Sentences with phrase «of elections model»

Mayor de Blasio says he is rethinking the Board of Elections model after saying, «I think it's time for a fundamental change.»

Not exact matches

The notes, which were photographed as one of his aides closed the binder during a short break from testifying, were extensive and covered issues of data scraping, data safety, and matters surrounding disturbing content on the platform, as well as broader issues of diversity, competition, Facebook's business model, Apple's business model, and «Election Integrity (Russia).»

The Upshot blog at the New York Times, which has a predictive model of its own, never gave Trump more than a 40 % chance of winning the election.

We used the same kind of political preference models used by the Obama and Clinton campaigns; however we started five months out from election day and did it with far fewer resources and less data.

This contract, which is dated September 15, 2014, is for the: «Design and development of an Engagement Platform System», also referred to as «the Ripon Platform», and described as: «A scalable engagement platform that leverages the strength of SCLs modelling data, providing an actionable toolset and dashboard interface for the target campaigns in the 2014 election cycle.

Section 3311 of the House version of the TCJA would have repealed the § 1221 (b)(3) election to treat self - created musical compositions as capital assets and — more important to the current discussion — would have added the words «a patent, invention, model or design (whether or not patented), a secret formula or process» before «a copyright» in the § 1221 (a)(3) exception to the definition of a capital asset.

These include holding open Cabinet meetings at least once a month, which will be broadcasted on the Internet; giving Members of the Legislative Assembly (MLAs) a greater role by reforming the Legislative committee system and allowing government MLAs to vote freely (as opposed to voting according to the Party's preferences); restricting the tenure of a premier to two (four - year) terms; holding a Citizen's Assembly on electoral reform to examine alternative models for electing MLAs; instituting a system by which citizens can recall elected officials; and instituting elections for all government boards and commissions.

The white government chose, under intense internal and international pressure, to relinquish power, and negotiated with its former black enemies a process that led to the election of a black president, a model constitution, and relatively low casualties, considering the alternatives.

So here's what I think about the election: The forecasts — based on complicated models — found in the APSA's PS by real social scientists — with the exception of the one by the astute James Campbell — are, as usual, too timid in terms of picking up the impending surge....

Models of the political behaviour of an electorate are used to project election returns.

The fears that emerged during the 1980 national elections were understandable: Was paid - time religious programming the correct model for electronic communication, destined to become the new form of Christianity in the modern age?

Mr Clarke believed that the corporate model, where Treasury had winery assets in Australia, the US, New Zealand and Europe, was the ideal structure in the wake of the election of Donald Trump.

They may account on some Trump supporters hiding their vote intention because of peer pressure / embarrassment using historical data, but if peer pressure is higher in this election than in previous elections it is difficult to tune up that effect correctly (how can you measure peer pressure to adjust your model before the election day?).

@MontyHarder Agreed, and an interesting fact to note is that we got rid of that model for Senators in favor of direct elections because an Illinois governor was involved ina scandal to sell the Senate seat to the highest bidder... and almost 100 years to the day of that amendment to the constitution you had another Illinois governor do the exact same thing.

The Root MSE tells us that the models are on average 3 to 5 percentage points out on the change in share of the council seats won, which is a big average error for a prediction model when there are thousands of seats up for election.

But the primary drivers are the success of Reagan, the galvanizing of people behind the Reagan model, and the wide divide between the two parties today and the nature of the primary election, which cuts the vote in half, and the «More true conservative» often has a clear path to office.

A similar technique was used to successfully predict the outcome of the 2012 US election, but the firm had to construct a new model for Britain's more complex 650 - constituency political system.

The dependent variable for the models is the change in share of seats at a given election.

Hillary Clinton's 2016 campaign exemplifies the problem, since they were so confident in their modeling that they didn't even bother to conduct polls in the last few weeks of the presidential race in the states that swung the election.

What do Silver (538) and Gelman models tell us about the impact on vote share of the Russian hacking of Democrats and the FBI intervention in the US election?

You might now look at recent US election results and reason that even if the US would use the European counting model, the number of votes for other parties than Republicans and Democrats are usually so few that it wouldn't be enough for noteworthy representation in Congress.

The Chairman of the Electoral Committee, Kenneth Mozia (SAN), who supervised the opening of the forms, assured the aspirants and members of the NBA that his committee would do its best in conducting not just a free, fair and credible election but one that would serve as a model for future elections in the country and beyond.

Using the same data a logit regression model improves the predictive power of local elections to tell us who will win the most votes at the next general election, making correct predictions 86.21 % of the time.

The graphs of the predicted vote share illustrate the predicted results of the model and the actual results of the subsequent national election and show the predictive power or the model is fairly accurate.

In Bolivia, the election of Evo Morales as President in 2005 and the rise of the Movement Towards Socialism (MAS) gave political meaning to plurinationalism as an alternative model of state and citizenship, which was meant to overcome the neoliberal multicultural framework for diversity management.

Upon Ed Miliband's election as leader of the Labour Party, The Guardian reported that after looking at Policy Network's Southern Discomfort Again pamphlet, he is expected to set up a commission into the so - called «squeezed middle», modelled on the inquiry set up by Joe Biden into the US middle class.

We used the same kind of political preference models used by the Obama and Clinton campaigns; however we started five months out from Election Day and did it with far fewer resources and data.

While the Federal Election Commission approved a federal text - to - donate model for campaigns back in June of 2012, down - ballot campaigns need approval at the state level.

Enact Public Campaign Financing: In order to free state government from control by wealthy special interests and pay - to - play corruption, election and ethics reform must include full public financing of state elections on the model used by Arizona and Maine.

Two years ago I developed a simple statistical model that tries to predict the outcome of general elections from local election results.

If a DEEM turns bad or ineffective during the four - year term, and loses the confidence of the council, in the current English model there is no provision for the removal of a DEEM until the next election, although a leader can be ejected.

Considering that Roy Moore, who's leading the polls for the election in Alabama, has been accused of being a sexual predator targeting underage women, and considering that the elected president of the USA, Donald Trump, is himself someone who has admitted to groping and spying on naked, underage models, and even said that he would like to have sex with his own daughter, my question is, to what extent is pedophilia an accepted sexual orientation in the United States?

In order to do so I gathered a dataset of previous English by - elections and changes in public opinion and ran a series of regression models (statistically minded readers can see a brief rundown of my data and methodology here).

In short, for a very simple model, it fits the data remarkably well, explaining 88.5 % of the variance in English by - election results (an R2 of 0.885 in stats parlance).

My secondary model also predicts a very high probability that the Conservatives will win the largest share of the vote at the next election (76.24 %) whilst Labour only has a 15.35 % chance.

The uncertainty produced by the rise of UKIP is even more dramatically illustrated by a second model, which predicts the probability that the Conservatives or Labour will be the largest party at the next election.

The net effects of this trend are reflected in the vote intention polls, but geographical implications for this year's local elections are not part of my model.

My official prediction using my Final Election Model is that the Conservatives will make a net gain of 45 seats resulting in a working majority of 105 seats.

Assembly Speaker Sheldon Silver formally introduced a bill this week that would create a statewide voluntary public matching funds program in New York, calling on fellow legislators to pass the bill and make New York state «the model for the rest of the nation in establishing and preserving fair elections.»

This of course is a very rough model and it can not take appropriate account of the fact that changing support levels between elections tend to vary geographically 9as occurred in the 2015 contest).

I will now use my nURS model described in step 4 to generate an election forecast for a variety of CON - LAB leads shown in the blue and green labels in table P0.

For a variety of reasons (including the impact of high levels of undecided voters in a specific poll), the actual result of an election contest may vary from the figures suggested by an opinion poll, even if the poll is carried out relatively close to election day, or on election day itself as in the case of exit polls, but the likelihood of such variation is not something that can be factored into this model.

This model starts from the premise that winning a general election in Britain means gaining most seats in the House of Commons, not the most votes in a general election.

The following table shows my model based forecast, a 95 % probability prediction range, and the Colin Rallings and Michael Thrasher estimates from their analysis of local by - elections.

The forecasting model works by combining the number of seats won by parties in the previous election with vote intentions data from polls conducted six months prior to the election — in this case the data is from November 2014.

The answer to Albany corruption is crystal clear by now: limit outside income like the congressional model and enact comprehensive campaign finance reform, including public financing of elections and fully closing the LLC loophole.

The question before progressive advocates of public campaign financing in New York State is whether we push for full public campaign finance on the Clean Money model of equal and sufficient funding grants for all qualified candidates, or whether we settle for partial public campaign financing on the Matching Funds model used for presidential primaries since 1976 and for New York City local elections since 1989.

To support public financing of election campaigns in the state of New York, modeled after New York City's system, and to join coalitions, including Citizens Action of New York, to support this reform.

When allies of the mayor began to set up the Campaign for One New York, after de Blasio's election in 2013, they followed a model established by Gov. Andrew Cuomo — even hiring the same well - established election lawyer, Laurence Laufer, who had helped set up a similar nonprofit to support Cuomo's agenda three years earlier.

This of course is a very rough model and it can not take appropriate account of the fact that changing support levels between elections tend to vary geographically, while it also fails to take account of the local particularities of the different regions in cases where no regional figures are produced in association with different national opinion polls meaning that there is no scope to carry out separate regional analyses based on these poll figures.