It completely swamps any possible CO2 contribution because, unlike CO2, which remains generally stable regardless
of atmospheric temperature change (that's most of the basis for the claim that CO2 will incur warming, in fact), the evaporative cooling process accelerates enormously when the atmosphere warms.
These uncertainties make it difficult to determine whether models still have common, fundamental errors in their representation of the vertical structure
of atmospheric temperature change.
Newly published research in «PNAS» identifies what authors call a «vertical human fingerprint» in satellite - based estimates
of atmospheric temperature changes, adding still more to confidence levels about human influences in warming.
Temperature measurements retrieved from the hundreds of balloon - borne radiosonde instruments that are released each day by the various national weather services provide much more detailed information on the vertical structure
of atmospheric temperature changes than is available from satellites.
For example, the zonal - mean profiles
of atmospheric temperature changes in models subject to «20CEN» forcing (includes CO2 forcing) over 1979 - 1999 are discussed in Chap 5 of the U.S. Climate Change Science Program [Karl et al. 2006].
Not exact matches
This «would create a persistent layer
of black carbon particles in the northern stratosphere that could cause potentially significant
changes in the global
atmospheric circulation and distributions
of ozone and
temperature,» they concluded.
Damon Matthews
of Concordia University in Montreal, Canada, and his colleagues calculated national contributions to warming by weighting each type
of emission according to the
atmospheric lifetime
of the
temperature change it causes.
Whether or not farmers agree about the causes or even existence
of climate
change, researchers agree that farmers still have to prepare their farms for the consequences
of rising
temperatures, increased
atmospheric CO2 and more extreme weather events.
In all regions, the researchers attributed some
of the increase in
atmospheric ammonia to climate
change, reflected in warmer air and soil
temperatures.
New research published today in Nature Geoscience by Richard Zeebe, professor at the University
of Hawai'i — Mānoa School
of Ocean and Earth Science and Technology (SOEST), and colleagues looks at
changes of Earth's
temperature and
atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) since the end
of the age
of the dinosaurs.
Black carbon aerosols — particles
of carbon that rise into the atmosphere when biomass, agricultural waste, and fossil fuels are burned in an incomplete way — are important for understanding climate
change, as they absorb sunlight, leading to higher
atmospheric temperatures, and can also coat Arctic snow with a darker layer, reducing its reflectivity and leading to increased melting.
«It gives further evidence
of the close links between
atmospheric CO2 and
temperature, but also shows how heterogeneous this climate
change may be on land,» he adds.
Lyon thinks this
change in
temperatures has altered
atmospheric circulation patterns, cutting off the supply
of moisture to east Africa (Geophysical Research Letters, DOI: 10.1029 / 2011GL050337).
Now a group
of American and British scientists have used a new chemical technique to measure the
change in terrestrial
temperature associated with this shift in global
atmospheric CO2 concentrations.
Photosynthesis — the process green plants use to convert energy from the sun that plants use to grow — from tropical forests, plays a huge role in determining global
atmospheric CO2 concentration, which is closely linked the global
temperature and rate
of climate
change.
The ongoing disappearance
of sea ice in the Arctic from elevated
temperatures is a factor to
changes in
atmospheric pressure that control jet streams
of air, explained James Overland, an oceanographer
of the National Oceanic and
Atmospheric Administration, or NOAA.
«This emphasizes the importance
of large - scale energy transport and
atmospheric circulation
changes in restoring Earth's global
temperature equilibrium after a natural, unforced warming event,» Li said.
Non-polar glacial ice holds a wealth
of information about past
changes in climate, the environment and especially
atmospheric composition, such as variations in
temperature,
atmospheric concentrations
of greenhouse gases and emissions
of natural aerosols or human - made pollutants... The glaciers therefore hold the memory
of former climates and help to predict future environmental
changes.
New measurements by NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies indicate that 2012 was the ninth warmest year since 1880, and that the past decade or so has seen some
of the warmest years in the last 132 years.One way to illustrate
changes in global
atmospheric temperatures is by looking at how far
temperatures stray from «normal», or a baseline.
The results suggest that the impact
of sea ice seems critical for the Arctic surface
temperature changes, but the
temperature trend elsewhere seems rather due mainly to
changes in ocean surface
temperatures and
atmospheric variability.
This comparative analysis
of the
atmospheric and ground - level
temperature readings allowed Kalnay and Cai to isolate the warming effects
of agricultural land - use
changes and urban sprawl.
«There could be different reasons:
atmospheric changes in
temperature or air pressure, people suddenly moving or not moving, or other sudden
changes,» says C. S. Unnikrishnan
of Tata Institute
of Fundamental Research in Mumbai, India.
The team analyzed an index
of sea surface
temperatures from the Bering Sea and found that in years with higher than average Arctic
temperatures,
changes in
atmospheric circulation resulted in the aforementioned anomalous climates throughout North America.
There are strong competing effects such as
changes in the large - scale
atmospheric circulation, sea surface
temperature changes like El Niño and La Niña and the dynamics
of westerly storm tracks that all interact at the mid-latitudes,» said Stanford co-author Matthew Winnick who contributed to the study with fellow doctoral student Daniel Ibarra.
The study stops short
of attributing California's latest drought to
changes in Arctic sea ice, partly because there are other phenomena that play a role, like warm sea surface
temperatures and
changes to the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, an
atmospheric climate pattern that typically shifts every 20 to 30 years.
«1C rise in
atmospheric temperature causes rapid
changes to world's largest High Arctic lake: An interdisciplinary team
of scientists explores Lake Hazen's response to climate
change.»
This is because warmer
temperatures and other
changes in the atmosphere related to a
changing climate, including higher
atmospheric levels
of methane, spur chemical reactions that lead to ozone.
Dr Alison Cook, who led the work at Swansea University, says: «Scientists know that ocean warming is affecting large glaciers elsewhere on the continent, but thought that
atmospheric temperatures were the primary cause
of all glacier
changes on the Peninsula.
«I predict that due to the loss
of these
atmospheric whirlpools, the average
temperature on Jupiter will
change by as much as 10 degrees Celsius, getting warmer near the equator and cooler at the poles,» says Marcus.
While ECS is the equilibrium global mean
temperature change that eventually results from
atmospheric CO2 doubling, the smaller TCR refers to the global mean
temperature change that is realised at the time
of CO2 doubling under an idealised scenario in which CO2 concentrations increase by 1 % yr — 1 (Cubasch et al., 2001; see also Section 8.6.2.1).
For as much as
atmospheric temperatures are rising, the amount
of energy being absorbed by the planet is even more striking when one looks into the deep oceans and the
change in the global heat content (Figure 4).
These rising
atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations have led to an increase in global average
temperatures of ~ 0.2 °C decade — 1, much
of which has been absorbed by the oceans, whilst the oceanic uptake
of atmospheric CO2 has led to major
changes in surface ocean pH (Levitus et al., 2000, 2005; Feely et al., 2008; Hoegh - Guldberg and Bruno, 2010; Mora et al., 2013; Roemmich et al., 2015).
Thousands
of studies conducted by researchers around the world have documented
changes in surface,
atmospheric, and oceanic
temperatures; melting glaciers; diminishing snow cover; shrinking sea ice; rising sea levels; ocean acidification; and increasing
atmospheric water vapor.
Some global warming «skeptics» argue that the Earth's climate sensitivity is so low that a doubling
of atmospheric CO2 will result in a surface
temperature change on the order
of 1 °C or less, and that therefore global warming is nothing to worry about.
The Gulf
of Thailand
changes from an
atmospheric CO2 sink during the boreal winter to a CO2 source in summer due to higher water
temperatures, while other sub-regions as well as the entire averaged Sunda Shelf act as a continuous source
of CO2 for the atmosphere.
Sea surface
temperature change after doubling
of atmospheric CO2 concentration in a scenario where CO2 increases by 1 % every year.
This method tries to maximize using pure observations to find the
temperature change and the forcing (you might need a model to constrain some
of the forcings, but there's a lot
of uncertainty about how the surface and
atmospheric albedo
changed during glacial times... a lot
of studies only look at dust and not other aerosols, there is a lot
of uncertainty about vegetation
change, etc).
Both communities tend to take the
change for granted, and to neglect any purely statistical or chaotic effects which could lead to excursions
of the Earth's surface
temperature during periods
of a couple
of decades, without requiring a secular
change either in the solar constant or in
atmospheric transparency.
First let's define the «equilibrium climate sensitivity» as the «equilibrium
change in global mean surface
temperature following a doubling
of the
atmospheric (equivalent) CO2 concentration.
Engine timing could either be advanced or retarded slightly, but the system wasn't smart enough to take advantage
of changes in
atmospheric pressure, fuel quality, octane rating or
temperature.
Res — math.ku.dk ``... Evidence is mounting that
changes in global surface
temperature can be attributed to human activities that increase the
atmospheric concentration
of greenhouse gases and tropospheric sulfates [Sanier et al, 1996a, 1996b].
Scientists agree that a doubling
of atmospheric CO2 levels could result in
temperature increases
of between 1.5 and 4.5 °C, caused by rapid
changes such as snow and ice melt, and the behaviour
of clouds and water vapour.
Changes in ocean
temperature combined with the absorbtion
of some
of the excess
atmospheric CO2 we're producing is killing coral everywhere, not just at over-trafficked tourist sites.
In a series
of papers, we've shown that the warmer
temperatures observed over the WAIS are the result
of those same
atmospheric circulation
changes, which are not related to the SAM, but rather to the remote forcing from
changes in the tropical Pacific:
changes in the character
of ENSO (Steig et al., 2012; Ding et al., 2011; 2012).
The assessment considered the impacts
of several key drivers
of climate
change: sea level
change; alterations in precipitation patterns and subsequent delivery
of freshwater, nutrients, and sediment; increased ocean
temperature; alterations in circulation patterns;
changes in frequency and intensity
of coastal storms; and increased levels
of atmospheric CO2.
The link between global
temperature and rate
of sea level
change provides a brilliant opportunity for cross-validation
of these two parameters over the last several millenia (one might add - in the relationship between
atmospheric [CO2] and Earth
temperature in the period before any significant human impact on [CO2]-RRB-.
As the authors point out, even if the whole story comes down to precipitation
changes which favor ablation, the persistence
of these conditions throughout the 20th century still might be an indirect effect
of global warming, via the remote effect
of sea surface
temperature on
atmospheric circulation.
Because melting is so much more energetically efficient than sublimation, the main way that moderate
changes in
atmospheric conditions — including air
temperature — affect ablation is through
changing the number
of hours during which melting occurs, and the amount
of energy available for melting.
If we knew ocean heat uptake as well as we know
atmospheric temperature change, then we could pin down fairly well the radiative imbalance at the top
of the atmosphere, which would give us a fair indication
of how much warming is «in the pipeline» given current greenhouse gas concentrations.
It is no coincidence that shifts in ocean and
atmospheric indices occur at the same time as
changes in the trajectory
of global surface
temperature.