The work continued on natural variability
of albedo due to snow cover.
Not exact matches
«We used actual satellite measurements
of both
albedo and sea ice in the region to verify this and to quantify how much extra heat the region has absorbed
due to the ice loss.
However, there is an additional shortcoming
due to the fact that the equilibrium temperature is also affected by the ratio
of the Earth's geometrical cross-section to its surface area as well as how much is reflected, the planetary
albedo (A).
The reduction
of surface reflection
due to biological activity, derived from our results, was used as a proxy for a reduction in
albedo in the regional climate model Modèle Atmosphérique Régional (MAR; Fettweis et al., 2013) to project future microbially - mediated increases in GrIS melt (see Methodology, Supplementary Information).
Due to the positive feedback caused by the high
albedo of snow and ice, susceptibility to falling into snowball states might be a generic feature
of water - rich planets with the capacity to host life.
However, the Management and Guest Contributors at WUWT accept the basic truth that CO2, water vapor, and other «greenhouse gases» are responsible for an ~ 33ºC boost in mean Earth temperature, that CO2 levels are rising, partly
due to our use
of fossil fuels, that land use has changed Earth's
albedo, and that this human actvity has caused additional warming.
This loss is exacerbated by the intensifying Climate Destabilization (reportedly reflecting the start
of the «
Albedo Loss» feedback
due to the decline
of Arctic sea - ice and ice caps) which is suppressing subsistence farm yields and some commercial farm yields on a random basis by the impacts
of extreme droughts, storms, floods, and heat and cold waves.
This positive climate feedback is greater than expected from the additional forcing alone,
due to amplification by reduced surface
albedo through melting
of continental snow and decreased sea - ice coverage, especially in the wintertime.
Referring to a 2004 paper examining the impact
of soot on
albedo, Goddard fabricates a conclusion by Hansen: «In 2004, Dr Hansen... explained that most
of Arctic warming and melting is
due to dirty snow from soot, not CO2.»
This implies a forcing
of 3 W / m2 for
albedo changes presumably
due to additional ice / snow sheets.
In the NH a lot
of land surrounding the arctic ocean is subject to the combination
of decrease in seasonal snow cover (with climate warming), and decreasing
albedo due to vegetation feedbacks.
, (3) changes in surface
albedo of snow & ice
due to changes in temperature and deposition
of mineral and black carbon particulates, and last, but arguably most significantly (4) the intensity
of the positive feedback that comes from the inevitable -LRB-?)
However, simulations using the relatively straightforward «direct effect»
of aerosols (the increase in
albedo of the planet
due to the particle brightness) do not match the inferred changes.
Claquin et al's model - derived findings show a change in tropical atmospheric forcing
of «-- 2.2 to — 3.2 W m — 2» between PI and LGM earth,
due to the increased
albedo of atmospheric dust.
It's the same series
of an initial forcing (change in insolation
due to Milankovitch orbital cycles) being amplified by reinforcing feedbacks (change in
albedo, change in temperature and partial pressure regulating both CO2 and H2O), but in reverse from an exit from a glacial period.
Simple physics dictates that with less sea ice there is magnified warming
of the Arctic
due to powerful
albedo feedback; this in turn reduces the equator to pole temperature gradient which slows the jet stream winds causing them to become more meridional; this combined with 4 % more water vapor in the atmosphere (compared to 3 decades ago) is leading to much more extremes in weather.
The details
of the physics
of different forcings (i.e. ozone effects
due to solar, snow
albedo and cloud effects
due to aerosols etc.) do vary the feedbacks slightly differently though.
Venus has a much higher
albedo (reflectivity) than Earth because
of its thick cloud cover (and would even have a high
albedo without the clouds
due to Rayleigh scattering from the dense CO2 atmosphere).
Global climate models have successfully predicted the rise in temperature as greenhouse gases increased, the cooling
of the stratosphere as the troposphere warmed, polar amplification
due the ice -
albedo effect and other effects, greater increase in nighttime than in daytime temperatures, and the magnitude and duration
of the cooling from the eruption
of Mount Pinatubo.
Isn't there an even bigger issue that approx half
of the temperature amplitude between glacial and interglacial isn't actually
due to CO2 or other GHG, but to
albedo changes (ice
albedo feedback)?
What would then be left would be primarily the positive feedbacks
due to the carbon cycle, the cryosphere «
albedo» feedback, and the effects
of aerosols, but the last
of these is quickly becoming amenable to calculation.
Re 9 wili — I know
of a paper suggesting, as I recall, that enhanced «backradiation» (downward radiation reaching the surface emitted by the air / clouds) contributed more to Arctic amplification specifically in the cold part
of the year (just to be clear, backradiation should generally increase with any warming (aside from greenhouse feedbacks) and more so with a warming
due to an increase in the greenhouse effect (including feedbacks like water vapor and, if positive, clouds, though regional changes in water vapor and clouds can go against the global trend); otherwise it was always my understanding that the
albedo feedback was key (while sea ice decreases so far have been more a summer phenomenon (when it would be warmer to begin with), the heat capacity
of the sea prevents much temperature response, but there is a greater build up
of heat from the
albedo feedback, and this is released in the cold part
of the year when ice forms later or would have formed or would have been thicker; the seasonal effect
of reduced winter snow cover decreasing at those latitudes which still recieve sunlight in the winter would not be so delayed).
The energy flowing from the sun is intercepted by the earth with energy density described by the «solar constant «(S0 = 1366W / m2), and the amount
of energy intercepted is the product between this flux density and the earth's disc (minus the reflected light
due to the planet's
albedo: A ~ 0.3).
The rise
of CO2 from 270ppm to now over 400ppm, the extent
of equatorial and sub tropical deforestation, the soot deposits on the polar ice caps, the increase in atmospheric water vapour
due to a corresponding increase in ocean temps and changes in ocean currents, the extreme ice
albedo currently happening in the arctic etc, etc are all conspiring in tandem to alter the climate as we know it.
This is what I get out
of it: the Arctic - ice -
albedo situation is more complicated than earlier thought (
due to clouds, sun - filled summers, dark winters, etc), but NET EFFECT, the ice loss and all these other related factors (some negative feedbacks) act as a positive feedback and enhance global warming.
The Amazon and other rainforests drying out The Siberian bogs (the size
of germany, france and the UK combined) start to release methane in accelerating annual volumes Ice
Albedo decreasing Ocean conveyor (thermohaline systems to some) weakening
due to freshening
of the seas
... A new sea - ice
albedo parameterization scheme has been developed and implemented in ECHAM5 general circulation model, and includes important components like
albedo decay
due to snow aging, ice thickness dependency and an explicit treatment
of melt pond
albedo.
(Amplification
due to the
albedo effect from sea ice will have its share
of the pie, too.)
Global average temperature is lower during glacial periods for two primary reasons: 1) there was only about 190 ppm CO2 in the atmosphere, and other major greenhouse gases (CH4 and N2O) were also lower 2) the earth surface was more reflective,
due to the presence
of lots
of ice and snow on land, and lots more sea ice than today (that is, the
albedo was higher).
The mechanism by which the effect
of oceanic variability over time is transferred to the atmosphere involves evaporation, conduction, convection, clouds and rainfall the significance
of which has to date been almost entirely ignored
due to the absence
of the necessary data especially as regards the effect
of cloudiness changes on global
albedo and thus the amount
of solar energy able to enter the oceans.
In the real world the most obvious and most common reason for an increase in the speed
of energy flow through the system occurs naturally when the oceans are in warm surface mode and solar input to the oceans
due to reduced global
albedo is high as apparently occurred during the period 1975 to 1998.
In addition to direct MYI melt
due to high - latitude warming, the impact
of enhanced upper - ocean solar heating through numerous leads in decaying Arctic ice cover and consequent ice bottom melting has resulted in an accelerated rate
of sea - ice retreat via a positive ice -
albedo feedback mechanism.
The sum
of the two effects (
albedo and heat loss) I believe is greater than the GHG forcing influence mostly
due to CO2, but is going to have a similar trend.
As I pointed out at the Bishop, a recent update
of the Met Office model shows changes
of up to 15 W / m ^ 2
due to «improvements» in
albedo and emissivity.
Most
of it temperature related which was driven by change in
albedo due to Earth dynamics — some 25W / m2 less reflected shortwave.
When the flux is increased, the planet undergoes a decrease in surface
albedo which is
due to the melting
of the permanent polar ice caps and the reduced seasonal snow cover.
6) The main cloud bands move more poleward to regions where solar insolation is less intense and total global
albedo declines via a reduction in global cloud cover
due to shorter lines
of air mass mixing.
If we had snow on the ground it would be much colder because
of the
albedo effect, and any warming that is happening right now is
due to the fact that the snowless surface is absorbing energy, where a snow covered surface would be reflecting the energy back into space.
One
of the most puzzling things is that the heating between 1980 and 2000 seems to have been driven by a large increase in net received shortwave radiation
due to
albedo reduction, rather than by any observed reduction in outgoing longwave radiation.
16) The main cloud bands move more equatorward to regions where insolation is more intense and total global
albedo increases once more
due to longer lines
of air mass mixing.
It is notable that this feedback is arguably the most difficult to control
due to the period
of several decades that would be required to restore the upper oceans» natural temperature by an
Albedo Restoration program lowering the surface air temperature.
(7) A requirement that building retrofits conducted pursuant to a REEP program utilize, especially in all air - conditioned buildings, roofing materials with high solar energy reflectance, unless inappropriate
due to green roof management, solar energy production, or for other reasons identified by the Administrator, in order to reduce energy consumption within the building, increase the
albedo of the building's roof, and decrease the heat island effect in the area
of the building, without reduction
of otherwise applicable ceiling insulation standards.
This being the case, a period
of higher sunspot activity would likely lead to reduced lower tropospheric cloud cover (
due to reduced
albedo effect) and generally higher temperatures.
«Since 1997, when Pinatubo's aerosol settled out, the stratosphere has been exceptionally clear... Half or more
of the warming since 1995 may
due to the lack
of large volcanic eruptions... That's about 0.13 °C... The remaining climate change is presumably caused by other forces, such as solar variability, El Nino, Atlantic AMO warming in 1995, lower
Albedo and maybe even a little greenhouse gas.»
This being the case, a period
of higher sunspot activity would likely lead to reduced lower tropospheric cloud cover (
due to reduced
albedo effect) and temperatures.
Dr Curry, When considering changes in
albedo due to melting, pools, etc, is there also consideration that the Sun is very low in the sky and much
of the incoming Solar is reflected off water as glare?
But in reality, aluminum is the chosen primary element for SRM
due to the high
albedo (reflectivity)
of this extremely toxic heavy metal.
«In summer, the oceanic heat anomaly is enhanced by the ice —
albedo feedback, but in winter the excess oceanic heat is lost to the atmosphere
due to a lack
of insulating sea ‐ ice cover.
You don't think it has anything to do with far lower insolation at the poles
due to small angle
of incidence compounded by an
albedo of 0.85?
Neither you nor your reference proves any error in my explanation that Earth would be just as hot or hotter than the present if there were no water, water vapour, clouds, vegetation, carbon dioxide or other radiating gases in it atmosphere which would thus have no
albedo due to lack
of clouds, and which rocky surface would have emissivity less than 0.88.