That said, it is going to be discussed as if it were an attribution study — that global warming raised
the odds of this extreme event.
Not exact matches
Still, the
odds of seeing such an
extreme event have changed, she says.
The WWA analysis factored in both types
of changes, examining how warming changed the
odds of such an
extreme event using three independent methods.
Just days later, a real - time analysis by scientists working with Climate Central's World Weather Attribution program has found that global warming has boosted the
odds of such an
extreme rainfall
event in the region by about 40 percent — a small, but clear, effect, the scientists say.
Such mixed results aren't unusual in attribution science, which seeks to look for the causes, whether climate change or natural fluctuations, that change the
odds of extreme weather
events.
According to research from Purdue University, hotter, drier conditions and increased
odds of extreme weather
events associated with climate change may prove fatal for walnut trees, bringing economic consequences to areas across the nation.
Over the last five years, the BAMS report has examined more than 100
events as part
of a burgeoning sub-field
of climate science that uses observations and climate models to show how human - caused warming has already affected the
odds or severity
of many
of the weather
extremes we experience now.
Other studies have shown that climate change increases the
odds of extreme heat
events and may make them warmer and longer lasting.
There are now very long
odds that human activity is warming the atmosphere; and it is substantially
odds - on that this warming is increasing the risk
of damaging
extreme weather
events.
One conclusion there was that while this
event bore no human fingerprint, a human - warmed world will see far higher
odds of such
extremes:
After reading one
of my recent pieces examining Pakistani flooding and Russian heat in the context
of climate change, Steven Sherwood, a climate scientist at the University
of New South Wales in Sydney, Australia, offered a variant on this idea, noting that — for heat particularly — the severity
of extreme events will change along with the
odds:
According to Climate Communication, «All weather
events are now influenced by climate change because all weather now develops in a different environment than before... climate change has shifted the
odds and changed the natural limits, making certain types
of extreme weather more frequent and more intense.»
The independently - funded group used new modelling to look at the
odds of extreme heat
events occurring, with and without man - made emissions.
The NewYork Times: With one week left for the U.N. climate change talks to conclude, developed and developing countries remain at
odds on how to solve the crisis being linked to the recent spate
of extreme weather
events that have claimed lives and destroyed property worth billions
of dollar.
Global warming has obviously made temperatures warmer, on average, which in turn has increased the
odds of extreme heat
events.
With weather@home we can investigate how the
odds of extreme weather
events change due to man - made climate change and natural climate variability.
US science advisor John Holdren refers to a «growing body
of evidence» as he explained why
extreme weather
events in northern mid-latitudes may be linked to anthropogenic global warming, saying he believed the «
odds are good» that this will occur more frequently in future.