She says some of that warming could have been the result
of a natural cycle known by two names — the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation.
Not exact matches
the
natural cycle would be for man to grow up Stop Believing In Gods All Together.They said that it's stupid for any one to say theres
no god They have
no proof.Ok After Going Crazy i called them PHONY For never getting mad or angry OR CURSING.Then I Insulted Joseph Smith for being a HABITUAL LIAR.After Telling them That evolution is right.And Their Religion Is RIGHT NEXT TO SCIENTOLOGY In Made Up Horse Crap Then kicking them out.I Started To Think (
NO Not about god He doesn't exist) But
of science He said
no one can proof there's
no god.
Even if God put in motion the process
of evolution and
natural cycles, we
know that those
natural cycles have a cause and effect that has nothing to do with the old testament version
of storm interpretation.
I can explain climate change as a result
of a
natural cycle caused by the masses and orbits
of the planets, but I don't go around calling believers in humans causing climate change idiots simply because I
know what actually causes it.
In Kerala, the fisherfolk
know how fishing by modern boats destroys not only the livelihood
of the fisherfolk but also the fish in the sea since unlike the traditional fishing community the boat fishing has no sensitivity to the
natural cycle of fish life.
what is necessary and a very important change for us today and the future is our conscience, and this requires global consciousness necessary for our long term needs and survival, we need a faith that will compel us to unite to address the problems
of survival, in the future, a few thousand years from now the glacial period
cycle is due, earth will
no longer be hospitable and we either have to immigrate to other planets or, develope a system that will protect us, the
natural calamities like floods, typhoons, sub zero temperatures, will become our big problem in the future, so we need a religion that will guide our conscience from simplistic self survival towards a more holistic view
of reality.Our oneness with ourselves and Him is the primary tenets or doctrines
of this religion.
Although very few scientists still deny global warming is upon us, no one yet
knows how much
of it — if any
of it — could be due to a recurring
natural temperature
cycle.
Though the scientists don't
know if such individual and pack behavior is a common occurrence, observations like these on Isle Royale provide insight into how animal societies function as well as the vicissitudes
of the food chain
cycle on Isle Royale, also helping to inform other models
of the
natural world.
For hardened drinkers, it sounds too good to be true: a
natural substance that keeps them sober
no matter how much they drink, neutralises hangovers and eventually breaks the
cycle of alcohol addiction.
I
know from experience that she and others recommend
natural progesterone cream (http://amzn.to/25xumeR) in the second half
of the
cycle (between ovulation and start
of the period) to help balance hormones post pill... It is basically used topically for those two weeks a month to help bring hormones into balance again.
You're body is used to all these endogenous artificial testosterone, you
know, your testosterone to estrogen ratio is getting messed up and so you do have to use what's called post
cycle therapy when you're on pro-hormones and we won't get into the post
cycle therapy as much on this podcast «cause I
know we're kinda pushing for time but the problem is that if you don't
cycle pro hormones, it can be tough on your liver, it can be tough on your own endogenous production so it's something that you do wan na make sure that you do, that you understand how to
cycle properly and I have to be careful
of course, giving out recommendations like that on this show just because so many people who are listening to this are competing in event like triathlons and marathons and thing
of that nature where they're gonna be drug tested and stuff like this would be a big
no -
no anyways, you
know, or they're going after more
natural means and let's face it, prohormones can be kinda damaging to your body and the reason for that is because a lot
of these side effects: acne and hair loss, breast tissue enlargement, or you
know, what we affectionately call bitch tits in dudes, prostate swelling, you
know, a lot
of these hormonal imbalances that get created from dumping exogenous sources
of hormones into your body and creating like a hormone milieu that can be a real real issue from a health standpoint.
Although most investors
know that volatility is a
natural part
of the economic and investment
cycle, they still consider it to be the number one risk to retirement security.
Each time cats are removed, the population will rebound through a
natural phenomenon
known as the «vacuum effect,» drawing the community into a costly, endless
cycle of trapping and killing.
Cats are what's
known as seasonally polyestrous, which generally means that they will have more than one heat
cycle during the season
of natural breeding.
There are many
natural climatic
cycles that we already
know of, and the current warming trend may just be part
of one that we have not yet identified.
Clearly, the loss
of biodiversity (estimated at thousands
of times the
natural backgroud rate), the number
of well
known species that are threatened (10 - 40 % depending on taxonomic group), the loss
of 10,000 - 30,000 genetically distinct populations per day (see Hughes et al., 1997) massive declines
of groundwater, soil productivity and fertility, etc. as well as the fact that human activities now impact biogeochemical
cycles over huge spatial scales is sufficient evidence that our species is living off
of natural capital, rather than income.
Unfortunately, nobody
knows... and as you point out, calling it «
natural variations» or a «
cycle of nature» doesn't explain anything.
la Nina
cycles are part
of natural variability, and as far as I
know, predicting those events well enough to include in climate models are outside our capabilities right now.
Cycles of natural variability such as the Arctic Oscillation are
known to play a role in Arctic sea ice extent, but the sharp decline seen in this decade can not be explained by
natural variability alone.
The
natural cycles can not be reasonable removed until it is
known what in hell drives them, how long they last, what sort
of feedbacks do they create independently and among other
cycles, how they interact with CO2 and other first order anthro - forcings that alter the earths surface, atmospheric and oceanic physiobiochemistry.
The reason for this is because the troposphere holds such little energy and is so reliant on sensible and latent heat flux from the ocean — and as we all
know,
natural variations in the flux
of energy from the ocean to atmosphere are hugely dependent on
cycles such as ENSO.
What I do
know for sure is that with a negative PDO, a weak solar
cycle and an AMO that will be heading south soon; we shouldn't have long to wait to get a resonably accurate attribution
of natural and anthropogenic causes.
our models for instance don't seem to even attempt to explain and illustrate by recreating many
of the
natural flucuations
of the last say, 9000 years — they lack understanding
of many
of the
known cyclics and how they and the less - understood undiscovered
cycles effect and interact.)
This means that ENSO had mainly a warming influence and that removing this influence should have led to a much lower warming trend: typically down to +0.06 °C / decade corresponding to the background trend once all (
known)
natural variability removed (if
natural variability can explain a variability
of + / - 0.1 °C per decade, it could also explain the background trend
of +0.06 °C per decade likely to correspond to a long term
cycle — typically 1 millennium long).
Only the net difference between released and absorbed does change the CO2 content
of the atmosphere...
No matter if the
natural cycle has halved or doubled in the past decades...
What is profound is showing — if it proves to be the case — that
natural cycles with very modest parameters (the
cycles shown in the link have amplitudes that could be explained by
known variation in TSI), when subjected to random shocks
of an order demonstrated in nature, can produce centennial (or longer) changes in global temperature on the order actually observed.
In a new report published by the Global Warming Policy Foundation, Anastasios Tsonis, emeritus distinguished professor
of atmospheric sciences at the University
of Wisconsin - Milwaukee, describes new and cutting - edge research into
natural climatic
cycles, including the well
known -LSB-...]
The overall net emission over this period = + 0.5 units yet we can see how anthropogenic and sea (e.g. warming) contribute equally to this figure while net
natural emission (i.e. sea + land) is — 0.5 Do we really
know enough about the carbon
cycle, in particular the
natural fluxes
of CO2, to rule out that some thing like this is going on?
Whilst I
know that it's not as simple as correcting such graphs for
known effects like ENSO, PDO, and other
natural cycles to see what's left, do such methods have a significant place or does it quickly get so complicated only a supercomputer running a GCM can keep track
of them all?
«Each
of these subsystems has a host
of known and unknown forcings, interactions, phase transitions, limitations, resonances, couplings, response times, feedbacks,
natural cycles, emergent phenomena, constructal constraints, and control systems.
A
natural cycle requires a forcing, and no
known forcing exists that fits the fingerprints
of observed warming - except anthropogenic greenhouse gases.
Now, tell me this: While it is well -
known that there are all sorts
of natural climate
cycles, they all have a physical basis.
For many who accept bug suffering as a
natural part
of life's
cycles, a Christmas tree decision is
no different from all
of life's decisions — we make our choices mostly oblivious to the hardy survivalists in the microscopic domain.
I do think that there is a broad consensus that there likely is an effect from increased SST, but that so far it is not sufficiently significant to be visible in the impact record, while lots
of other things are, including the well
known natural decadal
cycles affecting hurricanes, flood defenses and increasing population and property values.
The variation
of Atlantic hurricanes relative to hurricanes in other basins in the context
of known cycles of natural variability needs further investigation.»
It is obviously unsuited to anticipating the effects
of unprecedented forcing components, but it would be nice to
know whether it works at all for
natural background
cycles.
Steve@269 —
No, I'm saying the burning
of wood to generate «energy» in place
of burning fossil carbon in various forms, is still generating CO2, the sum total
of which is well in excess
of the «
natural» carbon
cycle.
J.Bob says: August 14, 2010 at 7:33 am ------------------- My knowledge
of CO2 is pretty rudimentary, but as far as
know there is very little
of it, if compared to the water vapour; also the CO2
natural cycle appears to contradict AGW.
The birth and death
of blogs is
no different than the
natural life
cycles of other writing projects.
Since we
know the
cycle it seems
natural to ask a simple question: can we skip all the craziness and go to the Plateau
of Productivity.