Louis and Ryan discuss the impact of the earthquake and tsunami on the world economy; inflation, interest rates, the Fed and Bank of Japan action and the U.S. budget negotiations; the profile of home purchasers today; the paradox of government intervention to make «homes affordable for everyone»; the direction of the rental market, rent vs. buy ratios; the comparison
of Fed action during the Volker years vs the Bernanke era; Charlie Sheen, oil prices; the direction of the dollar and other currencies race to the bottom; the status of the dollar as the world's reserve currency; the abandonment of the gold standard; the fate of fiat currencies; Utah's gold standard push; the actions states are taking to cut spending; the price of gold and silver and their role as stores of value; real estate vs. gold and silver as investments; the impact of shadow inventory on general inventory; the impact of the numbers of government workers and their salaries on the D.C. area housing market.
... The mortgage rate increase of one - half to three - fourths of a percentage point from the end of the Fed program would happen regardless
of any Fed action in interest rates, Rosengren said.
This is the overlooked reason, I believe that long rates appear to be moving independently
of Fed action.
He also cautioned about the risk of rising rates regardless
of Fed action.
Under normal conditions, short - term interest rates may feel the effects
of any Fed action almost immediately, but longer - term bonds likely will see the greatest price changes.
I have no desire to engage in a discussion about the correct course
of Fed action.
Here, fundamentals — whether domestic or international — can overwhelm the impact
of Fed action.
The deeper investors discount the likelihood
of Fed action, the greater the risk any move will trigger an overreaction with unpredictable and negative economic fallout, making policymakers more hesitant to act.
I'm skeptical of the efficacy
of Fed actions, and of the willingness of foreigners to extend credit indefinitely, but they are trying hard to reflate dud assets (and the loans behind them) now.
Not exact matches
The
Fed lacks sufficient knowledge with respect to the lagged effects
of a policy
action.
Milton Friedman, may he rest in peace, used to argue that the pursuit
of discretionary policy
actions by the
Fed actually increases the amplitude
of a business cycle.
But just how much can the
actions of the
Fed influence rates in Canada?
In an interview with Business Insider, Pinto said the
Fed's
actions and the resulting impact on markets could send stocks plunging 30 % to 40 % in the next couple
of years.
«The
Fed is at the tail end
of a long series
of actions,» Jones said.
As its
actions prove, the
Fed is well aware
of this despite its routinely over-optimistic and always incorrect predictions, which is why there is no taper.
For many, brief moments
of observation or self - reflection have been replaced by constant reading and responding to messages, checking
of social media
feeds or simply browsing the internet —
actions spurred on by feelings
of anxiety and fear
of missing out.
All eyes are on this month's job report, since a worse - than - expected hiring picture might have diverted the
Fed from its stated course
of action.
Photos (or a still frame
of a video) where you or your product are in
action are great images for news
feed ads.
«To be sure, it is difficult to tell, but if we dig a little deeper into the nooks and crannies
of the 2014 price
action, I think we see a market that is very concerned about
Fed tapering.
The
Fed should follow rules when making policy to give the public a better understanding
of the central bank's
actions,
Fed official Loretta Mester said.
Officials «simply don't know» what the course
of action is at their next meeting and the
Fed is looking at negative rates, although there are no definitive plans to use them, according to Fischer.
CNBC's Jackie DeAngelis reports the latest
action on energy prices at the NYMEX, ahead
of the
Fed's monthly meeting.
And Pence will also be speaking at Israel's parliament — the Knesset — where he is likely to make the type
of statements that only further
feed and encourage the politicians who are already pushing for legislative
action that will eliminate the possibility
of the two - state solution.
Income seekers must keep in mind that rates around most
of the world will remain low for some time despite any
Fed action, so flexibility and selectivity are critical in fixed income asset allocation.
Turning to investment managers and their non-reaction to the threat he feels
Fed action poses, Rodriguez then said they «do not appear particularly concerned with, [or] worried about, the finer nuances
of an academic debate between two different schools
of economic thought.
Despite the
Fed's
actions, we have seen 10 - year and 30 - year Treasury rates actually decline over the course
of the year.
Last year, a former Goldman banker suspected
of taking confidential documents from a source inside the New York
Fed agreed to plead guilty, a rare criminal
action on Wall Street.
While the
Fed certainly considers much more than the superficial headline number in its analysis
of inflation, some
of those who interpret the
Fed's
actions make this overly simplistic assertion: Inflation is too low today and therefore justifies the maintenance
of low policy rates.
In the process, the
Fed's
actions and pronouncements can influence the expectations and confidence
of consumers and businesses and, thereby, what they do in the various economic and financial market places.
[01:10] Introduction [02:45] James welcomes Tony to the podcast [03:35] Tony's leap year birthday [04:15] Unshakeable delivers the specific facts you need to know [04:45] What James learned from Unshakeable [05:25] Most people panic when the stock market drops [05:45] Getting rid
of your fear
of investing [06:15] Last January was the worst opening, but it was a correction [06:45] You are losing money when you sell on corrections [06:55] Bear markets come every 5 years on average [07:10] The greatest opportunity for a millennial [07:40] Waiting for corrections to invest [08:05] Warren Buffet's advice for investors [08:55] If you miss the top 10 trading days a year... [09:25] Three different investor scenarios over a 20 year period [10:40] The best trading days come after the worst [11:45] Investing in the current world [12:05] What Clinton and Bush think
of the current situation [12:45] The office is far bigger than the occupant [13:35] Information helps reduce fear [14:25] James's story
of the billionaire upset over another's wealth [14:45] What money really is [15:05] The story
of Adolphe Merkle [16:05] The story
of Chuck Feeney [16:55] The importance
of the right mindset [17:15] What fuels Tony [19:15] Find something you care about more than yourself [20:25] Make your mission to surround yourself with the right people [21:25] Suffering made Tony hungry for more [23:25] By
feeding his mind, Tony found strength [24:15] Great ideas don't interrupt you, you have to pursue them [25:05] Never - ending hunger is what matters [25:25] Richard Branson is the epitome
of hunger and drive [25:40] Hunger is the common denominator [26:30] What you can do starting right now [26:55] Success leaves clues [28:10] What it means to take massive
action [28:30] Taking
action commits you to following through [29:40] If you do nothing you'll learn nothing [30:20] There must be an emotional purpose behind what you're doing [30:40] How does Tony ignite creativity in his own life [32:00] «How is not as important as «why» [32:40] What and why unleash the psyche [33:25] Breaking the habit
of focusing on «how» [35:50] Deep Practice [35:10] Your desired outcome will determine your
action [36:00] The difference between «what» and «why» [37:00] Learning how to chunk and group [37:40] Don't mistake movement for achievement [38:30] Tony doesn't negotiate with his mind [39:30] Change your thoughts and change your biochemistry [40:00] The bad habit
of being stressed [40:40] Beautiful and suffering states [41:50] The most important decision is to live in a beautiful state no matter what [42:40] Consciously decide to take yourself out
of suffering [43:40] Focus on appreciation, joy and love [44:30] Step out
of suffering and find the solution [45:00] Dealing with mercury poisoning [45:40] Tony's process for stepping out
of suffering [46:10] Stop identifying with thoughts — they aren't yours [47:40] Trade your expectations for appreciation [50:00] The key to life — gratitude [51:40] What is freedom for you?
The issue is the constitutionality
of the
Fed's
actions.
Her policy recommendations for untethering the stranglehold that the
Fed has on America is to «implement actual oversight
of the conjurers and dedicate effective channels through which to question and curtail their authority and
actions.»
The potential for further central bank interest - rate hikes, inflation swings, a surge in US Treasury yields from
Fed action, or ambiguities surrounding proposed legislation could reduce the attractiveness
of mergers and acquisitions.
In any event, our investment position is driven not by expectations
of future
Fed actions, but by the prevailing condition
of valuations and market
action.
We examine how these two histories
Fed chairpeople differ and the impact
of their views and
actions on the world economy.
But first and foremost, the state
of the economy largely determines
Fed actions and investor behavior and therefore rates.
«In my view, I think we're overplaying how important the
Fed would be in terms
of driving the price
action.
Krishna Guha, vice chairman
of Evercore ISI and a former top
Fed staffer, took the view that dropping
of the two words was a move by the
Fed to sidestep questions about how trade tensions and other Trump White House
actions might impact the economy.
Also the fall could be short - lived as some
Fed action (or more likely another central bank) will occur in the summer ahead
of the election cycle.
«The notion that's driving the price
action is not just the geopolitics, which could yet trigger a trade war (or an actual one), but the relatively strong determination
of the
Fed to continue its path
of rate increases,» said Ian Lyngen and Aaron Kohli, fixed - income strategists at BMO Capital Markets, in a note.
We will do anything we can to help identify strong candidates as well as to publicly support
actions that the San Francisco
Fed takes to ensure progress on diversifying its Board
of Directors and executive leadership.
That may mean «a world
of hurt» for the central bank because there would be a perception the
Fed allows fiscal politics to influence its
actions.
Fildebrandt said such
action «
feeds a growing culture
of disrespect
of people who chose to dedicate their lives to public service.»
Kansas City
Fed president Thomas Hoenig, a voting member
of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), dissented from the
action, saying that the risks entailed in the purchases were greater than the potential benefits to the economy.
Characteristically, in her post-meeting press conference
Fed Chair Janet Yellen took pains to stress that
Fed action would continue to be data dependent, reflecting the slow and meticulously cautious approach that has been the hallmark
of U.S. monetary policy for close to a decade.
A Frisky
Fed: Ben Bernanke has never shied away from aggressive
action during his time as chairman
of the Federal Reserve.
This
feed is structured so it can display trading
actions and updates
of the traders that are being watched.
The hundreds
of pages
of transcripts from eight meetings and six emergency conference calls held by the policymaking Federal Open Market Committee, show
Fed officials struggling from the start
of 2008 to assess the economic damage
of a steep drop in housing prices and then worrying about the implications
of their
actions to halt the crisis.
Translation: We probably shouldn't expect any major «spikes» as a result
of the
Fed's
actions, or other causes.
Treasuries and the Dollar were in the epicenter
of the post-
Fed action, as expected, but as the central bank's message was rather confusing, markets reacted in a mixed and volatile way to the first rate hike
of the new
Fed Chair.