Hienola, A., Partanen, A. - I., Pietikäinen, J. - P., O'Donnell, Korhonen, H., Matthews, H. D., and Laaksonen, A.: The impact
of aerosol emissions on the 1.5 °C pathways, Environ.
Post 1970 was when we cleaned up much
of those aerosol emissions which unmasked the underlying CO2 forcing.
Hienola, A., Partanen, A. - I., Pietikäinen, J. - P., O'Donnel, D., Korhonen, H., Matthews, D., and Laaksonen, A.: The impact
of aerosol emissions on the 1.5 °C pathways, Environ.
This reveals an ignorance of the literature, otherwise you'd know that the extent of aerosol cooling is estimated from the measured aerosol optical depth due to volcanic eruptions and their consequent impact on global temperature, and estimates
of aerosol emissions during the 20th century.
Levels
of aerosol emissions have soared since the 1950s, with the most common sources being power stations and cars.
So the most visible part
of the aerosol emissions may not be the most climatically relevant.
Hienola, A., Partanen, A. - I., Pietikäinen, J. - P., O'Donnel, D., Korhonen, H., Matthews, D., and Laaksonen, A.: The impact
of aerosol emissions on the 1.5 °C pathways, Environ.
There are many sources
of aerosol emission.
Not exact matches
China «could cause some decreases [in stratospheric
aerosols] if that is the source,» Neely says, adding that growing SO2
emissions from India could also increase cooling if humans are the dominant cause
of injecting
aerosols into the atmosphere.
The results imply that the interaction between organic and sulfuric acids promotes efficient formation
of organic and sulfate
aerosols in the polluted atmosphere because
of emissions from burning
of fossil fuels, which strongly affect human health and global climate.
This critical question is addressed using simulations from climate models based on projections
of future
emissions of greenhouse gases and
aerosols.
Overall, the new measures would lower global anthropogenic
emissions of methane by 50 % and
of black carbon
aerosols, also known as soot, by 80 %.
Most projections say tighter regulations, cleaner sources
of electricity and higher - mileage vehicles will cut industrial
emissions enough by the end
of this century that farm
emissions will be starved
of the other ingredients necessary to create
aerosols, she said.
The scientists expect further warming in the Arctic as levels
of greenhouse gases will continue to increase and
aerosol particle
emissions will likely decrease to combat air pollution in different parts
of the world.
«Current
emission inventories do not account for cultural burning practices in Asia as
aerosol sources,» said Chakrabarty, who is originally from the Northeastern region
of India.
Many suspect crops in industrialized Western countries have been getting more light since the 1980s thanks to clean air regulations that brought down
emissions of aerosols, which scatter and absorb solar radiation.
Indeed, the reduction in the
emission of precursors to polluting particles (sulphur dioxide) would diminish the concealing effects
of Chinese
aerosols, and would speed up warming, unless this effect were to be compensated elsewhere, for instance by significantly reducing long - life greenhouse gas
emissions and «black carbon.»
A few
of the main points
of the third assessment report issued in 2001 include: An increasing body
of observations gives a collective picture
of a warming world and other changes in the climate system;
emissions of greenhouse gases and
aerosols due to human activities continue to alter the atmosphere in ways that are expected to affect the climate; confidence in the ability
of models to project future climate has increased; and there is new and stronger evidence that most
of the warming observed over the last 50 years is attributable to human activities.
The report is based on the JRC's
Emissions Database for Global Atmospheric Research (EDGAR), which is not only unique in its space and time coverage, but also in its completeness and consistency of the emissions compilations for multiple pollutants: the greenhouse gases (GHG), air pollutants and
Emissions Database for Global Atmospheric Research (EDGAR), which is not only unique in its space and time coverage, but also in its completeness and consistency
of the
emissions compilations for multiple pollutants: the greenhouse gases (GHG), air pollutants and
emissions compilations for multiple pollutants: the greenhouse gases (GHG), air pollutants and
aerosols.
Simulating natural and humanmade climate drivers, scientists showed that the decline in rainfall is primarily a response to humanmade increases in greenhouse gases as well as a thinning
of the ozone caused by humanmade
aerosol emissions.
The study also showed that the effect was much larger on a regional scale, counteracting possibly up to 30 %
of warming in more rural, forested areas where anthropogenic
emissions of aerosols were much lower in comparison to the natural
aerosols.
Non-polar glacial ice holds a wealth
of information about past changes in climate, the environment and especially atmospheric composition, such as variations in temperature, atmospheric concentrations
of greenhouse gases and
emissions of natural
aerosols or human - made pollutants... The glaciers therefore hold the memory
of former climates and help to predict future environmental changes.
Beyond reducing the volume
of acidic particles in
aerosols, cutting the sulfur
emissions has also reduced the deposition
of acids in lakes and waterways, noted Armistead «Ted» Russell, a Regent's Professor in Georgia Tech's School
of Civil and Environmental Engineering and another
of the paper's co-authors.
(Ironically, trimming the
emissions of planet - warming soot often simultaneously results in a lower output
of light - colored, planet - cooling
aerosols, Smith notes.)
Researchers at NASA's Goddard Space Flight Center in Greenbelt, Maryland, are using already available satellite measurements
of sulfur dioxide (SO2), a main components
of volcanic
emissions, along with the more recent ability to map the location and vertical profiles
of volcanic
aerosols.
The results show for the first time for a number
of natural compounds, which together account for around 70 per cent
of the biological hydrocarbon
emissions, how much each compound produces low - volatility products and how they can possibly affect the climate via producing
aerosol particles.
Scientists have already linked
aerosol emissions to increases in lightning over areas
of the Amazon prone to forest fires (pdf) as well as regions
of China with thick air pollution.
«The backward - enhanced plasma
emission spectrum from water droplets or biological agents,» they write, «could be attractive for remotely determining the composition
of atmospheric
aerosol.»
Earlier models had assumed that only 1 to 2 per cent
of the iron contained in
aerosols, including shipping
emissions, is soluble in seawater, so the remaining 98 to 99 percent would sink to the bottom without affecting ocean life.
But the health effects
of many
aerosols in smog are so great that even in the poor world, they are already cutting
emissions.»
The amount
of warming caused by CO2 might have been masked over the years by accompanying
aerosol emissions.
The warming commitment if we stop all human
emissions (GHG and
aerosol) is probably very substantial: The cooling effect
of the
aerosol will very quickly disappear, thereby «unmasking» the greenhouse warming, approximately half
of which has been canceled by
aerosol cooling up to now.
IPCC scientists have suspected for a decade that
aerosols of smoke and other particles from burning rainforest, crop waste and fossil fuels are blocking sunlight and counteracting the warming effect
of carbon dioxide
emissions.
Aerosols are solid or liquid particles suspended in the atmosphere, consisting
of (in rough order
of abundance): sea salt, mineral dust, inorganic salts such as ammonium sulfate (which has natural as well as anthropogenic sources from e.g. coal burning), and carbonaceous
aerosol such as soot, plant
emissions, and incompletely combusted fossil fuel.
Or maybe can the chance distribution
of the
aerosol forcing (main
emissions moved from US / Europe to Asia f.e.) used to reduce the uncertainty
of the size
of the
aerosol forcing or the factor E?
The obvious error is that they thought it was news that
aerosol emissions have partially cancelled out some
of the warming one would expect with greenhouse gas
emissions.
Human
aerosol emissions are also offsetting a significant amount
of the warming by causing global dimming.
Global climate models are essential tools for understanding climate change and for developing policy regarding future
emissions of greenhouse gases, primary
aerosol particles, and
aerosol precursor gases.
For sulphate
aerosols, current models probably overestimate their influence, as there is no measurable effect
of the large (over 60 %) reduction in SO2
emissions in Europe at the places where the largest influence should be visible, according to the models.
Compared to the past decades, the pattern (more
emissions in South Asia) and the relative forcings are completely different, with much less relative influence
of aerosols than today (due to faster increasing CO2 levels).
Titled «Initiation
of Snowball Earth with volcanic sulfur
aerosol emissions,» the study posits a hypothesis by two researchers from Harvard University's John A. Paulson School
of Engineering and Applied Sciences (SEAS).
The exchange
of gases and the
emission of sea - spray
aerosols — two functions that are crucial for climate — take place in this boundary film.
Analyses
of the ground and aircraft data performed by Setyan et al. (2012), Shilling et al. (2013), and Kleinman et al. (2016) showed that organic
aerosol production increased when human - caused
emissions from Sacramento mixed with air rich in isoprene, an organic compound wafting from many plants that originate in the area's foothills.
Since climate scientists certainly don't have a crystal ball, we generally take a range
of scenarios or projections
of future
emissions of CO2 and other important forcings such as methane and
aerosols.
«Our findings,» write the authors, «suggest that anthropogenic
aerosol emissions influenced a range
of societally important historical climate events such as peaks in hurricane activity and Sahel drought.»
Partanen, A. - I., Landry, J. - S., and Matthews, H. D.: Climate and health implications
of future
aerosol emission scenarios, Environ.
The organic
aerosol particles that coat the toxic hitchhikers are wafted into the atmosphere through
emissions from trees (like those that produce the smell
of pine trees), and burning biomass and fossil fuel to form a semi-solid sap - like casing surrounding and protecting the particle's payload from breaking down in the atmosphere.
Global sulphur
emissions (and thus sulphate
aerosol forcing) appear to have decreased after 1980 (Stern, 2005), further rendering the temporal evolution
of aerosols and greenhouse gases distinct.
Historical (1850 - 2000) gridded anthropogenic and biomass burning
emissions of reactive gases and
aerosols: Methodology and application.
These changes might influence interactions between the ocean and the atmosphere such as the air - sea gas exchange and the
emission of sea - spray
aerosols that can scatter solar radiation or contribute to the formation
of clouds.