Long ones, according to the Conference Board, whose index
of leading economic indicators (including jobless claims) continued to perk up in February in the biggest increase in nearly a year.
Real estate is big business, affecting 20 percent of the gross national product, and it is one
of the leading economic indicators, along with job data and consumer confidence indexes.
[33] The Energy Information Administration of the Department of Energy and various nongovernmental organizations use NEMS for a variety of purposes, including forecasting the effects of energy policy changes on a plethora
of leading economic indicators.
[16] NEMS is used by the Energy Information Administration (EIA) in the Department of Energy as well as various nongovernmental organizations for a variety of purposes, including forecasting the effects of energy policy changes on a plethora
of leading economic indicators.
In our equity portfolios, we will therefore continue to steer clear of European companies that are exposed to both further dollar depreciation and the growth - trend reversal signalled by any number
of leading economic indicators.
The Conference Board's Composite Index
of Leading Economic Indicators rose 0.4 % during November following an unrevised 1.2 % jump during October.
The stock market is and has been for decades one of the components
of the Leading Economic Indicators.
Not exact matches
THE proposed large increases in global steel production in WA have been welcomed by the Australian gas industry as a
leading indicator of improved metals demand and a sign
of economic recovery in the North East Asian markets.
A second reason for looking at junk bonds is that they may be a more sensitive
indicator, perhaps a more sensitive
leading indicator,
of economic conditions than higher - grade bonds.
While junk bonds may not represent a systemic risk as credit derivatives did during the financial crisis, they can be one
of the more effective
leading economic indicators.
Prices for copper, a key industrial metal and a strong
leading indicator of economic growth, have remained robust at above $ 4 a pound.
Copper, as an industrial metal, is a
leading indicator of economic activity.
Still, investors continued the habit
of confusing lagging and coincident
indicators for
leading ones, so the positive GDP figure was taken as evidence that an oncoming
economic downturn was «off the table.»
Needless to say, the rise in the «
leading indicators» is not a valid indication
of an upturn in my view, apart from the fact that statistically, the
leading indicators are fairly poor predictors
of economic turns anyway.
Overall, small business owners are more optimistic about the
economic recovery than the general population, which may be a
leading indicator of the future direction
of overall consumer sentiment.
A flattening yield curve has been a reliable
leading indicator of past
economic slowdowns, but this time around...
Freedonia's Consumer Goods market research includes market size, forecasts, product and market segmentations, related
economic indicator and regulatory analysis, market share estimates, a discussion
of industry structure, and profiles
of the
leading companies.
The large blocks
of blue areas reaching the top
of the graph represent periods
of widespread
economic growth, such as the late - 1980's and -1990's, when the
leading indicators for all four regions were positive.
Eurostat stated that eurozone unemployment was 10.9 % in July, the first time it fell below 11 % since February 2012, while a range
of leading indicators (such as the Markit composite purchasing managers» index, the European Commission's
Economic Sentiment Index and money supply data) suggest growth has continued apace in the third quarter.
The stock market — a pretty good
leading indicator of economic change — is beginning to reflect the turn to a more growth - supportive environment.
In that position he served as spokesman on the Chinese business cycle and was a designer
of The Conference Board
Leading Economic Index for China ®, a widely - followed, market - moving economic in
Economic Index for China ®, a widely - followed, market - moving
economic in
economic indicator.
The onset
of a bull market is often a
leading indicator of economic expansion.
The ratio
of coincident - to - lagging
indicators is often considered to be a
leading indicator of economic activity.
And stocks were positive 6 out
of the past 9 times in the year
leading up to the start
of a recession, dispelling the myth that the stock market always acts as a
leading indicator of economic activity.
The latest round
of OECD Composite
Leading Indicators was just released, and given how useful these indicators can be in shedding light on the state of the economic cycle (and market cycle) it's worth taking a look at the trends within
Indicators was just released, and given how useful these
indicators can be in shedding light on the state of the economic cycle (and market cycle) it's worth taking a look at the trends within
indicators can be in shedding light on the state
of the
economic cycle (and market cycle) it's worth taking a look at the trends within the data.
The
Leading Economic Index is a monthly publication from the Conference Board that attempts to predict future movements in the economy based on a composite of 10 economic indicators whose changes tend to precede changes in the overall
Economic Index is a monthly publication from the Conference Board that attempts to predict future movements in the economy based on a composite
of 10
economic indicators whose changes tend to precede changes in the overall
economic indicators whose changes tend to precede changes in the overall economy.
On the
economic front, I believe that the most consistent interpretation
of the data is that
of an economy that is generally deteriorating, but where the weakness in
leading indicators hasn't filtered through to the most lagging ones.
In the analysis, a long history
of data over a number
of different
economic and market cycles is usually required to identify the key factors and
leading indicators that can predict relative performance.
If I were to take all the
leading economic indicators as evidence
of my own mood I would say they we are in a depression.
«Over the last four years we have been following a path
of fiscal consolidation, which has
led to an economy that has turned around, and the
economic indicators points to a clear stabilized economy».
And stock markets — a
leading indicator of future
economic prospects — are recovering to levels not seen since 2008.
Mr Ebenezer Hammah, an Engineer and the Chief Executive Officer
of McHammah Engineering, said in practical terms, good
economic indicators must
lead to a reduction in prices
of raw materials for industries.
Center for Science, Technology and Innovation
Indicators and Human Sciences Research Council, March 2014 (South Africa workforce); Women in Science, UNESCO Institute for Statistics (gender);
Leading the Way: Increasing the Diversity
of the Science Workforce: Project Two: Exploring the Impact
of Socio -
Economic Background on Careers in Science, by TBR.
Abstract: The purpose
of this article is to propose the development
of a didactic model
of sustainable society, substantially different from the current paradigm characterized both by the exponential growth
of economic and population
indicators that
lead to the destruction
of the environment, and the ideological manipulation by political and religious sectors favoring the dominance
of some people over others and confrontation between humans.
Leading indicator: An
economic indicator or signal that is in the forefront
of changes in
economic activity.
The onset
of a bull market is often a
leading indicator of economic expansion.
A flattening yield curve has been a reliable
leading indicator of past
economic slowdowns, but this time around may be different.
NFP is considered a
leading indicator of employment, which in turn is a
leading indicator of overall
economic health in the U.S. Currently, as the U.S. economy attempts to gain solid footing after the financial debacle
of the last few years, NFP holds extreme importance since employment is a major problem right now.
Overall, my impression is that the near - term dynamics
of the market are likely to be dominated by this sort
of speculative trend following activity - primarily because it will probably still take another 4 - 8 weeks until sensitive coincident
economic measures (such as ISM figures and new claims for unemployment) begin to predictably reflect the deterioration we've seen in various composites
of leading indicators.
There's no easy way to address the «refinancing ratchet effect,» the study said, because the three factors that can
lead to trouble — declining interest rates, rising home prices, and easy access to mortgage loans — are «benign market conditions» often seen as
indicators of economic growth.
Berkshire Hathaway's ever expanding group
of wholly owned companies provides a
leading economic indicator of the country's gross domestic product, employment, retail sales, housing, mortgage, and consumer debt.
In the early stages
of economic growth degradation and pollution increase, but beyond some level
of income per capita (which will vary for different
indicators) the trend reverses, so that at high - income levels
economic growth
leads to environmental improvement.
While I can't help paying attention to anecdotal
indicators, each year I focus on one
leading indicator of economic conditions, ECRI's U.S. Weekly Leading
leading indicator of economic conditions, ECRI's U.S. Weekly
LeadingLeading Index.
Despite a modestly rising
economic growth rate, higher talent mismatch
indicator scores and a declining supply
of labour — which would otherwise
lead to a more pressured labour market — the Index score for Europe and the Middle East is 5.4 this year, down slightly from 5.5 last year.
«The SARB
Leading Indicator has been pointing upwards for some months, and the Barclays Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index, a useful high frequency
indicator of economic direction has also moved back into «expansionary» territory in recent months.
One
of the
leading property market
indicators, the FNB Property Barometer recently confirmed that the Cape property market remains sturdy amidst a rather stormy
economic environment.
In the year 2000, Dr. Blitzer was named to SmartMoney magazine's distinguished list
of the 30 most influential people in the world
of investing, which ranked him seventh, and in the year 1998, Dr. Blitzer was named the nation's top economist, receiving the Blue Chip
Economic Forecasting Award for most accurately predicting the country's leading economic indicators for four years i
Economic Forecasting Award for most accurately predicting the country's
leading economic indicators for four years i
economic indicators for four years in a row.
While recent
economic reports suggest that home building took a pause at the beginning
of 2013,
leading indicators point to more growth for housing in the months ahead.
Overall housing and
economic activity in metro markets across the nation remained on a gradual, upward trend in the fourth quarter
of 2017 even as permit activity remained a stubbornly lagging
indicator, according to the NAHB / First American
Leading Markets Index (LMI) released today.
While real estate may have been the catalyst to the recent
economic recession, it is also a
leading indicator of strength
of economy when it is trending positively.