It is easier for a game to go under its total if
oddsmakers set a high line.
Following this massive roster turnover,
oddsmakers set Portland's win total at 26.5.
Oddsmakers set the total at 10.5 games.
Oddsmakers set the over / under on UCLA linebacker Myles Jack's draft position at 8 despite concerns regarding a lingering knee issue.
After losing four of their five starters (including LaMarcus Aldridge),
oddsmakers set the Blazers win total at 25.5.
I think that
oddsmakers set a great number of 56.5 and would lean towards them falling just below that figure by the end of the season.
Last season after losing 80 % of their starting lineup,
oddsmakers set the Portland Trail Blazers win total at 26.5.
Not exact matches
It's fun to think about just what the
oddsmakers were taking into consideration when
setting these lines.
However, the
oddsmakers have
set the Pittsburgh points (102.5) and wins (47) projections much lower.
Oddsmakers account for home - field advantage when
setting lines, but many casual bettors don't seem to realize that.
Over the years,
oddsmakers have done a great job at
setting the favorite.
Oddsmakers at 5Dimes
set the over / under on Sanders longest reception at 26.5 yards, even though he has hauled in at least one reception of that length in 25 of 35 games since signing with Denver.
Although most sportsbooks moved the Pats from -6.5 to -3 for their Week 1 game against the Steelers, many
oddsmakers (including the market -
setting CRIS) have taken this game off the board.
In fact,
oddsmakers believe there's a good chance that somebody will
set Chris Johnson's record for the fastest 40 - yard dash (4.24 seconds).
The
Oddsmakers have
set his 2016 home run total at 30.5.
Similarly, ESPN's fantasy experts are projecting 38 home runs from Miguel Sano but the
oddsmakers have
set his over / under at 29.5.
I wanted to know which player the
oddsmakers believed was more valuable so I reached out to Scott Cooley, an Odds Consultant for the market -
setting Bookmaker.eu.
Finally,
oddsmakers have
set the over / under on David Ortiz RBI at 90.5 but the ESPN experts are projecting 102.
Despite the supposed struggles of
setting lines for the first week of the preseason,
oddsmakers have done fairly well for themselves.
Howard is still viewed as a source of cheap power, but
oddsmakers have
set the over / under for the 35 - year old lefty at only 75.5 RBI — far less than the 89 RBI which ESPN's fantasy pundits are predicting.
What's particularly interesting about this bet type is that
oddsmakers have limited time to
set second half lines, and often times they're being forced to
set several second half lines simultaneously.
Setting the odds for these prop bets is a departure from just establishing a favorite to win and the point spread, according to Pat Morrow, Bovada's head
oddsmaker.
Though Cleveland has a firm grasp on the top seed in the Eastern Conference,
oddsmakers have
set their over / under at 58.5 wins — just one game higher than their preseason total.
This indicates that
oddsmakers have done an exceptional job of
setting lines over the past twelve years, but we believed that by looking at games with low totals we could improve these results.
The Blue Devils were such large favorites against the 16th seeded Arkansas - Pine Bluff Golden Lions, that
oddsmakers did not even
set a line.
The Cowboys consistently receive an abundance of public support, and
oddsmakers have to be wary of that when
setting their lines.
Oddsmakers have
set the Oakland Athletics» win total at 66.5, which is second lowest win total of any team in the league.
Oddsmakers have also
set James» over / under at 187.5 points.
Historically,
oddsmakers have done well
setting the favorite — the favorites have gone 26 -19-2 against the spread all - time.
I also like the fact that this O / U is
set at just 2 goals, so
oddsmakers are expecting a low - scoring affair, something that should help the road dog.
Through the first four weeks, the over has gone 148 - 134 (52.5 %) and
oddsmakers can't seem to
set the over / under high enough for the nation's top offenses.
That said, it's important to realize that
oddsmakers account for this edge when
setting their total.
Perhaps what's even stranger that the total itself is the lack of agreement among offshore
oddsmakers as SIA's (Sports Interaction) over / under was
set 10 points lower at 82.5.
Oddsmakers on the other hand were optimistic about Mathieu's draft prospects and
set his Over / Under at 75.5.
CBS Sports lists five QB's among their top 32 prospects (Blake Bortles at 6, Johnny Manziel at 7, Teddy Bridgewater at 15, Derek Carr at 26 and Tom Savage at 31); however,
oddsmakers have
set the Over / Under on first round quarterbacks at 3.5.
In the introduction we mentioned that
oddsmakers haven't been able to
set the total high enough this season, and perhaps no game corroborates that statement better than Saturday's Texas Tech / Baylor game.
At the time of publication, uncertainty regarding the injury statuses of Joe Flacco and Andrew Luck and Jay Cutler's triumphant return have forced
oddsmakers at market -
setting sportsbooks like CRIS and Pinnacle to take their Week 1 games off the board.
While the team of ESPN experts project a 32 - 50 record for Utah,
oddsmakers have
set Utah's win total at just 25, and the reasoning is simple — youth and inexperience.
For the series,
oddsmakers have
set the Blackhawks as almost 2.5 - 1 favorites.
Oddsmakers have continued to increase their college basketball totals this season, yet overs have been hitting at a record -
setting pace.
Pinnacle, one of the market -
setting sportsbooks, was the first major
oddsmaker to update these odds.
The
oddsmakers have also
set the team's season win total at 6 games but juiced the UNDER heavily.
The
oddsmakers have
set the Seahawks season win total at 10.5.
Oddsmakers often have to
set second half lines for several games at the same time and have to account for public perception.