Hansen et al., 2016 «[W] e found that there is (yet) no observable sea - level effect
of anthropogenic global warming in the world's best recorded region.»
Not exact matches
Not believing that
anthropogenic global warming is happening despite a mountain
of empirical evidence to the contrary because
of what was written
in a book a very long time ago.
First, a study published
in 2016 showed that during «2013 and 2014, only 4
of 69,406 authors
of peer - reviewed articles on
global warming, 0.0058 percent or 1
in 17,352, rejected»
anthropogenic global warming.
Its appeal is complex, drawing on belief
in anthropogenic global warming and trust
in the «scientific consensus» behind it; the Great Recession and a protective reaction to rapid social change; a basic need for the concrete, local, and personal; the waning
of religious observance; peer pressure, star power, money, and more.
In «Consilience and Consensus» [Skeptic], Michael Shermer's arguments demonstrate how deniers
of anthropogenic global warming (AGW) are wrong.
That's an incredibly aggressive goal but one some scientists say is the only way that the world can avert
global warming of more than 2 °C — the European Union has determined that's a prudent limit to «avoid dangerous
anthropogenic warming,»
in the United Nations parlance.
[The studies] have said the chances
of observing such extreme Australian temperatures
in a world without
anthropogenic global warming is almost impossible.»
In so far as some sceptics and deniers are proclaiming that carbon dioxide - induced
anthropogenic global warming may be «the scientific fraud
of the century» then surely the issues surrounding it must be the scientific debate
of the century.
This is an attitude that some sincere climate change «skeptics» (as opposed to ExxonMobil - funded deliberate frauds) exhibit: their so - called «skepticism» arises from an a priori sense that human activities can not possibly affect the Earth system
in the way that the theory
of anthropogenic global warming describes.
That means that a climate with a lot
of CO2
warming partially offset
in the
global average by a lot
of regional aerosol cooling is still a very different climate than one with no
anthropogenic aerosols and less CO2.
In other words,
global warming is an indirect consequence
of anthropogenic greenhouse gases.
The reconstruction produced by Dr. Mann and his colleagues was just one step
in a long process
of research, and it is not (as sometimes presented) a clinching argument for
anthropogenic global warming, but rather one
of many independent lines
of research on
global climate change.
While the outlook for reefs
in the fact
of today's rapid
global warming is exceptionally serious, the authors provide remedial options for management interventions that will increase reef resilience, including: a) reduce the harvest
of herbivorous fish to sustainable levels, b) protect sharks and other top predators, c) manage all aspects
of water quality, and d) diminish direct
anthropogenic impacts and stressors.
For example, the borehole data show
warming since about 1500 AD which clearly was not
anthropogenic, and
in the latest decade, since the very
warm 1998, the temperature trend is downward even
in the Hadley Center compilations; the most ardent supporters
of anthropogenic global warming.
These analyses, whilst not disproving the
anthropogenic global warming theory, do show that the climate we are
in today is not unusual
in recent history, and therefore the possibility
of natural variability causing the
warming can not be ruled out, as it seemingly has been by many «independent» scientists, and the IPCC.
I think your discussion about
anthropogenic global warming is a little «off topic»
in this blog entry, which is about due diligence
in climate science, but with the permission
of those running the blog, I'd like to explore it a little further.
On October 12, 2007, former U.S. Vice President Al Gore and the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) won the Nobel Peace Prize
in recognition
of their efforts to bring attention to the issue
of anthropogenic (man - made)
global warming.
The mechanism for reducing
anthropogenic global warming, initiated through radiative forcing
of greenhouse gases, is to stop emissions and reduce their concentration
in the atmosphere to levels which do not stimulate carbon feedbacks.
Anthropogenic CO2 emissions are presently increasing every year at an accelerating rate, and it is extremely unlikely that humanity will collectively do what is necessary to not only stop that growth in CO2 emissions, but reverse it, and then reduce emissions by 80 percent or more within 5 to 10 years, which is what mainstream climate scientists say is needed to avoid the worst outcomes of anthropogenic gl
Anthropogenic CO2 emissions are presently increasing every year at an accelerating rate, and it is extremely unlikely that humanity will collectively do what is necessary to not only stop that growth
in CO2 emissions, but reverse it, and then reduce emissions by 80 percent or more within 5 to 10 years, which is what mainstream climate scientists say is needed to avoid the worst outcomes
of anthropogenic gl
anthropogenic global warming.
Leaps
of faith are perhaps acceptable
in some theory
of risk taking, but not when the huge
global consequences for remediation
of elusive «
anthropogenic global warming» are pitted against them.
You can be certain that various anti-science,
anthropogenic global warming denialist web blogs and op ed writers (with no scientific background) will take this study and trumpet it from the hills, completely out
of context
in order to continue to be disingenuous and to purposely mislead people.
These time scales are within the lifetime
of anthropogenic CO2, and thus these feedbacks must be considered
in estimating the dangerous level
of global warming.
Third, with our ∼ 1 °C scenario it is more likely that the biosphere and soil will be able to sequester a substantial portion
of the
anthropogenic fossil fuel CO2 carbon than
in the case
of 2 °C or more
global warming.
Figure 3 is a similar graphic to that presented
in Meehl et al. (2004), comparing the average
global surface
warming simulated by the model using natural forcings only (blue),
anthropogenic forcings only (red), and the combination
of the two (gray).
There is no evidence whatsoever that «politics»
in any way, shape or form has influenced actual climate science, or its overwhelming conclusions regarding both the reality
of anthropogenic global warming and the danger that it poses to humanity and to life on earth
in general.
«It is thus extremely likely (> 95 % probability) that the greenhouse gas induced
warming since the mid-twentieth century was larger than the observed rise
in global average temperatures, and extremely likely that
anthropogenic forcings were by far the dominant cause
of warming.
What, specifically, is the reason that you are «skeptical»
of the conclusions
of the overwhelming majority
of the world's climate scientists and every relevant scientific organization
in the world, including the national science academies
of every major country
in the world, that
anthropogenic global warming is a reality?
Many parents have long objected to what is being taught
in schools — from belief
in an
anthropogenic global warming catastrophe to banning acknowledgment
of American exceptionalism — but fearing the power
of teachers to hurt their children's futures, parents keep their mouths shut.
This is an attitude that some sincere climate change «skeptics» (as opposed to ExxonMobil - funded deliberate frauds) exhibit: their so - called «skepticism» arises from an a priori sense that human activities can not possibly affect the Earth system
in the way that the theory
of anthropogenic global warming describes.
Night gaunt, # 66 «I don't believe
in Anthropogenic Global Warming (AGW) anymore than I believe
in the theory
of Evolution.
Quoting directly Climate change as a result
of human activities, or
anthropogenic global warming, is now generally accepted as reality and includes a wide range
of climatic processes and impacts
in the
global system that are affected by human activities.
The skeptics» press, especially as echoed
in Crichton's State
of Fear states that the Kilimanjaro retreat can have nothing to do with
anthropogenic global warming, because it began
in the 1880's, before any appreciable CO2 response is expected.
However, the thing you have to understand is that what he gets through peer - review is far less threatening to the mainstream picture
of anthropogenic global warming than you'd think from the spin he puts on it
in press releases, presentations and the blogosphere.
Three IPCC climate models, recent NASA Aqua satellite data, and a simple 3 - layer climate model are used together to demonstrate that the IPCC climate models are far too sensitive, resulting
in their prediction
of too much
global warming in response to
anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions.
This is similar to how the denier claims
of no
global warming, or
of no
anthropogenic influence upon
warming, or
of low climate sensitivity, depend on all observational data being wrong
in the same direction.
Given that the trend
in global SSTs has been attributed to increases
in greenhouse gases
in the atmosphere (17 — 19), it follows that the best explanation for this ecosystem aberration is
anthropogenic warming that has passed a threshold
of natural variability.
What that sciencey - sounding gibberish about «unproved variables» means is that you don't want to see trillions
of dollars
in wealth shift from the fossil fuel corporations to other sectors
of the industrial economy, therefore,
anthropogenic global warming can not be true.
The true motivation underlying the
global warming movement is almost certainly ideological and political in nature, and I predict that anthropogenic Global Warming, as currently presented, will go down as the greatest fraud of all
global warming movement is almost certainly ideological and political in nature, and I predict that anthropogenic Global Warming, as currently presented, will go down as the greatest fraud of al
warming movement is almost certainly ideological and political
in nature, and I predict that
anthropogenic Global Warming, as currently presented, will go down as the greatest fraud of all
Global Warming, as currently presented, will go down as the greatest fraud of al
Warming, as currently presented, will go down as the greatest fraud
of all time.
Item 8 could be confusing
in having so many messages: «It is extremely likely that more than half
of the observed increase
in global average surface temperature from 1951 to 2010 was caused by the
anthropogenic increase
in greenhouse gas... The best estimate
of the human - induced contribution to
warming is similar to the observed
warming over this period....
It's clear this is already happening and we can expect more op - eds
in major newspapers from the likes
of George Will, more full - page adverts from industry - funded propaganda mills masquerading as «conservative» think tanks, and more comments posted on every blog where
global warming is discussed, denouncing the «vast liberal hoax»
of anthropogenic global warming, because, you know, it's been proved that the earth isn't
warming, and if it is, it has nothing to do with fossil fuels.
As on the Peninsula, there is evidence
of anthropogenic forcing for the WAIS too: anomalous conditions since the 1980s
in the tropical Pacific are characteristic
of the expected fingerprint
of global warming (e.g. Trenberth and Hoar, 1997; Collins et al., 2010).
Conclusion The cause
of both
global warming and increase
in CO2 concentration
in the atmosphere is solar, not
anthropogenic.
All
of these observations match the response, predicted
in the late 1970s by glaciologist John Mercer,
of the Antarctic to
anthropogenic global warming.
Finally, given the limitations
of climate science (one Earth and all) they should describe what they would consider convincing evidence
in favor
of the
anthropogenic global warming hypothesis.
Joe Bastardi, senior AccuWeather.com meteorologist's open letter to presidential candidates concerning
anthropogenic global warming will likely be thoroughly ignored by media far more interested
in spreading the unproven junk science
of Nobel Laureate Al Gore than advancing the discussion concerning this controversial issue.
Secondly, while there are indeed lots
of other unsustainable human impacts on ecosystems and the Earth's biosphere generally, the rapidly escalating effects
of anthropogenic global warming threaten to overwhelm all
of those other problems
in the very near future, with devastating impacts not only for human civilization and the human species, but for all life on Earth, for a long, long time.
Even NASA's Goddard Institute
of Space Studies — long the nation's most ardent champion
of anthropogenic global warming — is getting
in on the act.
But more generally, something I've wondered is: while
in the
global annual average, aerosols could be said to partly cancel (net effect) the
warming from
anthropogenic greenhouse forcing, the circulatory, latitudinal, regional, seasonal, diurnal, and internal variability changes would be some combination
of reduced changes from reduced AGW + some other changes related to aerosol forcing.
The observed
warming is likely the result
of a combined effect: data strongly suggest that the AMO has been
in a
warming phase for the past two or three decades, and we also know that at the same time
anthropogenic global warming is ongoing.
I was also under the impression that the IPCC had concluded that the
global warming recorded
in the first half
of the 20th century was mostly «natural» and the
warming observed
in the second half
of the 20th century (starting
in 1975) was mostly «
anthropogenic».