Forcing however is dependent upon the climate model, and in the case
of aerosols distribution due to atmospheric circulation is estimated independently of the main model itself.
Not exact matches
For the study, Dr. Toohey and his colleagues from GEOMAR and the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology in Hamburg have used an
aerosol - climate model to track 70 different eruption scenarios while analyzing the
distribution of the sulfur particles.
«It is also known,» continues Sato, «that current models do not realistically model the vertical
distribution of the
aerosols, and we believe that finer measurements could help there as well.
The researchers want to track the movement
of the
aerosols and their vertical
distribution in the air and attempt to make a two - day «
aerosol forecast.»
«Because
of this important role that
aerosols play in distributing energy within the global climate system, we need to understand their
distribution with very high accuracy,» said Mishchenko.
CALIPSO carries a lidar that provides vertical
distributions and properties
of clouds and
aerosols along a flight track.
Uneven
distribution of the
aerosols could lead to more cooling in some places than in others, which could cause unknown environmental consequences.
OMPS is a three - part instrument: a nadir mapper that maps ozone, SO2 and
aerosols; a nadir profiler that measures the vertical
distribution of ozone in the stratosphere; and a limb profiler that measures
aerosols in the upper troposphere, stratosphere and mesosphere with high vertical resolution.
Knowing both the physical location and the altitude
distribution of aerosols in the volcanic cloud allow more accurate forecasts in the days, weeks and months after an eruption.
The latter type
of sensors, Robock notes, could directly measure the size
distribution of aerosols, which could help researchers better model their effects on climate.
We have further observations planned that will probe Pluto's atmosphere and map the
distributions of hydrocarbon gases such as ethane, acetylene and ethylene that condense to form the
aerosols.
Or maybe can the chance
distribution of the
aerosol forcing (main emissions moved from US / Europe to Asia f.e.) used to reduce the uncertainty
of the size
of the
aerosol forcing or the factor E?
The specialized instruments onboard the aircraft sampled the plume for
aerosol particle size
distribution and composition as well as concentrations
of pollutant gases such as sulfur dioxide, nitric oxide, nitrogen dioxide, ozone, and volatile organic compounds (VOCs).
The Canadian model suppresses the influence
of aerosols in the regional
distribution far more, as the direct forcing
of GHGs increases to 3.3 and 5.8 W / m2 for resp.
This diagram shows types, and size
distribution in micrometres,
of atmospheric particulate matter This animation shows
aerosol optical thickness
of emitted and transported key tropospheric
aerosols from 17 August 2006 to 10 April 2007, from a 10 km resolution GEOS - 5 «nature run» using the GOCART model.
Mike Alexander, Alex Laskin, Yuri Desyaterik, and John Ortega, who work at DOE's Environmental Molecular Sciences Laboratory (EMSL) at PNNL and Xiao - ying Yu
of PNNL's Atmospheric Science and Global Change Division, collected an extensive set
of measurements
of aerosol mass, size
distribution, composition, and particle morphology using an array
of in - situ techniques and
aerosol sampling approaches.
Therefore the dosage
of administration has to change at it has been previously observed with other treatment modalities such as; inhaled insulin.35, 37 A major obstacle regarding the
distribution of aerosol within the airways is atelectasis, tumor mass or pleural effusion.
Spatial
distributions and seasonal cycles
of aerosol climate effects in India seen in a global climate -
aerosol model.
Various combinations
of surface, balloon, and satellite measurements have quantified the
distribution and optical properties
of aerosols for Chichon and Pinatubo, but even for these eruptions observations are not complete.
But this might well be affected by
aerosol changes more than temperature is, and
of course, the
distribution will not be uniform.
This varies depending on the angle at which the light is shining, So by scanning through the angles and measuring the polarisation, we can get a better constraint on the
distribution of key
aerosols.
The bottom line is that uncertainties in the physics
of aerosol effects (warming from black carbon, cooling from sulphates and nitrates, indirect effects on clouds, indirect effects on snow and ice albedo) and in the historical
distributions, are really large (as acknowledged above).
I was thinking instead perhaps more easily controlled polar - orbit satellites might be used, which would rotate with some fixed ratio to their orbital period, casting greater shadows at higher latitudes... or some other arrangment... for a targetted offset polar amplification
of AGW especially and in particular perhaps avoiding the reduction in precipitation that can be caused by SW - radiation - based «GE» (although
aerosols that actually absorb some SW in the troposphere while shielding the surface would have the worst effect in that way, I'd think)... strategic
distribution of solar shading has been suggested with precipitation effects in mind, such as here... sorry, I don't have the link (I'm sure I saved it, just as Steve Fish would suggest — but where?).
Anthropogenic
aerosols are somewhat more idiosyncratic because
of their regional
distribution.
The top panel shows the direct effects
of the individual components, while the second panel attributes various indirect factors (associated with atmospheric chemistry,
aerosol cloud interactions and albedo effects) and includes a model estimate
of the «efficacy»
of the forcing that depends on its spatial
distribution.
First, for changing just CO2 forcing (or CH4, etc, or for a non-GHE forcing, such as a change in incident solar radiation, volcanic
aerosols, etc.), there will be other GHE radiative «forcings» (feedbacks, though in the context
of measuring their radiative effect, they can be described as having radiative forcings
of x W / m2 per change in surface T), such as water vapor feedback, LW cloud feedback, and also, because GHE depends on the vertical temperature
distribution, the lapse rate feedback (this generally refers to the tropospheric lapse rate, though changes in the position
of the tropopause and changes in the stratospheric temperature could also be considered lapse - rate feedbacks for forcing at TOA; forcing at the tropopause with stratospheric adjustment takes some
of that into account; sensitivity to forcing at the tropopause with stratospheric adjustment will generally be different from sensitivity to forcing without stratospheric adjustment and both will generally be different from forcing at TOA before stratospheric adjustment; forcing at TOA after stratospehric adjustment is identical to forcing at the tropopause after stratospheric adjustment).
Some
of these forcings are well known and understood (such as the well - mixed greenhouse gases, or recent volcanic effects), while others have an uncertain magnitude (solar), and / or uncertain
distributions in space and time (
aerosols, tropospheric ozone etc.), or uncertain physics (land use change,
aerosol indirect effects etc.).
Aerosol size
distribution measurements at four Nordic field stations: identification, analysis and trajectory analysis
of new particle formation bursts.
Aerosols, with their short atmospheric lifetime, and highly variable geographic
distribution, are difficult to observe quantitatively from space with currently available satellite instrumentation which only measure the spectral intensity
of reflected solar radiation.
It is shown that such photopolarimetric data are highly sensitive to the size
distribution and refractive index
of aerosol particles, which reduces the nonuniqueness in
aerosol retrievals using such data as compared with less comprehensive datasets.
Aerosols come in many shapes and sizes (actually it's a
distribution of shape and size).
Coupling these new measurements with detailed cloud simulations that resolve the size
distributions of aerosols and cloud particles, we found several lines
of evidence indicating that most anvil crystals form on mid-tropospheric rather than boundary - layer
aerosols.
In addition to regional climate change being strongly affected by natural modes
of variability, geographic differences in climate change are related to the uneven spatial
distribution of aerosols and tropospheric ozone.
His paper contains more discussion on the deep - ocean diffusivity, joint
distributions of aerosol forcing and other parameters are not discussed.
Some
of the more complex models now account explicitly for the dynamics
of the
aerosol size
distribution throughout the
aerosol atmospheric lifetime and also parametrize the internal / external mixing
of the various
aerosol components in a more physically realistic way than in the TAR (e.g., Adams and Seinfeld, 2002; Easter et al., 2004; Stier et al., 2005).
via changes in cloud cover, ice cover, atmospheric
aerosols concentrations and
distributions) is incomplete and contains uncertainties on the order
of the estimates
of the forcing changes themselves. . .
Re # 196: I've done a bit
of research, and there's a paper in press that deals directly with the spacial
distribution of aerosols.
If the
aerosol hypothesis were correct then the global
distribution of warming and cooling over the twentieth century would be matched by the model which was adjusted with the
aerosol cooling.
We calculate the surface forcing by soil dust
aerosols and its global sensitivity by varying aspects
of the dust
distribution that are poorly constrained by observations.
Taking this into account will lead to large changes in estimates
of the magnitude and spatial
distribution of aerosol forcing.
Anomalies in the volcanic -
aerosol induced global radiative heating
distribution can force significant changes in atmospheric circulation, for example, perturbing the equator - to - pole heating gradient (Stenchikov et al., 2002; Ramaswamy et al., 2006a; see Section 9.2) and forcing a positive phase
of the Arctic Oscillation that in turn causes a counterintuitive boreal winter warming at middle and high latitudes over Eurasia and North America (Perlwitz and Graf, 2001; Stenchikov et al., 2002, 2004, 2006; Shindell et al., 2003b, 2004; Perlwitz and Harnik, 2003; Rind et al., 2005; Miller et al., 2006).
Most CM experiments based on RCPs will be driven by greenhouse gas concentrations (Hibbard et al. 2007).8 Furthermore, many Earth system models do not contain a full atmospheric chemistry model, and thus require exogenous inputs
of three - dimensional
distributions for reactive gases, oxidant fields, and
aerosol loadings.
The climate system is highly non-linear8 and relatively little is known about the effect on temperature changes resulting from human contributions to the changing three - dimensional
distributions of ozone and
aerosols, either or both
of which may have been partially responsible for the observed discrepancy between surface and lower to mid-tropospheric temperature changes.
This review paper outlines the rationale for long - term monitoring
of the global
distribution of natural and anthropogenic
aerosols and clouds with specificity, accuracy, and coverage necessary for a reliable quantification
of the direct and indirect
aerosol effects on climate.
To thoroughly account for
aerosols, you have to have knowledge
of their optical properties and size
distributions, as well as their geographical location and altitude.
«There is nothing inherently wrong with defining
aerosol changes to be a forcing, but it is practically impossible to accurately determine the
aerosol forcing because it depends sensitively on the geographical and altitude
distribution of aerosols,
aerosol absorption, and
aerosol cloud effects for each
of several
aerosol compositions.
Kim M. J., G. A. Novak, M. C. Zoerb, M. Yang, B. W. Blomquist, B. J. Huebert, C. D. Cappa and T. H. Bertram (April 2017): Air - Sea exchange
of biogenic volatile organic compounds and the impact on
aerosol particle size
distributions.
Lidar can also be used to measure wind speed and to provide information about vertical
distribution of the
aerosol particles.
These studies use either three - dimensional observed fields
of for example, clouds, relative humidity and surface reflectance (e.g., Kiehl and Briegleb, 1993; Myhre et al., 1998c), or GCM generated fields (e.g., Boucher and Anderson, 1995; Haywood et al., 1997a) together with the prescribed
aerosol distributions from CTMs and detailed radiative transfer codes in calculating the radiative forcing.
In this case the computed forcings incorporate the effects
of other
aerosol types which have a similar spatial
distribution to sulphate
aerosols, such as nitrate
aerosols or carbonaceous
aerosols from fossil fuel combustion.