Sentences with phrase «ocean trends on»

I don't know if there may be something to accounting for surface / ocean trends on decadal scales, but I was interested in the possibility in light of the recent «haiatus» in surface temperatures.

Not exact matches

A new study, the most comprehensive ever on seasonal distribution patterns and historic trends in abundance of white sharks (Carcharodon carcharias) in the western North Atlantic Ocean, used records compiled over more than 200 years to update knowledge and fill in gaps in information about this species.

Scientists can confidently say that Earth is warming due to greenhouse gas emissions caused by humans, but data on climate trends over the Antarctic and the surrounding Southern Ocean only go back to 1979 when regular satellite observations began.

Music mania is sweeping the ocean, and all the young male humpback whales are in on the latest trend.

«The impact on our estimates of the trends, especially over the oceans, does seem noteworthy.»

So the report notes that the current «pause» in new global average temperature records since 1998 — a year that saw the second strongest El Nino on record and shattered warming records — does not reflect the long - term trend and may be explained by the oceans absorbing the majority of the extra heat trapped by greenhouse gases as well as the cooling contributions of volcanic eruptions.

Gentlepeople, well done on nipping any controversy in the bud — as usual; though I'm left wondering if the warming trend isn't related to a subject that i'd like to see Real Climate Address more often; The possible shut - down of The North Atlantic Conveyor — as extreme warming of the Southern Oceans, along with the plunging of Europe into a new Ice Age would be the result of this, as I'm sure you all know.

Time series of temperature anomaly for all waters warmer than 14 °C show large reductions in interannual to inter-decadal variability and a more spatially uniform upper ocean warming trend (0.12 Wm − 2 on average) than previous results.

Given the strength of the Hurst coefficients — something we all agree on — is it not possible that a large portion of the current warming trend is a product of internal climate variability, as mediated by complex dynamics of ocean circulation?

Not that it isn't a good paper that shows the temperature trends, but it's important (as the postscript admits) that future predictions will depend heavily on getting the ocean component right.

blaming the results reported in Nature on a» chain of heat - venting sub-sea islands», which given the continental trend, seems even more bizarre than invoking volcanic activity in the Arctic ocean

To remove this difference in magnitude and focus instead on the patterns of change, the authors scaled the vertical profiles of ocean temperature (area - weighted with respect to each vertical ocean layer) with the global surface air temperature trend of each period.

Based on the linear trend, for the 0 to 3,000 m layer for the period 1961 to 2003 there has been an increase of ocean heat content of approximately 14.2 ± 2.4 × 1022 J, corresponding to a global ocean volume mean temperature increase of 0.037 °C during this period.

Linear trends (1955 — 2003) of change in ocean heat content per unit surface area (W m — 2) for the 0 to 700 m layer, based on the work of Levitus et al. (2005a).

The time series shows an overall trend of increasing heat content in the World Ocean with interannual and inter-decadal variations superimposed on this trend.

«[B] y making use of 21 CMIP5 coupled climate models, we study the contribution of external forcing to the Pacific Ocean regional sea level variability over 1993 — 2013, and show that according to climate models, externally forced and thereby the anthropogenic sea level fingerprint on regional sea level trends in the tropical Pacific is still too small to be observable by satellite altimetry.»

Figure 5.5 shows the linear trends (based on pentadal anomaly fields) of zonally averaged salinity in the upper 500 m of the World Ocean and individual ocean basins (Boyer et al., 2005) from 1955 to Ocean and individual ocean basins (Boyer et al., 2005) from 1955 to ocean basins (Boyer et al., 2005) from 1955 to 1998.

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The gender - reversed remake trend looks to hit paydirt with this play on Steven Soderbergh's Ocean's Eleven movies — and just as those Rat - Pack throwback heist flicks doubled as tributes to contemporary movie - star glamour, this spin - off offers up three of Hollywood's biggest actresses (Sandra Bullock, Cate Blanchett, and Anne Hathaway) in place of the Clooney / Pitt / Damon trifecta.

This warming trend in the Pacific Ocean is on the tips of everyone's tongue when wishfully discussing the possibility of enough rain this winter to quench our state's historic drought.

Long known as one of the Bahamas» most upscale hideaways, One & Only Ocean Club on Paradise Island in the Bahamas is where Cindy Crawford and Rande Gerber married and popularized the destination wedding trend.

Nintendo and its blue ocean strategy still show to be successful among an industry bent on recent 4K and VR trends.

Dan (# 52) also points out that the very same trends which we are seeing on land are showing up in temperature records at sea and the atmosphere, and as Spencer (# 1) points out, in boreholes, and as I have pointed out, in the ocean depths down to 1500 meters.

Given how much yelling takes place on the Internet, talk radio, and elsewhere over short - term cool and hot spells in relation to global warming, I wanted to find out whether anyone had generated a decent decades - long graph of global temperature trends accounting for, and erasing, the short - term up - and - down flickers from the cyclical shift in the tropical Pacific Ocean known as the El Niño — Southern Oscillation, or ENSO, cycle.

The other issue, which they touch on is the short record and the dominance of interannual fluctuations in the upper ocean that are not trends.

There is a difference between peaks and valleys in noisy processes (1998 surface air temperature, 2007 record minimum ice, or shipping at a few small areas on the edges of the Arctic ocean) and CO2 forcing driven trends, especially when different measures.

You'll undoubtedly hear from some folks who question whether Maldives is threatened by rising seas by pointing to scientific controversies over recent sea - level trends in the Indian Ocean, so I'll put up a link to relevant published literature on Google Scholar here.

~ Our study confirms many changes seen in upper Arctic Ocean circulation in the 1990s were mostly decadal in nature, rather than trends caused by global warming,» / / www.jpl.nasa.gov/news/news.cfm?release=2007-131 [ANDY REVKIN comments: That's precisely what I wrote in the Science Times feature on Arctic ice in September (link is in the post).

It discusses the only the impact of the ocean on rates of warming and how that reduced expected trends in Antarctica with respect to earlier simulations that did not include such effects.

As far back as November 2013, the CPC and the IRI have predicted an elevated chance of El Niño (relative to historical chance or climatology) based on a combination of model predictions and general trends over the tropical Pacific Ocean.

We don't have good information on the base of the food chain for most of the past — that's just «noise» but now that we start having ways to track trends in primary productivity — what's being made out of sunlight, water and CO2, by which organisms, and how fast do their populations change (remembering that some plankton populations turn over a new generation in a couple of weeks so relative numbers of different species can change that fast across the oceans).

This sounds good since the trend in ocean heat content would be very, very close to the trend for the whole system, but just try finding any sort of calculation of this metric on his site.

Atlantic tropical cyclones are getting stronger on average, with a 30 - year trend that has been related to an increase in ocean temperatures over the Atlantic Ocean and elsewhere 1 &mdasocean temperatures over the Atlantic Ocean and elsewhere 1 &mdasOcean and elsewhere 1 — 4.

One new experiment is a nascent blog at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory, with a fresh contribution by Josh Willis, whose work on ocean temperature trends has been discussed here.

If the observed global trends in temperature rises continue, there will be an increased probability of a recurrence of the phenomenon observed in 1998 on the coral reefs of the Indian Ocean, as well as in other parts of the tropical oceans in coming years.â $?

Canadian Ice Service, 4.7, Multiple Methods As with CIS contributions in June 2009, 2010, and 2011, the 2012 forecast was derived using a combination of three methods: 1) a qualitative heuristic method based on observed end - of - winter arctic ice thicknesses and extents, as well as an examination of Surface Air Temperature (SAT), Sea Level Pressure (SLP) and vector wind anomaly patterns and trends; 2) an experimental Optimal Filtering Based (OFB) Model, which uses an optimal linear data filter to extrapolate NSIDC's September Arctic Ice Extent time series into the future; and 3) an experimental Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) prediction system that tests ocean, atmosphere and sea ice predictors.

WMO will issue its full Statement on the State of the Climate in 2017 in March which will provide a comprehensive overview of temperature variability and trends, high - impact events, and long - term indicators of climate change such as increasing carbon dioxide concentrations, Arctic and Antarctic sea ice, sea level rise and ocean acidification.

Canadian Ice Service, 4.7 (+ / - 0.2), Heuristic / Statistical (same as June) The 2015 forecast was derived by considering a combination of methods: 1) a qualitative heuristic method based on observed end - of - winter Arctic ice thickness extents, as well as winter Surface Air Temperature, Sea Level Pressure and vector wind anomaly patterns and trends; 2) a simple statistical method, Optimal Filtering Based Model (OFBM), that uses an optimal linear data filter to extrapolate the September sea ice extent timeseries into the future and 3) a Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) prediction system that tests ocean, atmosphere and sea ice predictors.

Combining that with theoretical knowledge on ocean chemistry and on known sources of carbon from burning fossil fuels and other human activities is enough to give a clear picture on main trends.

Years - long ocean trends such as El Niño and La Niña cause alternate warming and cooling of the sea surface there, with effects on monsoons and temperatures around the world.

If current trends continue, the Arctic will be ice - free at 12; 39 PM on December 14 — with temperatures of -30 C. Ocean and Ice Services Danmarks Meteorologiske Institut Remember last week, when Arctic experts were certain that winter - like storms would... Continue reading →

Ocean and Ice Services Danmarks Meteorologiske Institut If current trends continue, the Arctic will be ice - free on August 15, 2017.

If recent trends continue, the Arctic will be ice - free on January 30, 2018 at 6:04 AM, with polar temperatures averaging -31 C. Ocean and Ice Services Danmarks Meteorologiske Institut

Over the long - term, melting of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet could yield as much as 10 to 14 feet of global average sea level rise, with local sea level rise varying considerably depending on land elevation trends, ocean currents and other factors.

But on the contrary, the Southern Ocean has warmed by around 0.5 °C in the three decades since satellites began measuring sea ice trends.

Linear trends (1955 — 2003) of change in ocean heat content per unit surface area (W m — 2) for the 0 to 700 m layer, based on the work of Levitus et al. (2005a).

You have to view the decadal trends to see the imbalance signal and, decade on decade, the ocean has warmed, and the land has too.

Based on the linear trend, for the 0 to 3,000 m layer for the period 1961 to 2003 there has been an increase of ocean heat content of approximately 14.2 ± 2.4 × 1022 J, corresponding to a global ocean volume mean temperature increase of 0.037 °C during this period.

Figure 5.3 shows the linear trends (1955 to 2003) of zonally averaged temperature anomalies (0 to 1,500 m) for the World Ocean and individual basins based on yearly anomaly fields (Levitus et al., 2005a).

The time series shows an overall trend of increasing heat content in the World Ocean with interannual and inter-decadal variations superimposed on this trend.