Besides the fact surface station measurements (not the models of surface temps made from the measurements) don't show any warming
of Tmax.
2 — As I understand, unless the time of observation is particularly close to the time
of Tmax or Tmin (where «double counting» would be a frequent occurrence),, the double counting will only occur for days where there is a marked jump in temperature (so, in the case of morning readings, where the second night is appreciably warmer than the first and so Tmin occurs at the start of the 24 hours).
This however caught my attention: first is when I find large fluctuation in the average
of Tmax and I go look at the number of samples for that year, it's just a few days, and I just manually remove that year from the output.
I have two lines of evidence, first is when I find large fluctuation in the average
of Tmax and I go look at the number of samples for that year, it's just a few days, and I just manually remove that year from the output.
I noticed that NONE
of the Tmax values recorded during the month were duplicated from one day to the next.
Christy's colleague Roy Spencer produced a chart
of TMax using the same weather stations as NOAA.
Rather than measure TMIN TREND in two conditions (windy / calm) Let'd just look at the distribution
of TMAX - TMIN under wind velocity conditions.
Temp being linear with the 4th root of the energy flux, a simply average
of Tmax and Tmin doesn't yield the same number as averaging the 4th root.
Only one site went with the trend
of Tmax «$» Tmin increasing with average wind velocity that would be suggested by Parker's assumptions and that was for the Alert, NU Canada site.
-- For measurements
of Tmax, why would the air from above be warmer?
Might be interesting to look at how the varaince
of Tmax compares to Tmin.
We would anticipate that Tmin trend line should have slightly greater slope than
that of Tmax since the air at Tmin is denser than that at Tmax if CO2 has any effect on warming the air for comparable air pressure.
(I simply insert a blank Cell at the top
of the Tmax column to offset the data by one day and extract the difference between Tmax and Tmin to demonstrate the radiant cooling range.)
In terms of duration of high - intensity intervals, 50 to 60 %
of Tmax is sufficient if your goal is losing fat and improving metabolic health.
Not exact matches
This is the first time I've seen %
of time at
Tmax used to dictate how LONG each high intensity interval should last.
Results: Maximum plasma concentrations (median, range)
of buprenorphine in dogs receiving ERB was 5 (4.3 - 11.0) ng / mL, which occurred at 8 (4 - 36) hours (
Tmax).
So, that was a line
of thought I had... Plus the idea
of using a narrwing diurnal range (TMIN rising faster than
TMAX) as being a proxy
of sorts for impairment.
Looking at
TMAX (NOT TMEAN) will give you a cleaner signal
of this potential contamination.
The effect
of a putative CO2 / water photonic IR recycling system is going to depend on local
Tmax / Tmin, the IR albedo and the amount
of water vapor in the air.
There has certainly been none at Oxford, with mean annual
Tmax on a down trend
of -0.07 oC p.a. since 1958, while Heathrow, only about 40 miles away does show a rising trend
of 0.034 oC p.a. which obviously could not possibly have anything to do with the explosive growth
of air traffic there since 1958.
When I plot them on the same graph, it is clear that the annual mean Raw
Tmax is greater than the adjusted
Tmax throughout nearly the entire time - period
of overlap period but what appears to be a constant offset
of 1.31 to 1.32 degrees F.
Kevin Cowtan appears to have discovered that «modeled» «surface» temperature isn't comparable to the «observed» «surface» temperature since the «observed» is a combination
of land based (
Tmax + Tmin) / 2 and SST measured somewhere between the surface and a few meters below the surface.
My sense is that UHI has a much bigger effect on Tmin than
Tmax — such that my son and I found a 10 degree F UHI in Phoenix in the evening, but I am not sure if we could find one, or as large
of one, at the daily maximum.
Since 1950, it has been found that the global diurnal temperature range (DTR), the difference between the minimum temperature (Tmin) and the maximum temperature (
Tmax)
of daily surface air temperature, has been temporally decreasing in several places all over the world.
That fluctuation is amplified by land surface temperatures in the same latitude band
of about the same area, because the land surface temperatures are at a higher average altitude with a lower average specific heat capacity and the (
Tmax + Tmin) / 2 method
of determining «average» amplifies the variance.
But since
TMax isn't increasing elsewhere in the world, then there is no increase in heatwaves because
of AGW.
3) The number
of days over the top 10 %
of highest
TMax as an anomaly using 19 stations with records back before 1920.
I have analyzed the temperature data
of Sept 21 from the weather station at Quatsino, BC for the 1895 -2009 interval and have obtained a value
of + / - 1.5 K
of weather noise for both
Tmax and T min.
In fact, Table 1 shows that for the last month
of available parallel measurements the electronic probe (
Tmax - Probe) often recorded considerably warmer than the mercury thermometer (
Tmax - LIG).
TMax and TMin are converging, and must at some point diverge regardless
of CO2 emissions, which means this is part
of a normal cycle.
The point is that
Tmax (j, n) is the actual «real» temperature
of an ideal weather - station that was not being afflicted by asphalt highways, burning cans
of rubbish, etc..
A = maximum temperature measurement, at Airport B = minimum temperature measurement, at Airport UHI * - a = slowly varying seasonal value
of the UHI, at Airport UHI * - s = slowly varying seasonal value
of the UHI, in Suburbia
Tmax - a = «true» maximum temperature, at Airport
Tmax - s = «true» maximum temperature, in Suburbia
where
Tmax (j, n) is the maximum temperature you would have measured at site j and day n, had all the urbanization, asphalt, burning cans, etc. not been present; and UHI (j, n) represents the impact
of all that stuff.
# 172 Hans If there is no UHI trend in Tmin or
Tmax, but there is a UHI trend in Tmean (or other measures
of temperature), then the UHI signal should be detectable in the divergence between the two sets
of figures.
Under the assumption
of (more - or-less) uniform GW, the TREND (
Tmax - a —
Tmax - s) should also be 0; and under the assumption that GW is not happening, it is also 0, so we're covered either way if we assume it's 0.
After looking at 100 year long daily records
of Tmin and
Tmax for a bunch
of sites, it seemed pretty clear to me that we could do with one measure.
And Tmin and
Tmax increases should be fair reflections
of temperature anomalies.
Would these issues be side - stepped by focusing attention on the
Tmax measurements instead
of the Tmin measurements?
What are their characteristics, reliability
of the data and meta - data, ranges and relationships
of Tmin and
Tmax, number
of relocations, etc.?
More basically, I puzzle about Parker's apparent lack
of explanation for the tendency
of both the trends in Tmin and
Tmax to be higher under his definitions
of windy conditions when the data is broken down into regions
of the globe.
At
Tmax, for example, there has been a steady T rise as the sun moves higher in the sky, the rise helped by convection
of air with hot packets in it surrounding the site, held back if frost has formed overnight, complicated if there is snow around and water phase change effects need consideration, hindered or lagged by the thermal inertia
of the screen surrounding the thermometer as the screen heats up.
Now,
Tmax and Tmin are rather special temperatures, because they are reached when an interplay
of thermal effects reaches a described point.
This graph is
Tmax %
of normal versus Sunshine %
of normal.
Otherwise, how can a chip with a
Tmax of 150C ignite a match, or burn a «pit» in a CD?
The level P1.07
of the optical thickness t = 1.07 from the top
of the air, is the lower limit
of the layer sourcing 80 %
of the photons lost to the cosmos; this level is the solution
of 1 =
tmax H2O P1.07 H2O 4.5 or 1 =
tmax CO2 P1.07 CO2 1.45: see figure 6 - C and the more sketchy figure 6 - D.
The altitude where the radiation to the cosmos takes place with the associated cooling
of the top
of the air is near t = 1 from the top
of the air, that is at a pressure (1 /
tmax H2O)(1/4.5) or (1 /
tmax CO2)(1/1.45); the line by line computation
of figure 6 - C is a morphing from figure 6 - A.
I fear we are throwing away a lot
of variance by starting with monthly Tavg or Tmean and ignoring the variance that comes from the (
Tmax - Tmin) / 2 mean std error.
Tmax is going to be a function
of Insolation, reflection, and perhaps waste heat.
What I usually see is everything looks plausible and relatively flat during large blocks
of time, but at a certain point
TMax makes a big movement (up or down, but more likely up).
That is the kind
of issue I was groping toward from my layman's perspective, that it * might * matter by more than a tenth or two if a temp record is only (Tmin +
Tmax) / 2