Meehl and his colleagues used two sophisticated computer models of global climate to predict what would happen under various scenarios for greenhouse gas emission controls, taking into account
the oceanic time lag.
My questions regarding atmospheric to
oceanic time lag are based not only on common sense, but also on what I've been reading in the cli.
-LSB-...] My questions regarding atmospheric to
oceanic time lag are based not only on common sense, but also on what I've been reading in the cli.
Meehl and his colleagues used two sophisticated computer models of global climate to predict what would happen under various scenarios for greenhouse gas emission controls, taking into account
the oceanic time lag.
Not exact matches
There is no reason to expect a trend reversal (unless you have some new data and modeling you would like to share (that has made it through peer review and peer response and survived)-RRB- to to the amount of forcing in the system, the lifetime of Co2 in the atmosphere, the human industrial output and the
oceanic thermal inertia and
lag time for absorption.
«from
time to
time the other
oceanic cycles can operate in the opposite mode to PDO / ENSO thereby offsetting it until any
lag is worked through.
In effect they simply continue the distribution of the initial (solar induced) warming or cooling state around the globe and of course there are varying degrees of
lag so that from
time to
time the other lesser
oceanic oscillations can operate contrary to the primary Pacific oscillations until the
lag is worked through.
Remember that there is a variable
lag between the initial solar effect of warming or cooling on the Pacific Ocean and that effect then working through all the other
oceanic oscillations so it is difficult to establish the overall balance of the
oceanic oscillations at any given
time.
«On the basis of the information in the public domain about solar cycles and the positive PDO it should have been blatantly obvious that the world would warm up without the need to speculate on a contribution from CO2 or anything else... I find Mr. [Alec] Rawls very helpful in illustrating the effect of
time lags between solar input and
oceanic oscillations... As Mr. Rawls points out...
Other sources of
lag could be the
time required for the ocean to mix vertically, for sea - ice to melt, for
oceanic biological productivity to change, and / or for the concentrations of atmospheric dust to change («
Timing of Atmospheric CO2 and Antarctic Temperature Changes Across Termination III», Science Magazine # 299).