The land -
ocean warming ratio covers a range of about 1.4 - 1.8 in models.
Paul S also noted that much of the NH / SH ratio comes from the greater land /
ocean warming ratio in the NH than is generally modelled, which is another mystery.
Not exact matches
«Somewhat counter-intuitively, a land — sea surface
warming ratio greater than unity during transient climate change is actually not mainly a result of the differing thermal inertias of land and
ocean, but primarily originates in the differing properties of the surface and boundary layer (henceforth BL) over land and
ocean (Manabe et al. 1991; Sutton et al. 2007; Joshi et al. 2008 (henceforth JGW08), Dong et al. 2009) as well as differing cloud feedbacks (Fasullo 2010; Andrews et al. 2010).»
Second, the quantity of methane necessary to explain the carbon isotope
ratio, as calculated by Dickens, would be much less than that required to
warm ocean and atmosphere temperatures to the extent estimated by PETM temperature proxies and calculated by physical climate models.
As the area / volume
ratio for the NH parts of the
oceans is practically the same as for the SH, the surface heating (W / m2) must be larger in the NH parts, within the constraints of heat exchange via
ocean and air currents (and partly by the difference in
warming area in the tropics vs. the cooling areas in the higher latitudes)...
So
warming the
ocean does not preclude it from absorbing any extra CO2 from the atmosphere, all it does is change the partitioning
ratio.
This partitioning
ratio is temperature - dependent, meaning that if you
warm the
ocean it changes, albeit slightly.
Furthermore, the zonal means over land and
ocean considered above are representative of much of the small differences in
warming ratio.
NASA's «GISS» temp uses land and
ocean - based thermometers which measure «different parts of the system [UHI affected parking lots, asphalt heat sinks, AC exhaust air vents], different signal to noise
ratio [we bias toward
warm stations], different structural uncertainty [we «homogenise» our data set to cool the past and
warm the present to fit the global
warming narrative].»
In any case Gavin admitted that the TLT should be at least 0.95 of the faster
warming land surface record and left unsaid what the specific higher
ratio to the heat - uptaking
ocean's 70 % of the planet surface was.
Whatever happens to the isotope
ratio the fact is that
warmer oceans hold less CO2 and colder
oceans hold more CO2.
Energy
ratio: for example (because I'm not sure offhand what the best amount to use is), taking just 5 % of the
ocean and the latent heat of increased H2O vapor and the heat needed to
warm the air as calculated before, heating this up 3 K would take 872 ZJ (still mostly going to the
ocean).
The reduction of phosphate - rich ribosomes2 in
warmer oceans will tend to produce higher organismal nitrogen (N) to phosphate (P)
ratios, in turn increasing demand for N with consequences for the marine carbon cycle due to shifts towards N - limitation.
Here, we present an explanation for time - invariant land — sea
warming ratio that applies if three conditions on radiative forcing are met: first, spatial variations in the climate forcing must be sufficiently small that the lower free troposphere
warms evenly over land and
ocean; second, the temperature response must not be large enough to change the global circulation to zeroth order; third, the temperature response must not be large enough to modify the boundary layer amplification mechanisms that contribute to making φ exceed unity.