I would like, if I may, to draw your and other people's attention to the fact that modern estimates
of the change in forcing from the LGM to preindustrial Holocene point to (Charney) ECS being substantially below 3 C.
Similarly, the climate scenarios were based on 2xCO2 equilibrium GCM projections from three models, where the radiative forcing of climate was interpreted as the combined concentrations of CO2 (555 ppm) and other greenhouse gases (contributing about 15 %
of the change in forcing) equivalent to a doubling of CO2, assumed to occur in about 2060.
However it turns out that for the range of scenarios considered in the simulations behind SPM Fig. 10, the dependence is mostly offset by a dependence of how much warming is «delayed» by the thermal inertia of the oceans (which will also depend on the rate
of change in forcing and hence emissions).
I call it «Newton's fourth law»: that temperature is driven not by the level of the forcing but by the rate
of change in the forcing.
Furthermore, if we are trying to explain why the rate of warming went up in say 1975 we don't want to look at just the rate
of change in forcing due to well - mixed greenhouse gases and reflective aerosols by the rate of change in net forcing.
Or it is the only value
of the change in forcing that they want to consider for a while.
The IPCC 2001 report states «Several recent reconstructions estimate that variations in solar irradiance give rise to a forcing at the Earth's surface of about 0.6 to 0.7 Wm - 2 since the Maunder Minimum and about half this over the 20th century... All reconstructions indicate that the direct effect of variations in solar forcing over the 20th century was about 20 to 25 %
of the change in forcing due to increases in the well - mixed greenhouse gases.»
«The trends of the bond market, as well as the stock market, are the direct result
of changes in the forces of supply versus demand.
Changes in this torsion angle were measured by a laser bounced off the reflective cantilever, providing an indication
of changes in the force exerted on the tip, the viscous resistance exerted — and therefore the water's effective viscosity.
«The trends of the bond market, as well as the stock market, are the direct result
of changes in the forces of supply versus demand.
As to the example of the megadrought in the 1600s, I know little about this, but can you be so certain this was the result of chaos and not a change in forcings, or a non-chaotic combination
of a change in forcings timed with a cyclical ENSO - like event?
For the Earth's «fast» system, changes in decadal statistics can be computed on the basis
of changes in forcing such as GHG's, without any need for knowledge of the initial conditions.
What is the intrinsic variability of the current climate system (clouds, ocean, and all) in the absence
of any changes in forcing?
dF is the sum total
of all changes in forcing: solar forcing, internal forcing, GHG forcing.
Not exact matches
«Overall, some folks will really benefit from AMT repeal, but we can't look at taxes
in a vacuum,» said LaBrecque, also head
of the Michigan Association
of CPAs» special task
force on tax
changes, which ran simulations on more than 900 tax returns to see the impact
of the proposed Trump tax
changes.
Yum was
forced to shut hundreds
of British KFC outlets
in February due to a shortage
of chicken resulting from the abrupt
change of a supplier.
The harvest is only about six weeks long,
in March and April, when the
change of seasons offers just the right mix
of cool nights and warm days to
force sap to flow through the sugar maple tree.
Chriss pegs growth
in the contingent work
force to structural
changes in employment over the past decades, including a decline
in enrollment
in defined - benefit pension plans and growth
in the average duration
of unemployment.
When it comes to startups and regulation, there's the Uber way
of doing it: charging ahead like a raging bull
in an effort to
force law makers to
change their ways.
Britain's last coal power station will be
forced to close
in 2025, as part
of a government plan to phase out the fossil fuel to meet its climate
change commitments.
Yum was
forced to shut hundreds
of British KFC outlets
in February after a supplier
change led to shortages
of everything from chicken to gravy.
In Personal Insurance, net written premiums grew 8 %, benefiting from renewal premium change of 10 % in agency auto and continued momentum in our leading homeowners business where we grew policies in force by 5
In Personal Insurance, net written premiums grew 8 %, benefiting from renewal premium
change of 10 %
in agency auto and continued momentum in our leading homeowners business where we grew policies in force by 5
in agency auto and continued momentum
in our leading homeowners business where we grew policies in force by 5
in our leading homeowners business where we grew policies
in force by 5
in force by 5 %.
When the pressure's on
in the workplace, the Alignment Express can go off the rails: shrinking budgets, org
changes, and shifting strategies
force teams to do whatever it takes to keep trains on time... often at the expense
of culture and values.
My guess is that one
of these problems will cause a more pronounced problem
in the global economy
in the coming years and
force real
change.
A
change that would make Buffett hopeful for women
in the workforce took place soon after: Following World War II, women's participation
in the U.S. labor
force rose from 32.7 percent
in 1948 to 56.8 percent
in 2016, according to the U.S. Department
of Labor.
In the book, they examine the repercussions on leadership by combined
forces of globalization, climate
change, increased individualism, and accelerating digitization.
«It's about how do you leverage the diversity you bring into your company for the benefit
of your products, for your work
force, for your culture,» she told Inc.'s Salvador Rodriguez onstage at the
Change Catalyst's Tech Inclusion conference
in October.
«A cascade
of changing business conditions,
changing organizational structures, and
changing leadership has been
forcing human resource departments to alter their perspectives on their role and function almost overnight,» wrote John Johnston
in Business Quarterly.
In your time as commandant, what kind of changes have you seen in your own management style, your own approach to leadership of the forc
In your time as commandant, what kind
of changes have you seen
in your own management style, your own approach to leadership of the forc
in your own management style, your own approach to leadership
of the
force?
«Under - emphasis
of these (structural) policies relative to macroeconomic, trade and financial stability policies is a key reason for many governments» failure
in recent decades to mobilize a more effective response to widening inequality and stagnating median income as technological
change and globalization have gathered
force,» the report said.
«We offer new analyses
in this working paper
of the impact
of changes in the US labor
force participation rate (LFPR).
That means shoppers are
forced to accept
change in the form
of chewing gum, cigarettes, and other small items.
The survey
of 16,000 people
in 15 countries highlights the
changing global retirement landscape as economic pressures and longer life expectancy
force people to work longer.
Small - business owners, with their strong voting records and firm intentions
of hitting the polls
in November, represent an untapped but potentially game -
changing force in this presidential race, particularly if overall voter turnout comes
in low.
Then, while addressing attendees
of a TEDx talk, she described a
change of mindset:»... I learned that our borders and our obstacles can only do two things: one, stop us
in our tracks, or two,
force us to get creative.»
Five
of its employees were indicted
in 2007
in relation to the deaths
of 17 unarmed Iraqi civilians —
forcing the company to
change its name to Xe Services
in a bid to distance itself from the controversy.
Lori Becker, founder and CEO
of Boston - based education publishing firm Publishing Solutions Group, says she is a fan
of the five - year goal, but the current economy and some major
changes in her industry have
forced her to reevaluate.
The system is automated and will stop working if there are any «disadvantageous
changes»
in either the direction or
force of the wind.
It was a transparent attempt to boost interest
in the social network, and Google's
change of heart now proves that
forcing people to use an inferior product is not much
of a business strategy.
In his book The World in 2050: Four Forces Shaping Civilization's Northern Future, Laurence Smith, a professor of geography and earth and space sciences at UCLA, argues that we're about to see a productivity and culture boom in the north, driven by climate change, shifting demographics, globalization and the hunt for natural resource
In his book The World
in 2050: Four Forces Shaping Civilization's Northern Future, Laurence Smith, a professor of geography and earth and space sciences at UCLA, argues that we're about to see a productivity and culture boom in the north, driven by climate change, shifting demographics, globalization and the hunt for natural resource
in 2050: Four
Forces Shaping Civilization's Northern Future, Laurence Smith, a professor
of geography and earth and space sciences at UCLA, argues that we're about to see a productivity and culture boom
in the north, driven by climate change, shifting demographics, globalization and the hunt for natural resource
in the north, driven by climate
change, shifting demographics, globalization and the hunt for natural resources.
But you know what happens to bids
in negotiations: They get whittled away, the terms get
changed, and, sometimes, the whole negotiation breaks down under the
force of an ultimatum from one
of the parties involved.
As a result
of their remarkable generosity, philanthropy
in 2016 is poised to stand alongside government and business as one
of the most powerful
forces influencing social
change.
Even with a brief stint on the DL this year, he is still a
force to be reckoned with capable
of changing the course
of a ballgame
in unimaginable ways.
But a vote to Leave would almost certainly
force a
change of leadership
in the Conservative Party and a new Prime Minister, given Cameron's leading
of the Remain campaign.
«There needs to be a hole
in the
force field that protects their sense
of reality before they will actively explore, examine and
change their beliefs and behaviour,» writes executive coach Marcia Reynolds
in her 2014 book The Discomfort Zone: How Leaders Turn Difficult Conversations Into Breakthroughs.
There have been numerous times when Musk's endeavors would have benefited by having more capital, yet he has resisted the urge to take SpaceX public because the board
of directors
of a publicly - held firm would undoubtedly
force him to make
changes in the company that would improve its profitability at the expense
of its chances for reaching Mars.
Recent shifts
in regulations are one
of the major
forces driving
changes in the the asset management industry
in China.
A 2016 survey by Jobvite cited that
in the entire work
force, 18 percent
of the total
changes jobs every one to three years.
But extending such power - sharing solutions to the Sunni Arab areas
of Iraq, and eventually to ethnic and religious groups
in Syria, will require internal cultural
change, international guarantees, and an outside monitoring
force.
General Motors CEO Mary Barra has said the company's small - car production will remain
in Mexico, but it could only be a matter
of time before she's
forced to
change course.