Fast forwarding to one month later, $ QQQ has grinded all the way back to test the «head» of the chart pattern, thereby decreasing the odds
of the bearish pattern following through to the downside (but now creating the possibility of a double top being formed).
This is usually the lowest point of a bullish pattern or the highest point
of a bearish pattern.
Not exact matches
This typically comes in the form
of either a
bearish reversal bar (such as a
bearish engulfing or hanging man candlestick
pattern) or sharp opening gap down, which signals the short - term bounce is losing steam.
One
of those five reasons was the formation
of a
bearish «head and shoulders»
pattern that was forming on the chart
of QQQ key to at the time.
The short - term chart
pattern recently turned
bearish, as the broad stock market took a nasty tumble throughout the month
of February.
Based on historical
patterns, when a market «flips» from bullish to
bearish after a long period
of moving in the same direction, the market will usually remain
bearish for an extended period
of time.
Specifically, we have been monitoring a
bearish head and shoulders
pattern that has been developing on the weekly chart interval
of $ QQQ.
So, there are still two possible future scenarios -
bearish that will lead us below February low following trend line breakdown, and the bullish one in a form
of medium - term double top
pattern or breakout towards 3,000 mark.
This
bearish pattern can be clearly seen on the daily chart
of PowerShares QQQ Trust ($ QQQ), a popular ETF proxy for trading the Nasdaq 100 Index:
Bearish Engulfing patterns often become apparent when prices are showing a strong uptrend, and bearish trading opportunities can be taken on the expectation of a downside re
Bearish Engulfing
patterns often become apparent when prices are showing a strong uptrend, and
bearish trading opportunities can be taken on the expectation of a downside re
bearish trading opportunities can be taken on the expectation
of a downside reversal.
Specifically, each
of the major indices will now kick off the week following the formation
of a
bearish engulfing candlestick
pattern.
The correction this week served as a
bearish engulfing
pattern on the weekly chart, a reversal
pattern of some renown.
Hence, after studying the charts for some 20 years and watching what market action has followed the appearance
of Broadening Price
Patterns, we have come to the conclusion that they are definitely
bearish in purport, that, while further advance in price is not ruled out, the situation is, nevertheless, approaching a dangerous stage.
Since my trading strategy requires the presence
of price confirmation before acting on any chart
patterns (
bearish OR bullish), I have not yet shifted into a
bearish short selling mode because prices have yet to confirm my
bearish analysis.
The lack
of substantial bullish follow - through in leading individual stocks in recent weeks, the absence
of leadership in most ETFs (other than international ETFs), and the
bearish pattern on the weekly chart
of the S&P 500 Index (below) are all valid reasons to avoid the long side
of the market now.
Although all signs point to prevailing small and mid-cap strength throughout 2017, please keep in mind that bullish chart
patterns have a very low chance
of success in
bearish markets.
When determining the validity
of a head and shoulders
pattern, there are a few factors we look for to determine whether or not this
bearish pattern is likely to follow through to the downside.
As Bitcoin and the cryptocurrency market get pressured by a
bearish sentiment based on the technical
pattern known as «death cross», investors are also aware
of the mixed signals coming from big banks regarding the asset class — with great focus on Bitcoin and Ripple.
Volatility is to be expected, but we approach the market with a level head and objectivity, seeing the proper positional entries and exits will much easier to spot.Summary: Strong,
bearish news hit the crypto community this week as China announced harsh regulations on the BTC to fiat transactions on exchanges.Currently BTC is seeing a strong rally off the $ 3000 levels but is showing signs
of waning strength in the upward direction.A possible macro distribution
pattern is unfolding and new lows could be in store for bitcoin over the next few days and weeks.
What happened on Thursday / Friday
of this week also confirms the
bearish Elliott wave
pattern.
The combination
of the
bearish volume
patterns in the NASDAQ and an abundance
of overhead resistance (such as the 50 - day moving average), leads me to believe the next move in the stock market will be lower.
The trigger to jump into a properly qualified
bearish harami is when price breaks (1 pip) below the low
of the smaller, second candlestick in the
pattern (see the image above).
Imagine the kind
of risk to reward scenarios you could achieve when the
bearish harami
pattern is followed by a full reversal with some conviction.
The first candle
of the
pattern should be red confirming the
bearish nature
of the market and the second candle should be a green one, long enough to completely engulf the previous day's red candle.
I wouldn't consider any downward movement during an uptrend to be more than a retracement unless it consists
of 3 or 4 strong
bearish candlesticks (or perhaps 2 very large candlesticks) or a series
of lower highs and lower lows (which occurred after our
pattern).
The very fact that there is a dramatic color difference between bullish and
bearish bars makes spotting forex candlestick
patterns much easier than using a standard bar chart
of bars that are the same color.
In the example below, we see a bullish and
bearish fakey
pattern with a pin bar reversal as the false - break
of the inside bar
pattern:
So, if for example, an inside bar setup false - breaks to the upside, forming a «
bearish» fakey
pattern, the implication is that price may continue moving lower, opposite to the direction
of the initial breakout.
A chart
pattern indicator for Metatrader 4 that notifies you
of any bullish and
bearish engulfing trading
patterns.
The same goes for the dragonfly doji that appeared later in the trend, but just look at that beautiful
bearish engulfing
pattern at the very top
of the uptrend.
The
bearish engulfing candlestick
pattern formed on the mid-point (50 % retracement)
of the strong bear trend bar which provided resistance.
In my
bearish engulfing guide, I mentioned that the confirmation close is necessarily met by the formation
of the
bearish engulfing
pattern itself.
The shooting star candlestick
pattern, also known as the pinbar (or
bearish pinbar) by some, is one
of the most popular candlestick
patterns among price action traders.
Bullish
patterns will return the value
of 1 and
bearish patterns will return -1.
According to Thomas Bulkowski's Encyclopedia
of Candlestick Charts, there are 103 candlestick
patterns (including both bullish and
bearish versions).
This
pattern consists
of a relatively large
bearish candle, followed by a small real - bodied second candle that is either slightly
bearish or a doji (since there are rarely gaps in Forex), and then a third candle who's real body pulls into and closes past, at least, the halfway point
of the first candle's real body (see the image above).
Litecoin is stuck in a
bearish pattern of lower highs and lower lows.
When you go short with a
bearish price
pattern like the Trend Bar Failure shown below, the high
of the
pattern offers a minor resistance level.
This
pattern consists
of a relatively large
bearish candlestick, followed by a bullish candlestick that closes somewhere above the 50 % mark
of the preceding candlestick's real body (see image below).
This bullish piercing
pattern was preceded by a
bearish (downward) price movement, which is a requirement to qualify taking this trade; the context is very important whenever you're doing any kind
of price action trading.
For all three
patterns, most
of the
bearish signals did well, and most
of the bullish
patterns failed.
In the Forex market, however, the 2nd candle in the
pattern will almost always open near the close
of the 1st candle, and will always be a bullish candle (because another
bearish candle would mean no inside bar).
However, there still exists a big and
bearish triple - top reversal
pattern that is a technical clue
of a market top being in place.
The Candlestick Recognition Master indicator is a technical study that plots bullish /
bearish candlestick
patterns on the activity chart, thus removing the worry
of having to spot such
patterns by the trader.
Regardless
of what I thought, having a bullish
pattern directly in front
of a
bearish one is not conducive to a short position.
The Flag forex
pattern is a continuation
pattern that is formed just after a bullish or
bearish price action trailed by a session
of consolidation.
But... here's the rub... the stock rallied to $ 420 within only a few months
of this imminent «
bearish» chart
pattern.
However, if you get a weak signal, like a small
bearish engulfing
pattern or a bullish engulfing candlestick that doesn't close within the upper 1 / 3rd
of its range, you can always wait for another strong bullish candlestick or just skip the trade altogether.
I'm defining a bullish engulfing candlestick
pattern as one in which the bullish real body
of a candle engulfs the
bearish real body
of the previous candle.
Also, depending on how much gapping occurs in the market (non-Forex) that you're trading, it's possible to see a valid
bearish engulfing
pattern that consists
of two
bearish candlesticks — in which the second
bearish candlestick has gapped up and engulfed the first (see the image below).