Global land /
ocean temperature records from NOAA, NASA, Berkeley Earth, Hadley / UAE, and Cowtan and Way show no detectable sign of a «pause» in warming through to the present.
Not exact matches
The new sea - level
record was then used in combination with existing deep - sea oxygen isotope
records from the open
ocean, to work out deep - sea
temperature changes.
A detailed, long - term
ocean temperature record derived
from corals on Christmas Island in Kiribati and other islands in the tropical Pacific shows that the extreme warmth of recent El Niño events reflects not just the natural
ocean - atmosphere cycle but a new factor: global warming caused by human activity.
The global
ocean temperature was a major contributor to the global average, as its departure
from average for the period was also highest on
record, at 0.63 °C (1.13 °F) above average.
They compared existing National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)
records of upper -
ocean temperatures in coastal waters for each U.S.
ocean coastline with
records of actual sea level changes
from 1955 to 2012, and data
from U.S. / European satellite altimeter missions since 1992.
Oceans trap much of the heat
from greenhouse gas emissions, and 2014 was tied for the third warmest
ocean temperatures on
record.
Similar to the March — May global land and
ocean surface
temperature, the March — May land surface
temperature was also the fourth highest three - month departure
from average for any three - month period on
record.
The important point the study makes is that the onset of warming in the tropical
ocean in the 1830s is earlier than is typically assumed
from the instrumental
record and
from other proxy reconstructions that have focused mainly on Northern Hemisphere land
temperatures.
What we think of as the modern
temperature record is made up of many thousands of measurements
from the air above land and the
ocean surface, collected by ships, buoys and sometimes satellites, too.
Since NOAA began keeping
records in 1880, the combined global land and
ocean surface
temperature was the warmest on
record for both April and for the period
from January through April in 2010.
This understanding is likely to grow dramatically: since 2000 or so, scientists have deployed some 3,500 autonomous Argo floats, which measure
ocean temperature and salinity automatically and continuously — a much more reliable set of
records than you can get
from ships.
Those
record such information
from beneath the
ocean's surface as air and
ocean temperature and the speed and direction of
ocean currents.
More than 95 % of the 5 yr running mean of the surface
temperature change since 1850 can be replicated by an integration of the sunspot data (as a proxy for
ocean heat content), departing
from the average value over the period of the sunspot
record (~ 40SSN), plus the superimposition of a ~ 60 yr sinusoid representing the observed oceanic oscillations.
During the so - called Holocene Climate Optimum,
from approximately 8000 to 5000 years ago, when the
temperatures were somewhat warmer than today, there was significantly less sea ice in the Arctic
Ocean, probably less than 50 % of the summer 2007 coverage, which is absolutely lowest on
record.
Other validating data for the corrected surface
temperature record comes
from the
oceans, which have also been warming in recent decades.
Trenberth told Discovery said: «The eastern tropical Atlantic
Ocean, where disturbances
from Africa are transformed into hurricanes, is experiencing
record high
temperatures, even higher than in 2005, and that was the most hurricane - ridden season on
record.»
In this work the equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) is estimated based on observed near - surface
temperature change
from the instrumental
record, changes in
ocean heat content and detailed RF time series.
Halifax - While Nova Scotia, Canada was digging out
from a spring snowstorm this week, about 200 kilometers (124 miles) off the coast, scientists were
recording record - high
ocean temperatures in deep water that reached 14 degrees Celsius (57 degrees Fahrenheit).
A «winter snow storm»
from a flow of moisture that originated over
record warm
ocean temperatures of the Pacific.
The
Ocean tectonics, according to the geologic
records from North Atlantic show (as I actively advocated for some years) that the primary
temperature change is a function of the natural processes.
Previous large natural oscillations are important to examine: however, 1) our data isn't as good with regards to external forcings or to historical
temperatures, making attribution more difficult, 2) to the extent that we have solar and volcanic data, and paleoclimate
temperature records, they are indeed fairly consistent with each other within their respective uncertainties, and 3) most mechanisms of internal variability would have different fingerprints: eg, shifting of warmth
from the
oceans to the atmosphere (but we see warming in both), or simultaneous warming of the troposphere and stratosphere, or shifts in global
temperature associated with major
ocean current shifts which for the most part haven't been seen.
Indeed, last week we learned
from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration that the first eight months of 2015 were the hottest such stretch yet
recorded for the globe's surface land and
oceans, based on
temperature records going back to 1880.
«Using a GCM, can we regenerate the land
temperature record from the
ocean record using observed SSTs and sea ice distribution as a boundary condition?
It has been
recorded since the 1960s in terms of both rising
ocean temperature and rising acidity, both of which reduce the capacity to remove CO2
from the atmosphere, thereby advancing AGW and further
ocean warming.
C: increase in atmospheric CO2
from pre-industrial to present is anthropogenic (D / A) S: best guess for likely climate sensitivity (NUM) s: 2 - sigma range of S (NUM) a:
ocean acidification will be a problem (D / A) L: expected sea level rise by 2100 in cm (all contributions)(NUM) B: climate change will be beneficial (D / A) R: CO2 emissions need to be reduced drastically by 2050 (D / A) T: technical advances will take care of any problems (D / A) r: the 20th century global
temperature record is reliable (D / A) H: over the last 1000 years global
temperature was hockey stick shaped (D / A) D: data has been intentionally distorted by scientist to support the idea of anthropogenic climate change (D / A) g: the CRU - mails are important for the science (D / A) G: the CRU - mails are important otherwise (D / A)
Note: Minima are affected by relocation of
temperature ground stations in all five large coastal locations during the 20th century, with consequent falls in
recorded overnight minima due to greater distance
from the
ocean and removal of the urban heat influence.
Finally, the fact that both the
oceans and the atmosphere are at their all time highest
temperatures over the past 10 year average
from instrument
record and through extrapolation to near - term paleodata, we can see a remarkable consistent effect of what increasing greenhouse gases do to overall alterations in Earth's non-tectonic energy storage.
And there are appreciable artifacts in the
record as a result of changing soil moisture and thus changing ratios of sensible and latent heat at 2m
from the ground — plausibly causing an increasing land /
ocean temperature divergence during periods of widespread drought.
To clarify, land
temperature anomalies are
recorded as surface air
temperature, but
ocean temperature records are a more complex function that I believe also incorporates data
from the water surface itself.
The near - linear rate of anthropogenic warming (predominantly
from anthropogenic greenhouse gases) is shown in sources such as: «Deducing Multidecadal Anthropogenic Global Warming Trends Using Multiple Regression Analysis» «The global warming hiatus — a natural product of interactions of a secular warming trend and a multi-decadal oscillation» «The Origin and Limits of the Near Proportionality between Climate Warming and Cumulative CO2 Emissions» «Sensitivity of climate to cumulative carbon emissions due to compensation of
ocean heat and carbon uptake» «Return periods of global climate fluctuations and the pause» «Using data to attribute episodes of warming and cooling in instrumental
records» «The proportionality of global warming to cumulative carbon emissions» «The sensitivity of the proportionality between
temperature change and cumulative CO2 emissions to
ocean mixing»
Earlier this year he spoke at the prestigious TED conference in Long Beach, Calif., and stated what may seem a non-threatening fact: data collected
from 3,000 Argo floats that
record temperatures around the world's
oceans at different depths showed that the earth's energy imbalance is precisely «six - tenths of a watt per square metre.»
There are plenty of ways of looking at the surface air
temperature record that all show no statistically significant change in trend
from earlier decades, so any study that concludes sensitivity is different just with the addition of the past decade must be automatically suspect, and that's not even taking into account the heat going into the
oceans.
We could get rid of the negative forcings by subtracting the impacts of
ocean cycles etc.
from the
temperature record, leaving only the anthropogenic component.
Studies involving 28 million weather balloons, thousands of satellite
recordings, 3,000
ocean buoys,
temperature recordings from 50 sites in the US and a 1,000 years of
temperature proxies suggest that the Global Climate Models overestimate positive feedback and are based on poor assumptions.
In disbelief Keith and I were looking over a full year - long
record of
ocean temperature, salinity, and pressure as well as glacier motions
from a GPS.
With respect to ENSO, when anyone attempts to remove ENSO
from the instrument
temperature record, they're removing the signal primarily
from the East Pacific
Ocean and other parts of the globe where
temperature responds linearly to the ENSO index.
Figure 2: Impact of SST bias on the global (i.e. land /
ocean)
temperature record estimated
from the HadSST3 data.
UC Berkeley scientists calculated average
ocean temperatures from 1999 to 2015, separately using
ocean buoys and satellite data, and confirmed the uninterrupted warming trend reported by NOAA in 2015, based on that organization's recalibration of sea surface
temperature recordings from ships and buoys.
Temperatures over
ocean in May were the highest on
record, and tied with three other
records (all set within the past two decades) for «the highest departure
from average for any month on
record.»
Global surface
temperatures were the 8th or 9th highest
recorded, partly because the first two months were cool - ish thanks to a La Nina in the Pacific, where cooler waters sit on the top of the
ocean and suck up heat
from the atmosphere.
The more recent changeover
from engine - room intake to buoy measurements requires
ocean temperatures recorded over the past 20 years or so to be adjusted slightly to match the earlier measurements.
Had they applied reasonable physical models for the integrating and lagging (low pass filtering) response of the
ocean, and the positive feedback of cloud albedo
from the burn off effect, they could have discovered that solar activity can account for the full, 140 - year instrumented
temperature record.
Meteorological measurement and historical
record of air
temperature is now impacted by change to global wind speed caused by energy removed
from wind by wind turbines, and also by impact of human induced change to
ocean chemistry.
However, in the deep tropics, where the theoretical effects on the surface energy budget of
temperature - driven changes in evaporation and water vapour are particularly strong, there is a near quarter century
record of both SST and tas
from the Tropical Atmosphere
Ocean array of fixed buoys in the Pacific o
Ocean array of fixed buoys in the Pacific
oceanocean.
An analysis of the 2014 global
temperature anomaly
record shows that the
record 2014 anomaly may not have been a global event at all caused by increased man made greenhouse gases but a regional SST
record event in the North Pacific caused by unique
ocean / atmospheric interchange events that may happen
from time to time.
Tree Rings, CO2 levels, local
temperature records from thermometers, sea shells,
ocean floor deposits, and a thousand other things, give us «data» which we then attempt to decipher and make some sence out of.
The close match is partly a result of the fact that sea - level and
temperature data are derived
from the same deep
ocean record, but use of other sea - level reconstructions still yields a good fit between the calculated and observed
temperature [5].
Temperature records from thermometers aside though, this reality is confirmed by the fact that ice sheets are shrinking, Arctic sea ice is declining, and the
oceans are getting warmer.
Composed of 450 instrumental
records from temperature stations sheltered
from ocean - air / urbanization / adjustment biases throughout the world, a new 20th / 21st century global
temperature record introduced previously here very closely aligns with paleoclimate evidence
from tree rings, ice cores, fossil pollen and other
temperature proxies.
It includes results
from a variety of different empirical approaches, including (1) time series analyses of the published
temperature record; (2) examination of the response of the earth's outgoing radiation response to transient climate events; (3) calorimetric studies of the
ocean - atmosphere system; (4) mechanisms for secular climate change arising
from ocean circulation systems and astronomical influences; and (4) radiative and convective heat transfer in the
oceans and atmosphere.