Sentences with phrase «of seasonal forecasting»

There are a number of partners involved in this project including the International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI), IGAD (Intergovernmental Authority on Development) Climate Prediction Applications Centre (ICPAC), the meteorological services of Ethiopia, Kenya, Tanzania and Uganda, educational institutions and end users of seasonal forecasting information in the region and from the four countries.

Dr. Judah Cohen is the Director of Seasonal Forecasting at AER.

«It's difficult to achieve a positive correlation, let alone one that is so strongly positive,» said Dr. Judah Cohen, principal scientist and director of seasonal forecasting at AER.

IMO the significance of this paper is in understanding seasonal snowfall variability, which is a goal of seasonal forecasting.

Dr. Judah Cohen is the Director of Seasonal Forecasting at AER.

Cohen is the director of seasonal forecasting at Atmospheric and Environmental Research, a Massachusetts - based firm that analyzes weather and climate risks.

This year, AER's Director of Seasonal Forecasting, Judah Cohen, is calling for colder than average temperatures along much of the east coast and into New England.

The research is timely given the extreme winter of 2017 - 2018, including record warm Arctic and low sea ice, record - breaking polar vortex disruption, record - breaking cold and disruptive snowfalls in the United States and Europe, severe «bomb cyclones» and costly nor'easter s, said Judah Cohen, director of seasonal forecasting at AER and lead author of the study.

The report, led by PhD student Richard Hall and Professor Edward Hanna from the University of Sheffield's Department of Geography, discovered that up to 35 per cent of this variability may be predictable — a significant advance which may help in the development of seasonal forecasting models.

Sea - surface temperature is an important driver of the weather, and because the oceans change temperature very slowly compared with the air and land, they form a key, predictable component of seasonal forecasts.

NOAA evaluates the accuracy of its seasonal forecasts each year, with the aim of seeing the number of storms fall in the given ranges at least 70 percent of the time, which they do consistently, Gerry Bell, lead seasonal hurricane forecaster with NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, said.

Those unexpectedly warm waters were what caused some of the seasonal forecasts to slightly underestimate the amount of storm activity in the Atlantic, Philip Klotzbach, a hurricane researcher and seasonal forecaster at Colorado State University, wrote at the Capital Weather Gang blog.

However, a new study by Doblas - Reyes and co-authors at the European Centre for Medium - Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF)-- the «European weather centre» — suggests that by updating the greenhouse conditions with the observed annual mean values, the skill of the seasonal forecasts improve noticeably.

From the perspective of business, weather forecasts on the sub-seasonal time scale provides an opportunity because it lies between the well - established application of daily weather forecasts and the increasing use of seasonal forecasts.

Good afternoon all, Hurricane Season begins June 1st, and I want to get to some of the seasonal forecasts that have been put out.

Not exact matches

«Volumes are forecast to fall by 0.1 percent as price rises, which came into play as a result of the weakened pound, will discourage cash strapped consumers from shopping over the seasonal period,» the research company said.

It includes forecasts of area, yield and production and a summary of seasonal conditions on a state by state basis.

The researchers» chief aim is improving forecast capabilities within the tricky no - man's land of «subseasonal to seasonal» timescales: roughly three weeks to three months out.

Instead of waiting for an event to happen, the idea is to incorporate seasonal forecasts, which are done a month or more ahead of time, into the climate models.

If it was predicted in the real - world seasonal forecast but not in the scenario which is stripped of emissions, then it was made more likely by climate change — a likelihood that can be calculated.

The team used real - time seasonal rainfall, temperature and El Niño forecasts, issued at the start of the year, combined with data from active surveillance studies, in a probabilistic model of dengue epidemics to produce robust dengue risk estimates for the entire year.

Eventually, the team hopes to combine their work with that of others into an experimental seasonal forecast that NOAA can release next year, for the first time.

Also, according to the researchers, seasonal climate forecasts enable a more effective and dynamic adaptation to climate variability and change, offering an underexploited opportunity to reduce the fire impact of adverse climate conditions.

The next mega-droughts and subsequent active wildfire seasons for the western U.S. might be predictable a full year in advance, extending well beyond the current seasonal forecast and helping segments of the economy related to agriculture, water management and forestry.

Extending far beyond the current seasonal forecast, this study published in the journal Scientific Reports could benefit the economies with a variety of applications in agriculture, water management and forestry.

The experts, who include Professor Mark Baldwin from the University of Exeter, argue that the predictability and persistence of stratospheric events could help scientists enhance both short term, and seasonal, forecast skills.

The seasonal forecasting models used by centres globally, including the Met Office, now all suggest this El Niño will persist and strengthen over the northern hemisphere winter, which would make it one of the four strongest ever recorded.

I also must point out the failure of Seasonal temperature Forecasts, quite glaring again for this past winter.

Assessing the quality of seasonal precipitation forecasts in Malawi and Zambia is challenging but necessary

A new buzz - word is the concept of «seamless prediction», in which predictions ranging from nowcasting all the way to future scenarios are provided with a sliding time scale and that doesn't make distinction of incremental types such as «weather forecasts» «seasonal predictions» and «climate scenarios».

John Allen, an associate research scientist at the International Research Institute for Climate and Society at Columbia University, who, with colleagues, came out with the first seasonal tornado forecast last year, expects a below - normal number of tornadoes in the south central U.S.

The rationale behind the success of multi-model ensembles in seasonal forecasting — I. Basic concept.

A new analysis published in the journal Environmental Research Letters establishes that seasonal forecast sea surface temperature (SSTs) can be used to perform probabilistic extreme - event attribution, thereby accelerating the time it takes climate scientists to understand and quantify the role of global warming in certain classes of extreme weather events.

The forecast scheme for the September sea ice extent is based on a methodology similar to one used for the seasonal prediction of river streamflow.

Alves, O., M.A. Balmaseda, D. Anderson, and T. Stockdale, 2004: Sensitivity of dynamical seasonal forecast to ocean initial conditions.

In collaboration with Ralph, our team at the Met Office Hadley Centre combined techniques from two normally separate areas of climate science — seasonal forecasting and carbon cycle research — to forecast CO2 concentrations for 2016.

Moukouba Moutoumounkata is a Meteorologist, Data Scientist, specialized in operational seasonal and interannual climate forecasting at the National Meteorological Department of the Agence Nationale d'Aviation Civile (ANAC Congo) in Brazzaville, Congo.

Assuming that the seasonal cycle was the same as previous years (a crude but necessary simplification), we forecast a May maximum in 2016 of 407.57 ± 0.53 ppm, and a September minimum of 401.48 ± 0.53 ppm.

It is the top priority of my research group to try to solve this problem to improve our climate predictions and, depending on the answer, it could affect predictions on all timescales from medium range forecasts, through monthly, seasonal, decadal and even climate change projections.

He pointed out that El Niño, currently brewing in the tropical Pacific, helps improve seasonal forecasts by tipping the odds in favor of certain types of weather in certain regions.

Recognized around the world as a leading source of colour information through seasonal trend forecasts, custom colour development, and palette recommendations for product and corporate identity, Pantone Color Institute partners with global brands to leverage the power, psychology and emotion of colour in their design strategy.

[phone] This number will initially be answered by an automated attendant, from which one can opt to access a name directory, listen to recorded information about the park (i.e., directions to the park; visitor center hours of operation; weather forecast; fire danger information; shuttle bus system status; wildlife updates; ranger - led programs; seasonal events; etc.), or speak with a ranger.

No need to check the weather forecast for our stroll through decades of sunny seasonal offerings, through Vice City and Xtreme Beach Volleyball

Tim Palmer, the head of the Probability and Seasonal Forecasting Division at the European Centre for Medium - Range Weather Forecasts wrote the following in Physics World:

I also must point out the failure of Seasonal temperature Forecasts, quite glaring again for this past winter.

Some of the climate models are now used for seasonal forecasting, for e.g. ENSO.

[Response: Short term seasonal forecasting is very much an experimental endeavour and relies not on the predictability due to changes in forcings, but the persistence of ocean temperature anomalies.

# 378 Jared... I got some of the numbers for the projections from press releases on the met office site but after a bit of digging all the numbers (and science behind them) can be found via a link at http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/science/creating/monthsahead/seasonal/index.html registration is needed to get the seasonal forecast and the global annual forecasts.

There is a group that has been testing the role that ensembles of GCMs can play in improving seasonal - level forecasts, but I have looked as hard as I can, and I have not found rigorous forecast falsification for multi-annual or multi-decadal forecasts.

Such is the nature of seasonal climate forecasting when there is enough forecast uncertainty that «busts» can and do occur.