(i) For each of the outcome variables, a linear regression was performed for each student group, which provides
measures of the linear trends as effects of the intervention.
The geographical distribution
of the linear trend of 0 to 700 m heat content for 1955 to 2003 for the World Ocean is shown in Figure 5.2.
A comparison
of the linear trends from these two series indicates that about 69 % of the increase in ocean heat content during 1955 to 1998 (the period when estimates from both time series are available) occurred in the upper 700 m of the World Ocean.
(Top)
Distribution of linear trends of annual land precipitation amounts over the period 1901 to 2005 (% per century) and (middle) 1979 to 2005 (% per decade).
A
comparison of the linear trends from these two series indicates that about 69 % of the increase in ocean heat content during 1955 to 1998 (the period when estimates from both time series are available) occurred in the upper 700 m of the World Ocean.
Tests of linear trend across categories of coffee consumption were performed by assigning participants the midpoint of their coffee - consumption category and entering this new variable into a separate Cox proportional - hazards regression model.
Tests
of linear trend across increasing quintiles of intake were conducted by assigning the medians of intakes in quintiles treated as a continuous variable.
So I suppose that is why you used it — because, in addition to the
falllacy of a linear trend being meaningful, the LOTI data will underestimate that trend...?
Taking the ruler - straight handle of a hockey stick, and keeping it within this envelope, one can produce a wide
range of linear trends that remain entirely within that envelope at all times — all the way from 200AD until 1980 when the envelopes end due to lack of further sufficient data to produce the «> 40 year» smoothing of the proxy data.
Internal variability as estimated from observations can't explain sea - ice loss
Superposition of a linear trend and internal variability explains sea - ice loss Observational sea - ice record shows no signs of self - acceleration
Another way one might deal with the seemingly contradictory
tangle of linear trends is to impose a constraint that any linear fits must be piecewise continuous i.e. every trend segment has to start from the end of the last trend segment.
This is required because only the
magnitude of the linear trend can be meaningfully compared for such a short time series in the presence of substantial inter-annual variability.
Furthermore, I am not trolling to whip up an argument for trolling sake; I am arguing against specific points about this article, namely
appropriateness of linear trends, and that global sea ice extent (not just the Arctic region) is dead flat.