Not exact matches
Not considering the change in net
uptake of carbon by the
ocean, you can put the following numbers on that (
based on Ramanathan and Feng, 2009):
In addition, some studies also use the estimated
ocean heat
uptake since 1955
based on Levitus et al. (2000, 2005)(Chapter 5), and temperature changes in the free atmosphere (Chapter 3; see also Table 9.3).
McNeil et al. (2003), Anthropogenic CO2
uptake by the
ocean based on the global chlorofluorocarbon data set, Science, Vol 299, 235 - 239.
If you look at the Fig. 3a in our review (red lines at the top) you see that many previous estimates
based on the observed warming /
ocean heat
uptake had a tendency to peak at values below 3 °C (that review is from 2008).
Additional carbon dioxide
uptake causes direct changes in seawater acid -
base and inorganic carbon chemistry in a process termed
ocean acidification.
«Model -
Based Evidence of Deep -
Ocean Heat
Uptake During Surface - Temperature Hiatus Periods.»
The US CLIVAR / OCB Southern
Ocean Working Group was formed to identify critical observational targets and develop data / model metrics
based on the currently available observational data, both physical and tracer, and the assimilative modeling (re) analyses, and evaluate and develop our understanding of the importance of mesoscale eddies in the heat and carbon
uptake and of the response of the Southern
Ocean to a changing climate, using high - resolution numerical studies and theory.
Based on the rather vast uncertainties in aerosol forcing, and the substantial discrepancies between model projections of
ocean heat
uptake and measured heat
uptake (ARGO), it strikes me as bizarre that the IPCC insists on excluding the possibility of quite low sensitivity, when there is a wealth of evidence for fairly low sensitivity.
Meehl, G. A., J. M. Arblaster, J. T. Fasullo, A. Hu, and K. E. Trenberth, 2011: Model -
based evidence of deep -
ocean heat
uptake during surface - temperature hiatus periods.
No, the model result is only used to estimate
ocean heat
uptake in the
base period, which is before observational data was available.
The analysis uses a global energy budget model that links ECS and TCR to changes in global mean surface temperature (GMST), radiative forcing and the rate of
ocean heat
uptake between a
base and a final period.
Based on most of the reconstructions of the tropical
oceans I have seen, the current rate of
ocean heat
uptake is perfectly consistent with long term recovery.
Meehl, G. A., Arblaster, J. M., Fasullo, J. Y., Hu, A. & Trenberth, K. E. Model -
based evidence of deep -
ocean heat
uptake during surface - temperature hiatus periods.
You write, in reference to it: «his choice of
ocean heat
uptake is
based on taking a short term trend over a period in which the observed warming is markedly lower than the longer - term multidecadal value.»
Meehl, G. A., Arblaster, J. M., Fasullo, J. T., Hu, A. & Trenberth, K. E. Model -
based evidence of deep -
ocean heat
uptake during surface - temperature hiatus periods.
Hot off the press, in yesterday's Journal of Climate, Nic Lewis and Judith Curry have re-calculated the equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS)
based upon the historical
uptake of heat into the
ocean and human emissions of greenhouse gases and aerosols.