is in defensive & large - cap stocks, no matter how highly valued they are / become — due to a tsunami
of central bank liquidity which has scarcely dented the real economy, it's mostly been redirected into asset inflation.
Though I must say, the power
of central bank liquidity still surprises me.
Fast forward to today, and we have trillions
of central bank liquidity sloshing» round still seeking a home, but the banking system still remains pretty hesitant about balance sheet expansion.
Of course, markets have long known that eventually, after years
of central bank liquidity injections, those stimulus measures would need to be unwound - but as we get closer to policy normalization, Jens Moestrup Rasmussen expects investor nervousness to be on the rise.
This is a break from recent years, when many asset classes rode a wave
of central bank liquidity and moved in near lockstep.
We do not fight markets and therefore have not been sellers of equity markets by battling the power
of central bank liquidity creation.
Not exact matches
The chief executive officer
of Greece's largest lender expects that the emergency
liquidity assistance given by the European
Central Bank (ECB) will end in 2018.
Chinese officials might be trying to drain
liquidity from their economy but the
central bank remains fearful
of raising interest rates.
As a result, primary dealers are the most influential non-governmental players in global financial markets, which is why they supposedly must meet certain
liquidity and quality requirements and provide
central banks with analysis and market intelligence on the state
of the worldwide markets.
Net new loans surpassed the previous record
of 2.51 trillion yuan in January 2016, which is likely to support growth not only in China but may underpin
liquidity globally as major Western
central banks begin to withdraw stimulus.
Its coincident move to support
liquidity in China nevertheless can be seen as complementary to the efforts
of the other
central banks.
Moreover, it was not a coincidence that China made its announcement on the same morning that the other major
central banks of the world announced their coordinated action to head off a
liquidity crunch for European
banks.
The European
Central Bank (ECB) stopped all payments by one
of Latvia's largest lenders on Monday, after its
liquidity position collapsed in the wake
of allegations from U.S. authorities.
Recent price swings in credit markets are «a wake - up call that
central banks are withdrawing
liquidity, and that the process is not going to be smooth,» Adam Richmond, Morgan Stanley's head
of US credit strategy, wrote in a client note.
By providing
liquidity to the broader eurozone (in the form
of its monthly bond - buying program), the European
Central Bank (ECB) is helping to limit the scale and duration
of any contagion related to events in Greece.
Not that investors seem to worry too much for now: Korean stocks hit a six - year high two days ago, riding a wave
of global
liquidity created by
central banks.
In a statement on October 20, 1987, Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan said, «The Federal Reserve, consistent with its responsibilities as the Nation's
central bank, affirmed today its readiness to serve as a source
of liquidity to support the economic and financial system» (Carlson 2006, 10).
The good news is that the European
Central Bank and the
Bank of Japan will continue to pump a fair amount
of liquidity into the market, and foreign investors are going to continue looking for yield.
Also see Stein J (2013), «
Liquidity Regulation and
Central Banking», Speech at the «Finding the Right Balance» 2013 Credit Markets Symposium sponsored by the Federal Reserve
Bank of Richmond, Charlotte, North Carolina, 19 April.
If this is true, by the way, it means that attempts at implementing liberalizing reforms are successful mainly during periods
of great global
liquidity, and this might have implications for China, especially if over the next few years global
central banks begin to withdraw the huge
liquidity injections that have underpinned asset bubbles around the world.
We get into some fixed income wonkery —
Liquidity, supply, safety, demand,
central bank purchases, and the dearth
of high quality assets all are part
of our conversation.
Strategists at
Bank of America Merrill Lynch put a fine point on the paradox
of how
central banks created both a
liquidity solution and problem with their historically aggressive measures while they and congressional legislators created a tighter regulatory environment.
«
Liquidity,» in fact, is THE watchword now in bond trading — ironic, considering that the U.S.
central bank's primary intention has been to boost the flow
of cash through financial markets, drive a push toward riskier assets like stocks and corporate credit, and thus generate a wealth effect that would spread through the economy.
Banks are relying on the short end of the curve for much of their funding, which has been facilitated by the influxes of liquidity provided by the central banks, but challenges remain in the mid - to longer
Banks are relying on the short end
of the curve for much
of their funding, which has been facilitated by the influxes
of liquidity provided by the
central banks, but challenges remain in the mid - to longer
banks, but challenges remain in the mid - to longer end.
A: No, I think that when interest rates are constrained by the zero bound, it is appropriate for
central banks to look, if conditions warrant, for other ways to be expansionary and swapping short term assets for long term assets or what is the equivalent
of a
liquidity trap, printing money and buying long term assets, can be a reasonable solution.
In response, the Fed reduced the federal funds rate to essentially zero by mid-December, instituted swap lines to provide dollar
liquidity to foreign
central banks, added new
liquidity facilities to target specific sectors
of the shadow
banking system and began to expand its balance sheet through asset purchases.
Right now, capital markets are swimming in an ocean
of liquidity thanks to
central banks flooding the system.
The risk
of volatility spikes and
liquidity shortages is rising, and it could get worse with new «quantitative tightening» policies from
central banks.
Would this article be published if TSLAs market cap was 1billion instead
of ~ 50 billion.
Of course not.TSLA is much less a story
of innovation and technology and much more one
of a stock where rampant speculation resulting from
Central bank liquidity has pushed its stock to levels completely unrelated to its prospects as a company.Its silly stock market valuation allows it raise cash to keep the charade going much longer than the economics
of its business would ever suggest.
Central Banks can supply commercial banks with liquidity that facilitates interbank payments and payments by customers and banks to the government, but what banks lend is their own debt, not that of the centra
Central Banks can supply commercial banks with liquidity that facilitates interbank payments and payments by customers and banks to the government, but what banks lend is their own debt, not that of the central
Banks can supply commercial
banks with liquidity that facilitates interbank payments and payments by customers and banks to the government, but what banks lend is their own debt, not that of the central
banks with
liquidity that facilitates interbank payments and payments by customers and
banks to the government, but what banks lend is their own debt, not that of the central
banks to the government, but what
banks lend is their own debt, not that of the central
banks lend is their own debt, not that
of the
centralcentral bank.
Joseph Stiglitz recently acknowledged that instead
of helping the global recovery, the «flood
of liquidity» from the Fed and the European
Central Bank is causing «chaos» in foreign exchange markets.
Given moral hazard concerns, regular
liquidity - providing activities are likely to remain
central banks» main line
of defence in stressed environments.
So Bernstein concludes that «the crypto - bubble will continue until the Fed and other
central banks remove too much
liquidity from the economy, the availability
of «greater fools» decreases, and the bubble deflates.»
This report is the result
of a coordinated research effort by the
central banks of Canada, Italy, Japan, the United Kingdom and the United States and the
Bank for International Settlements on the determinants
of market
liquidity and on how
central banks and other public authorities influence these determinants.
Because time is
of the essence, and because during negotiations the
central bank was squeezing
liquidity [on Greek
banks] in order pressurise us, in order to succumb, my constant proposal to the Troika was very simple: let us agree on three or four important reforms that we agree upon, like the tax system, like VAT, and let's implement them immediately.
However, the Reserve
Bank's
central position in the financial system, and its position as the ultimate provider
of liquidity to the system, gives it a key role in financial crisis management.
We think greater global
central bank - generated
liquidity will be a positive for the corporate credit sectors and economically driven parts
of the market, at least in the near - to - medium term.
Central banks around the world pumped trillions
of dollars
of liquidity into the financial markets, which experts say helped send the stock market to record highs.
It does this in several ways, including through its
central position in the financial system and its role in managing and providing
liquidity to the system, and through its chairmanship
of the Council
of Financial Regulators, comprising the Reserve
Bank, APRA, the Australian Securities and Investments Commission and Treasury.
In addition to near zero interest rates,
central banks created excessive amounts
of money by issuing trillions
of dollars
of bonds, e.g. QE1, QE2, QE3, QE4, etc. pushing unprecedented amounts
of newly created money into global markets to contain the growing deflationary threat; and, while it failed to contain deflation, the excessive
liquidity is now circulating in markets with no place to go, akin to moribund monetary edema.
The 2008 financial crisis saw interest rates in the UK fall to historical lows
of 0.50 percent in March 2009, as the
central bank went all out to help the UK economy recover from the global
liquidity crunch.
Again, when risk - aversion kicks in during the completion
of a market cycle,
central bank liquidity does not reliably support stocks, because safe
liquidity is seen as a desirable asset rather than an inferior one.
Thereby, the increased dependence on
central bank liquidity may have weakened the resilience
of markets, making them more prone to a (small) shock, such as an adjustment
of market expectations on monetary policy.
To alleviate the slowdown and offset the
liquidity drain due to continuing capital outflows the People's
Bank of China, the central bank, undertook further easing measures, cutting the reserve requirement ratio by a further 50 basis points to 17 % and 15 % for large and small banks respectively at the beginning of Ma
Bank of China, the
central bank, undertook further easing measures, cutting the reserve requirement ratio by a further 50 basis points to 17 % and 15 % for large and small banks respectively at the beginning of Ma
bank, undertook further easing measures, cutting the reserve requirement ratio by a further 50 basis points to 17 % and 15 % for large and small
banks respectively at the beginning
of March.
This is the insanity
of the financial world to which the
central banks continue to provide
liquidity.
While mortgage lenders have tightened their wallets since 2008, corporations have been borrowing with abandon, abetted by trillions
of dollars in
central bank liquidity and investors searching for yield they can no longer find in government bonds or money markets.
In particular, the Chinese
central bank has been making headlines and disturbing the «easy money fan club» by daring to slow the growth
of aggressive lending within the Chinese financial system by limiting
liquidity growth to the financial system as a whole.
In light
of his refusal to carry out the duties
of a
central bank and act as lender
of last resort when Greek
banks run out
of cash, Mr. Varoufakis has said that: «If necessary, we will issue parallel
liquidity and California - style IOU's, in an electronic form.
We believe that
central -
bank liquidity and better - than - expected global economic data contributed to the lower levels
of volatility.
Central bank bond - buying measures in most
of the world have helped to increase
liquidity, support asset prices, and smooth volatility.