The issue
of bond market liquidity has been a consistent theme over the past years or so with financial executives such as JP Morgan CEO Jamie Dimon, Blackstone CEO Steve Schwarzman, and Oaktree Capital's Howard Marks weighing in on the issue and generally pointing the finger at a lack of liquidity exasperating moves in financial markets.
Not exact matches
«Finally, the increased role
of bond and loan mutual funds, in conjunction with other factors, may have increased the risk that
liquidity pressures could emerge in related
markets if investor appetite for such assets wanes.»
In the Minutes from the January FOMC meeting, the Federal Reserve addressed the financial situation, and noted that the increasing role
of bond and loan mutual funds could pose a
liquidity risk if everyone tries to get out
of the
market at the same time.
Some in the
market have attributed the sharp
market swings seen during the downturns in October and December as indicating structural problems with
liquidity in the
market — and some fingers have been pointed at the proliferation
of bond funds.
When we talk about
bond market liquidity it's important to understand that there are lots
of different «pools» out there such as high yield
bonds, munis, government
bonds, etc..
The
bond buy - backs are a component
of the Fed's quantitative easing program, whose goal is to inject
liquidity into
markets and keep interest rates low.
Although it is fair to say that the recent uptick in volatility has in part reduced earlier concerns about prolonged low volatility and associated reach - for - yield behavior, it has placed added focus on the resilience
of liquidity, particularly in
markets, such as the
market for corporate
bonds, that may be prone to gapping between
liquidity demand and supply in stressed conditions.
The low
liquidity levels are caused by a combination
of regulations, which make it less attractive for big banks to hold inventories
of bonds for dealing, and new forms
of quick, computerised trading, which have the potential to move
markets in times
of stress.
4) Beware
of ETF's where
liquidity of ETF is out
of synch with Underlying
market liquidity... emerging
market, junk
bonds, pretty much every ETF except us stocks, gov. Bonds and GLD has fake liqu
bonds, pretty much every ETF except us stocks, gov.
Bonds and GLD has fake liqu
Bonds and GLD has fake
liquidity
Liquidity risk The vast majority
of municipal
bonds are not traded on a regular basis; therefore, the
market for a specific municipal
bond may not be particularly liquid.
The long - term implication is that investors and the public at large can have more trust in the security and
liquidity of the U.S. Treasury
bond market.
This report investigates how the
markets for repurchase agreements and securities - lending agreements support the
liquidity of Canadian
bond markets.
This provides a simple way to understand a lot
of the worries about
bond market liquidity as it relates to banks and corporate
bonds.
Regulators can implement policies to monitor mini flash crashes proactively and, among other preemptive actions, limit mass
liquidity flights from one
market to the U.S. Treasury
bond market during instances
of heightened instability.
so now the issue is whether the
bond market (or macro hedge funds) eased too much thinking the Fed would choke off
liquidity and now is staring at still a weaker dollar and high commodity prices indicating an elevated level
of excess
liquidity.
Only with
bonds it's even harder to create a diversified portfolio using individual
bonds on your own unless you (a) have a large amount
of capital (typically
bonds are sold in lots
of $ 10,000 or $ 100,000) and (b) know how to trade
bonds on the open
market (transaction costs can be larger for
bonds than stocks because
of the spreads and lack
of liquidity).
Bond act as both a volatility - minimizer for those investors that can't stomach a large stock allocation and a source
of stability during stock
market sell - offs for either spending purposes or
liquidity for those that need to rebalance into lower stock prices.
The era
of cheap or zero - interest money that led to a wall
of liquidity chasing high yields and assets — equities,
bonds, currencies, and commodities — in emerging
markets is drawing to a close.
«
Liquidity,» in fact, is THE watchword now in
bond trading — ironic, considering that the U.S. central bank's primary intention has been to boost the flow
of cash through financial
markets, drive a push toward riskier assets like stocks and corporate credit, and thus generate a wealth effect that would spread through the economy.
That means keeping enough
liquidity in cash equivalents and high quality
bonds to survive periods
of below average performance and bear
markets.
For portfolio investors in emerging -
market currencies,
bonds and securities — the scale
of which dwarfs FDI and private - equity inputs — the quality
of a country's financial institutions and the depth and
liquidity of its
markets are most important.
The average investment - grade (high - yield)
bond trades on less than 32 % (36 %)
of days over the prior six months —
liquidity in corporate
bonds was considerably lower than in traditional listed equity
markets.
But, starting from these lower levels
of market liquidity, corporate
bonds seem to have witnessed a decline in
liquidity in many jurisdictions - at least according to this particular metric.
Meanwhile,
bond markets are concentrating as key participants, such as asset managers, shrink in number but expand in size.8 As a result,
market liquidity may increasingly come to depend on the portfolio allocation decisions
of only a few large institutions.
I've gotten a huge number
of emails and questions on
bond market liquidity in the last few months.
One feature
of bond markets that limits their
liquidity is that individual issuers may have a large number
of different securities outstanding.
The new - issue
bond market is expanding (Shin (2013)-RRB- and assets under the management
of investment funds that promise daily
liquidity are growing rapidly - as suggested by the increasing presence
of exchange - traded funds in corporate
bond markets in recent years (see also Box 2).
This would help mitigate the risks associated with what is widely perceived as a «
liquidity illusion».10 The transition to such a
market environment, however, could be accompanied by strained
market conditions, as suggested by recent episodes
of elevated
bond market volatility.
The relative lack
of liquidity in the
bond market and the fact that it is oriented for institutional investors rather than retail investors means that you really want to know where a
bond has been trading before agreeing to buy or sell at a given price (be careful not to get ripped off).
Here, we take a look at the more recent June «
Bond Market Group» minutes; the main concern was that, despite a functioning JGB market, there has been a notable increase in bid - ask spreads and general decrease in liquidity since the start of aggressive «QQE» last Oc
Market Group» minutes; the main concern was that, despite a functioning JGB
market, there has been a notable increase in bid - ask spreads and general decrease in liquidity since the start of aggressive «QQE» last Oc
market, there has been a notable increase in bid - ask spreads and general decrease in
liquidity since the start
of aggressive «QQE» last October.
In addition to near zero interest rates, central banks created excessive amounts
of money by issuing trillions
of dollars
of bonds, e.g. QE1, QE2, QE3, QE4, etc. pushing unprecedented amounts
of newly created money into global
markets to contain the growing deflationary threat; and, while it failed to contain deflation, the excessive
liquidity is now circulating in
markets with no place to go, akin to moribund monetary edema.
While base rates kept at or close to zero for almost seven years and three massive asset - buying programs by the Fed have undoubtedly helped stabilize the US (and world) economy during and after the recession that followed the global financial crisis, the continuation
of expansionary monetary policies is now supporting a growing excess
of global
liquidity that has been distorting the
market signals sent by stock and
bond prices and thus contributing to the growing volatility seen in recent weeks.
If there is a problem in the
bond market, and it has to suspend trading for any amount
of time, stocks will probably be sold to create
liquidity.
While mortgage lenders have tightened their wallets since 2008, corporations have been borrowing with abandon, abetted by trillions
of dollars in central bank
liquidity and investors searching for yield they can no longer find in government
bonds or money
markets.
We all know that the massive reduction in dealer inventories and the cost
of capital has had a huge negative impact on
liquidity in the corporate
bond market.
High yield
bonds (
bonds rated below investment grade) may have speculative characteristics and present significant risks beyond those
of other securities, including greater credit risk, price volatility, and limited
liquidity in the secondary
market.
* Canada vs USA * D. Rosenberg in Barron's (Feb 27» 17) * Financial
Markets History (CFA) * Global
liquidity + China * Staying rational the day after Trump election * Consequences
of the U.S. elections * China's Transition: Fast and Slow * The Fall in Interest Rates * Cool Streets
of North America * Emerging
bonds * About Millenials * Looking for safe income?
On the one hand, declining
bond market activity and the persistence
of low - risk arbitrage opportunities imply
liquidity is impaired, while, on the other, low volatility and high demand for risky assets suggest that
liquidity is alive and well.
But as the Fed printed ever more money to buy
bonds, they created increasing amounts
of liquidity that ultimately spilled over into global financial
markets beyond US equities and real estate.
For now, we are currently seeing the anticipated
liquidity reduction harvest
of wind in what are academically considered the riskiest
of assets — emerging
market equities and
bonds, currencies, and commodities — as equities
of developed countries such as the US, Japan and some European nations have continued to hold up.
Given the growing scarcity
of available collateral among
bond dealers, a collapse in repo
liquidity, and increasing frequency
of delivery failures, all
of which is shorthand for a
bond market that is becoming less liquid — it seems that QE has begun to create, rather than relieve, meaningful constraints.
It then followed it up by a series
of quantitative easing measures, where it purchased
bonds in the
market to improve the
liquidity conditions.
Banking rules introduced in the wake
of the last recession have worked to constrain
liquidity in global
bond markets.
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It's always been the Federal Reserve's preferred way
of injecting
liquidity into the
bond market.
Meanwhile, Bear Sterns, the second - biggest underwriter
of mortgage
bonds, lost more than $ 1.3 billion in
market value yesterday as investors worried about the firm's
liquidity.
The
liquidity and volume
of markets including the E-mini S&P 500, U.S. 30 - year
bonds and many others are attracting increasing numbers
of day traders.
Liquidity: Due to the large number of U.S. municipal bond issuers and the sheer number of municipal bonds outstanding the depth of liquidity for U.S. municipal bonds has been a factor impacting the market for
Liquidity: Due to the large number
of U.S. municipal
bond issuers and the sheer number
of municipal
bonds outstanding the depth
of liquidity for U.S. municipal bonds has been a factor impacting the market for
liquidity for U.S. municipal
bonds has been a factor impacting the
market for decades.
One
of the reasons why it is not a big issue is that the public
bond market is designed to be low
liquidity.
In our opinion, the so - called «spread sectors,» from high - yield
bonds to non-agency mortgages and emerging -
market debt (EMD), currently offer attractive levels
of credit, prepayment, and
liquidity risks, particularly for investors who know how to analyze these risks.