Not exact matches
«Probability is not a mere computation of
odds on the dice or more complicated variants; it is the acceptance of the lack of
certainty in our knowledge and the development of methods for dealing with our ignorance.»
On the other hand, if intrinsic value's far higher, this might well encourage me to invest in a far earlier stage / lower
certainty deal and / or I believe it raises the
odds of a second bidder showing up at the dinner party.
I would give
odds on for 10 to 30 years of no warming, even money for a longer term cooling and a dead set
certainty for eventually triggering OHC and ice sheet feedbacks and plunging into a glacial in a decade.