Changes in climate zone distribution will always be a result
of any changes in atmospheric composition that affect the net radiation balance of the entire atmosphere.
Not exact matches
And by carefully measuring and modeling the resulting
changes in atmospheric composition, scientists could improve their estimate
of how sensitive Earth's climate is to CO2, said lead author Joyce Penner, a professor
of atmospheric science at the University
of Michigan whose work focuses on improving global climate models and their ability to model the interplay between clouds and aerosol particles.
Non-polar glacial ice holds a wealth
of information about past
changes in climate, the environment and especially
atmospheric composition, such as variations
in temperature,
atmospheric concentrations
of greenhouse gases and emissions
of natural aerosols or human - made pollutants... The glaciers therefore hold the memory
of former climates and help to predict future environmental
changes.
Smit, a professor
in UBC's department
of earth, ocean &
atmospheric sciences, and colleague, professor Klaus Mezger
of the University
of Bern, were aware that the
composition of continents also
changed during this period.
The main factors include solar variability, volcanic activity,
atmospheric composition, the amount
of sunlight reflected back into space, ocean currents and
changes in the Earth's orbit.
For example,
changes in Earth's
atmospheric composition (especially the concentrations
of greenhouse gases) may alter the climate, while climate
change itself can
change the
atmospheric composition (for example by
changing the rate at which weathering removes CO2).
The consensus is that several factors are important:
atmospheric composition (the concentrations
of carbon dioxide, methane);
changes in the Earth's orbit around the Sun known as Milankovitch cycles (and possibly the Sun's orbit around the galaxy); the motion
of tectonic plates resulting
in changes in the relative location and amount
of continental and oceanic crust on the Earth's surface, which could affect wind and ocean currents; variations
in solar output; the orbital dynamics
of the Earth - Moon system; and the impact
of relatively large meteorites, and volcanism including eruptions
of supervolcanoes.
For my post-doctoral project, I decided to focus on the question, «to what extent can
atmospheric pollutants, such as CO2 and ozone, exert a selective effect on woody plant species, and how are the resulting
changes in the genetic
composition of the plant community likely to affect the animals that feed on them?»
This inertia implies that there is additional climate
change «
in the pipeline» even without further
change of atmospheric composition.
Global
changes of the
atmospheric composition and natural circulation
changes are
in competition to each other
in determining the Arctic surface climate.
Meteorological scientists warn that the
changes in heat
composition and air pressure over the Tibetan Plateau may have implications beyond Asia's river basins, as shifting dynamics
of the
atmospheric circulatory system over the plateau could
change wind and monsoon patterns across much
of the world.
[Response:
Changes in the
atmospheric composition are negligible for their effect on the gas law, but not
in terms
of radiative transfer, so your conclusion is invalid.]
Given the huge sums
of money involved
in funding climate research and the even larger sums being spent on the assumption that it gives us good guidance for practical decisions, it may be time for some very large experimental chambers to be constructed to test the presumptions
of the device
of using forcings as an tractable way
of including
changes in atmospheric composition in climate models.
Changes in atmospheric composition from human activities are the main cause
of anthropogenic climate
change by enhancing the greenhouse effect, although with important regional effects from aerosol particulates (IPCC 2007).
Implications include (i) the expectation
of additional global warming
of about 0.6 °C without further
change of atmospheric composition; (ii) the confirmation
of the climate system's lag
in responding to forcings, implying the need for anticipatory actions to avoid any specified level
of climate
change; and (iii) the likelihood
of acceleration
of ice sheet disintegration and sea level rise.
panel cautions that trends
in such short periods
of record with arbitrary start and end points are not necessarily representative
of how the atmosphere is
changing in response to long - term human - induced
changes in atmospheric composition.
«No doubt CO2 has been climbing, but the total
change in atmospheric composition [since 1945, when CO2 levels began to increase] is one 9/1, 000 ths
of one percent.
Because 20 - year trends can be substantially influenced by just a few single or multi-year «warm» or «cold» events, they are not necessarily representative
of the true response
of the climate system to the more gradual
changes in atmospheric composition that are taking place
in response to human activities.
Were this postulate true, we would have noted a
change in the
atmospheric composition of CO2, due to warm (CO2 denuded) water being replaced by cool (CO2 rich) waters.
The main factors include solar variability, volcanic activity,
atmospheric composition, the amount
of sunlight reflected back into space, ocean currents and
changes in the Earth's orbit.
Carbon dioxide is a greenhouse gas and we can demonstrate clearly that the observed warming
of the planet would not have occurred without that
change in atmospheric composition.
It is an estimation that does not provide sufficient accuracy when compared to at tiny
change in atmospheric composition due to a doubling
of CO2.
All
of these influences occur superposed on the climate
change signals associated with
changes in atmospheric composition.»
These include increased average land and ocean temperatures that lead to reduced snowpack levels, hydrological
changes, and sea level rise;
changing precipitation patterns that will create both drought and extreme rain events; and increasing
atmospheric CO2 that will contribute to ocean acidification,
changes in species
composition, and increased risk
of fires.
The ability to hindcast the detailed
changes in atmospheric composition over the past decade, particularly the variability
of tropospheric O3 and CO, is limited by the availability
of measurements and their integration with models and emissions data.
Changes in atmospheric composition and chemistry over the past century have affected, and those projected into the future will affect, the lifetimes
of many greenhouse gases and thus alter the climate forcing
of anthropogenic emissions:
Climate
change commitment - Due to the thermal inertia
of the ocean and slow processes
in the biosphere, the cryosphere and land surfaces, the climate would continue to
change even if the
atmospheric composition were held fixed at today's values.
However, overall sensitivities
of lifetime to
changes in atmospheric composition vary widely from model to model.
Change of surface temperature between 1990 and 2090, as predicted by the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL) GCM forced by the anticipated change in atmospheric gas compos
Change of surface temperature between 1990 and 2090, as predicted by the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL) GCM forced by the anticipated
change in atmospheric gas compos
change in atmospheric gas
composition.
One implication is that if humans burn most
of the fossil fuels, thus injecting into the atmosphere an amount
of CO2 at least comparable to that injected during the PETM, the CO2 would stay
in the surface carbon reservoirs (atmosphere, ocean, soil, biosphere) for tens
of thousands
of years, long enough for the atmosphere, ocean and ice sheets to fully respond to the
changed atmospheric composition.
Consider the facts: the climate system is indicated to have left the natural cycle path; multiple lines
of evidence and studies from different fields all point to the human fingerprint on current climate
change; the convergence
of these evidence lines include ice mass loss, pattern
changes, ocean acidification, plant and species migration, isotopic signature
of CO2,
changes in atmospheric composition, and many others.
I was continuing to root through the AGU FM abstracts and came across this from Christina Ravelo et al. (paragraphed for easier digestion by dyspeptic elderly bunnies): «The response
of climate to past
changes in atmospheric greenhouse gas
composition can be used to assess Earth System sensitivity.
We especially want our global surface temperature reconstruction to be accurate for the Pliocene and Pleistocene because the global temperature
changes that are expected by the end
of this century, if humanity continues to rapidly
change atmospheric composition, are
of a magnitude comparable to climate
change in those epochs [1,48].
This apparent widespread loss
in the sensitivity to temperature is, however, not fully understood and several different explanations have been proposed, e.g. relating the phenomenon to
changes in the
atmospheric composition (Briffa et al. 1998b, 2004); to drought stress (Barber et al. 2000); physiological threshold effects (D'Arrigo et al. 2004; Wilmking et al. 2004); and to
changes in the length
of the growing season (Vaganov et al. 1999).
Ku, S. Gaffin, and P.L. Kinney, 2007: Air quality
in future decades: Determining the relative impacts
of changes in climate, emissions, global
atmospheric composition, and regional land use.
And we have a lot
of different examples
in the Earth's history
of how climate has
changed as the
atmospheric composition has
changed.
These previous mass extinction events (also known as the «Big Five») are hypothesised to have been caused by combinations
of key events such as unusual climate
change,
changes in atmospheric composition, and abnormally high stress on the ecosystem (except
in the case
of the Cretaceous, which was caused by an asteroid impact and subsequent effects).
Steve Schneider helped the world understand that the burning
of fossil fuels had altered the chemistry
of Earth's atmosphere, and that this
change in atmospheric composition had led to a discernible human influence on our planet's climate.
Specifically, has anyone here framed the issue
in terms
of, «
changing the
composition of a substance
changes its properties» — and then related that to activities ranging from cooking, to metallurgy, to biotechnology, to the
atmospheric effect
of taking lead out
of gasoline?
The
changes in atmospheric composition and surface properties, indicated here, which maintained a global temperature difference
of 5 ± 1 °C between the ice age and the interglacial period, are known accurately.
They constrained the TOA budget to match estimates
of the global imbalance associated with
changes in atmospheric composition and climate.
the reason the period
of the last 1000 years isn't much
of a priority
in terms
of paleo simulations is that you need some specified
change to external forcing (solar,
atmospheric composition) or bottom boundary conditions (like continents moving around) to get a simulation that is different from present.