(The other big set of dropped stations is the one with the vast bulk
of the TOBS bias.)
The folks at WUWT provide a critique
of TOBs adjustments today that, ironically, provides a pretty good validation for those adjustments.
I haven't seen much skeptic discussion
of TOBS.
Years ago I pointed out
some of this TOBS stuff to skeptics..
After the change the minimum temps may be polluted by double - counts, but the maximum temps should be free
of TOBS bias.
The net effect
of the TOBs bias is shown in Figure 7.
If so, consider my correcting you as just a small needed adjustment to get things more accurate, my own sort
of TOBS adjustment, (Totally Obscure Badinage Spelling)
Before the change the maximum temperature series may be polluted by double - counts, but the minimum temperatures should be free
of TOBS bias.
What is the effect
of TOBS on the mean temperature of one year.
Zeke's study
of TOBS using CRN will be the test for me whether skeptics have the chops to challenge their own beliefs.
Zeke, I'm a bit confused by figure 3, the distribution
of Tobs over the USHCN.
I must add that the error associated with the uncertain estimation of the magnitude and time of application
of the TOBS correction is also a systematic, non-random error.
The impact
of TOBs adjustments is shown in Figure 6, below.
@Mi Cro at 7/23 11:37 am I thought we were in agreement when you brought up the Min and Maxes as part
of TOBS.
Zeke, regardless of how you explain it, the thing that outsiders find hard to accept is that the supposed errors don't balance out as would be expected from normal data collection and especially
of TOBS.
initial points would be, in terms
of tobs and instrument changes, surely in these cases what we are looking at is an absolute change only to the data at point in time change.
I was asking when we stopped using max / min thermometers because the era of electronic measurement should have eliminated the necessity
of TOBs adjustment.
You can see the dominance
of TOBS in this familiar plot (V1).
Roy Spencer developed his own surface temperature index for the USA 48, by using only the stations which have a homogenous method of taking data over time (four measurements per day) and which are hence completely free
of any TOBS biases.
Good to see that peer review works, showing an impact
of TOBS changes that ignores most of the 1970 - 90 switchover is disingenuous at best.
That you, Steve McIntyre, would do your usual thorough and object analysis
of the TOBS issue, and wondered if TOBS would be an issue for all classes of stations which might not change the qualitative results of bias resulting from poorly placed weather stations.
In other words, the effect of artificially warming up the rural and good stations to match the urban and bad ones is by far greater than the effect
of TOBS adjustments.
(Though «Ivan» downplays the significance
of TOBS, others disagree, seems a secondary factor.)
I don't see any reduction
of the TOBS adjustment for errors already removed in step 1.
Likewise, I think this analysis calls into question the validity
of any TOBS adjustments.
Karl has done this in the past as a leader
of the TOBS correction that no one (except Watts) disputes.
This one features a very light fragrance compared to most
of TOBS other products, which is specially designed to not irritate sensitive skin (despite containing a small amount of citrus essential oils).
If you were running a muni money market fund, and you could get out
of any TOB debt at par right now, wouldn't you?
The arbitrage
of a TOB is all about the slope between short - term and long - term bonds.
You know that there is a decent chance
some of the TOB bonds are about to be downgraded.
In the Fall 2011 paper there were graphs that included TOB figures, but in this new paper there is only one short mention
of TOB in the data section and no indication whether it was applied.
«The net effect
of the TOB adjustments is to increase the overall trend in maximum temperatures by about 0.012 °C dec - 1 and in minimum temperatures by about 0.018 °C dec - 1 over the period 1985 - 2006 ″.»
Interested in the further discussion
of TOB.
Not exact matches
TOBS is a very old and recognized company out
of London England.
The ability to build up to a nice lather is one
of the most important factors when it comes to soaps and creams and
TOBS has this trait in spades.
[6] Original Unity
of Man and Woman, Oct. 10, 1979;
TOB, 36 - 37.
[10] Original Unity
of Man and Woman, Feb. 6, 1980;
TOB, 70.
It has been created to transfer into the visible reality
of the world, the mystery hidden from eternity in God, and thus to be a sign
of it» (
TOB 19:4).
«He had no role in the lawful decision to have Rivkin review the matter, and the notion that four months into his tenure he exerted pressure on the Town
of Oyster Bay to amend their agreement with Singh — which
TOB had already done on their own on three separate occasions before Ed became County Executive — is a total fiction,» Keating said.
After Singh received the copy
of the Sinnreich email on April 7, the restaurateur «approached Mangano and, again enlisted Mangano's assistance to secure loans backed by
TOB,» the prosecutors said.
Prosecutors said the allegation that Venditto made «material misrepresentations and omissions to the
TOB's [Town
of Oyster Bay's] securities offerings in order to fraudulently induce investors to invest in
TOB's securities offerings» is central to the case, specifically that the town supervisor concealed the town - guaranteed loans for Singh.
Comparison
of spatially gridded minimum temperatures for U.S. Historical Climatology Network (USHCN) data adjusted for time -
of - day (
TOB) only, and selected for rural or urban neighborhoods after homogenization to remove biases.
The Pulitzer controversy was the big story this week, inspiring outraged commentary from judges Larson & Corrigan as well as the likes
of Ann Patchett, The Morning News
ToB crew and Bethanne Patrick, suggesting changes in the Pulitzer judging process and highlighting the lost profits for booksellers who would have seen increased sales for the winner.
She was a finalist for the National Book Award and a Printz honor recipient for The Disreputable History
of Frankie Landau - Banks, which was also a
ToB contestant (and Zombie) in 2009.
TOBs represent 8 %
of the total municipal bonds market, or about $ 200 billion.
The Company's short - term debt consists
of floating rate certificates issued as part
of Tender Option Bond («
TOB») trades.
A
TOB trade is a repackaging
of municipal bonds, effectively providing MBIA with leveraged securitized financing
of long - term bonds at short - term tax - exempt rates.
One is
of the fastidious C.F.A. Voysey; the other — now rather familiar and famous — is
of Edwin Lutyens, in which the great man holds one
of his special small
tob - acco pipes while on the table in front, on top
of a drawing, is a box
of matches with several half - burnt, in addition to a well - sharpened pencil.
McIntyre also addressed this problem: «There is a confounding interaction with
TOBS [time
of observation] that needs to be allowed for, as has been quickly and correctly pointed out.»
If the period is a year then any
TOB from a single day will be averaged over a large number
of days and hence will be very small, i.e.
TOB must be trivial over a year or longer.