Sentences with phrase «odds of recession»

Nevertheless, an expansion does not die from old age, and the odds of a recession occurring in the next 12 months are low, according to most prognosticators.

Odds of a Recession According to one view of the economy by the Federal Reserve the odds of a recession are 50 - 50.

The billionaire's outlook contrasts with the views of economists such as New York University Professor Nouriel Roubini and Harvard University Professor Martin Feldstein, who have said the odds of another recession may be one in three or higher.

Not that I am calling for a recession in 2007, but when a hawk like William Poole says that the odds of a recession are rising, it tells me that the Fed is looking for a reason to cut rates.

Forward earnings on the S&P 500 then were 93.77, the ten - year yield was 3.9 % and the odds of a recession — according to the best method — were nearly 100 %

So if we can expect 3 more quarter - point hikes this year it would seem to make sense to stick to short - term CDs yielding around 2 % now and then look for a longer - term one at around 3.5 % at EOY, especially if one — I am in this camp — thinks that by EOY the odds of recession will have risen enough that further rate hikes in 2019 will be looking doubtful.

«Our full recession probability model puts the odds of a recession in the next twelve months at about 10 %.

Not exact matches

Neil Dutta, the head of US economics at Renaissance Macro Research, spoke to Business Insider executive editor Sara Silverstein about what he sees as very low odds for a recession.

Re: # 2 — I think that it is too general to say that «Starting in a recession won't affect your business's odds of survival».

I believe Europe is in or near recession and that the odds are increasing north of 50 % that the U.S. will be in recession next year.

«So long as the Fed is in an accommodative mode and the economy is out of recession, the odds are that you will have a bull market,» David Rosenberg, chief economist at Gluskin Sheff and Associates, told the New York Times Tuesday.

With stocks at currently high multiples on normalized earnings, that type of scenario would probably increase the odds off a deep recession and induce a much larger decline in stock prices.

Today, based on the weight of the evidence, the odds are statistically low for a U.S. recession in 2017 and the beginning of 2018.

With stocks at currently high multiples on normalized earnings, that type of scenario would probably increase the odds off a deep recession and induce a much larger decline in stock prices.