 3 + / - 9 called DWLR which, had the average effective radiant energy of the
oceans been used, ~ 334Wm - 2 would have created less confusion and still have been within a more realistic uncertainty range of + / - 17 Wm - 2.
This assessment reflects improved understanding, the extended
temperature record in the atmosphere and
ocean, and new
estimates of radiative forcing.
As for sea
temperatures, they are less significant for analyzing «global warming» than
estimated total
ocean heat content.
This means that 19th century
oceans were probably cooler than Challenger's measurements, and
temperatures have therefore risen by more than the Scripps and Southampton scientists
estimated.
Coverage bias
estimates are shown for both HadCRUT versions using the GISTEMP land -
ocean series and the UAH series to provide the
temperature maps.
If the paleo data for
estimating the past
ocean temperature is off by 0.2 C the then the
estimate of delta S would be off by 0.8Wm - 2.
When he presented his misleading graph, when he said 97 % of climate scientists agree, (knowing full well the actual situation that the number is bogus and misleading,) when he mentions adjustments to satellite data but not to surface
temperatures with major past cooling and absurd derived precision to.005 * C, when he defends precision in surface global averages but ignores major
estimates of temps and krigging in Arctic, Africa, Asia and
oceans or Antarctica, he forfeits credibility.
There are a couple of ways to
estimate the volume of the
oceans and hence the
temperature.
Surface warming /
ocean warming: «A reassessment of
temperature variations and trends from global reanalyses and monthly surface climatological datasets» «
Estimating changes in global
temperature since the pre-industrial period» «Possible artifacts of data biases in the recent global surface warming hiatus» «Assessing the impact of satellite - based observations in sea surface
temperature trends»
The data used in
estimating the Levitus et al. (2005a)
ocean temperature fields (for the above heat content
estimates) do not include sea surface
temperature (SST) observations, which are discussed in Chapter 3.
Thus 3,000 ARGO buoys do not give 3,000 independent
estimates of the
ocean heat content at a particular time; each observation gives a single
estimate of the
temperature at a particular location and depth.
The consistency between these two data sets gives confidence in the
ocean temperature data set used for
estimating depth - integrated heat content, and supports the trends in SST reported in Chapter 3.
It is the only technology that acts to directly reduce the
temperature of the
ocean (it was
estimated one degree Fahrenheit reduction every twenty years for 10,000 250 MWe plants in» 77), eliminates carbon emissions, and increases carbon dioxide absorption (cooler water absorbs more CO2) at the same time.
Ocean warming: «Assessing recent warming using instrumentally homogeneous sea surface temperature records» «Tracking ocean heat uptake during the surface warming hiatus» «A review of global ocean temperature observations: Implications for ocean heat content estimates and climate change» «Unabated planetary warming and its ocean structure since 2006&r
Ocean warming: «Assessing recent warming using instrumentally homogeneous sea surface
temperature records» «Tracking
ocean heat uptake during the surface warming hiatus» «A review of global ocean temperature observations: Implications for ocean heat content estimates and climate change» «Unabated planetary warming and its ocean structure since 2006&r
ocean heat uptake during the surface warming hiatus» «A review of global
ocean temperature observations: Implications for ocean heat content estimates and climate change» «Unabated planetary warming and its ocean structure since 2006&r
ocean temperature observations: Implications for
ocean heat content estimates and climate change» «Unabated planetary warming and its ocean structure since 2006&r
ocean heat content
estimates and climate change» «Unabated planetary warming and its
ocean structure since 2006&r
ocean structure since 2006»
It is therefore erroneous to suggest that the
estimate of the global average
ocean temperature is given by the instrument accuracy divided by the square root of the number of observations (as you would if the observations were of the same quantity):