The great thing is that, since we can make good estimates
of the changes in solar radiation, changes in the Earth's albedo due to melting ice, and changes in atmospheric CO2 concentration during the ice ages, scientists can directly calculate the sensitivity of the climate to changes in the atmospheric CO2 concentration.
As such, they may provide a powerful demonstration of the impacts
of changes in solar radiation on the climate system.
Earlier studies on the sensitivity of tropical cyclones to past climates have only analyzed the effect
of changes in the solar radiation from orbital forcing on the formation of tropical cyclones, without considering the feedbacks associated to the consequent greening of the Sahara.
Not exact matches
The impact
of grain size on albedo — the ratio between reflected and incoming
solar radiation — is strong
in the infrared range, where humans can't see, but satellite instruments can detect the
change.
The model tracked
changes in temperature and
solar radiation at many altitudes throughout the lower layer
of the atmosphere.
Such
changes range from how much
solar radiation the region reflects back into space to the structure
of the ecological communities
in Arctic waters; meanwhile, melting permafrost is driving the transformation
of frozen tundra into wetlands, and grassy plains are shifting into lusher landscapes
of bushes and trees.
For instance, UV
radiation amounts to a mere 7 %
of solar energy, but its variation produces
changes in the stratosphere near the Equator, all the way to the polar regions, which govern climate.
The researchers warn, however, that the future evolution
of the AMO remains uncertain, with many factors potentially affecting how it interacts with atmospheric circulation patterns, such as Arctic sea ice loss,
changes in solar radiation, volcanic eruptions and concentrations
of greenhouse gases
in the atmosphere.
In recent years, a brand of research called «climate attribution science» has sprouted from this question, examining the impact of extreme events to determine how much — often in fractional terms — is related to human - induced climate change, and how much to natural variability (whether in climate patterns such as the El Niño / La Niña - Southern Oscillation, sea - surface temperatures, changes in incoming solar radiation, or a host of other possible factors
In recent years, a brand
of research called «climate attribution science» has sprouted from this question, examining the impact
of extreme events to determine how much — often
in fractional terms — is related to human - induced climate change, and how much to natural variability (whether in climate patterns such as the El Niño / La Niña - Southern Oscillation, sea - surface temperatures, changes in incoming solar radiation, or a host of other possible factors
in fractional terms — is related to human - induced climate
change, and how much to natural variability (whether
in climate patterns such as the El Niño / La Niña - Southern Oscillation, sea - surface temperatures, changes in incoming solar radiation, or a host of other possible factors
in climate patterns such as the El Niño / La Niña - Southern Oscillation, sea - surface temperatures,
changes in incoming solar radiation, or a host of other possible factors
in incoming
solar radiation, or a host
of other possible factors).
Aerosols that high
in the sky «can
change the amount
of solar radiation reaching the Earth's surface and affect rainfall through cloud formation,» she says.
It is believed that the PETM was likely initiated by
changes of the orbital parameters
of the Earth (eccentricity, obliquity and precession
of axis) causing an increase
in the intensity and distribution
of solar radiation reaching the earth (Sexton et al, 2011).
Will Gray is
of course disputing the «
changes in solar radiation» theory
of recent warming just as much as he is disputing the CO2 explanation.
Changes in insolation are also thought to have arisen from small variations
in solar irradiance, although both timing and magnitude
of past
solar radiation fluctuations are highly uncertain (see Chapters 2 and 6; Lean et al., 2002; Gray et al., 2005; Foukal et al., 2006).
The warming trends
in looking at numerous 100 year temperature plots from northern and high elevation climate stations... i.e. warming trends
in annual mean and minimum temperature averages, winter monthly means and minimums and especially winter minimum temperatures and dewpoints... indicate climate warming that is being driven by the accumulation
of greenhouse gases
in the atmosphere — no visible effects from other things like
changes in solar radiation or the levels
of cosmic rays.
There are a large number
of recent peer - reviewed scientific publications demonstrating how
solar activity can affect our climate (Benestad, 2002), such as how
changes in the UV
radiation following the
solar activity affect the stratospheric ozone concentrations (1999) and how earth's temperatures respond to
changes in the total
solar irradiance (Meehl, 2003).
Variations
in the orbit cause opposite
changes in the intensity
of solar radiation during the summer between the Northern and Southern hemisphere, yet ice age terminations seem synchronous between hemispheres.
A
change of that magnitude
in the incoming
solar radiation itself is not possible since satellite observations would have seen it.
Absorption
of solar radiation by CO2 is minimal, and increasing CO2 should not
change it
in a way to mediate cooling.
The climate
change in this period is generally believed to be associated with precessional
changes in the distribution
of solar radiation, which primarily affect land - sea temperature contrast, and give only a regional warming, plus an enhancement
of certain monsoonal circulations.
Refraction, specifically the real component
of refraction n (describes bending
of rays, wavelength
changes relative to a vacuum, affects blackbody fluxes and intensities — as opposed to the imaginary component, which is related to absorption and emission) is relatively unimportant to shaping radiant fluxes through the atmosphere on Earth (except on the small scale processes where it (along with difraction, reflection) gives rise to scattering, particularly
of solar radiation —
in that case, the effect on the larger scale can be described by scattering properties, the emergent behavior).
[Response: They are imposed directly as cyclic
changes in the amount (and spectra)
of the incoming
solar radiation.
The incoming
solar radiation has
changed just a tiny bit
in comparison — since 1950, by the way, it has even decreased and thus offset a small part
of the human - caused warming — hence humans have probably caused more warming than is observed (best estimate is 110 %
of observed warming).
These shape the 4 - dimensional pattern
of temperature and other
changes — the patterns
of circulation, latent heating, and precipitation will shift, as can the cycles driven the imposed diurnal and seasonal cycles
in incident
solar radiation; the texture
of internal variability can also shift.
First, for
changing just CO2 forcing (or CH4, etc, or for a non-GHE forcing, such as a
change in incident
solar radiation, volcanic aerosols, etc.), there will be other GHE radiative «forcings» (feedbacks, though
in the context
of measuring their radiative effect, they can be described as having radiative forcings
of x W / m2 per
change in surface T), such as water vapor feedback, LW cloud feedback, and also, because GHE depends on the vertical temperature distribution, the lapse rate feedback (this generally refers to the tropospheric lapse rate, though
changes in the position
of the tropopause and
changes in the stratospheric temperature could also be considered lapse - rate feedbacks for forcing at TOA; forcing at the tropopause with stratospheric adjustment takes some
of that into account; sensitivity to forcing at the tropopause with stratospheric adjustment will generally be different from sensitivity to forcing without stratospheric adjustment and both will generally be different from forcing at TOA before stratospheric adjustment; forcing at TOA after stratospehric adjustment is identical to forcing at the tropopause after stratospheric adjustment).
«If there are no while zones on top
of the volcanoes, the
solar radiation is absorbed, which generated an increase
in temperature and local climate
change, like desertification or the inhibition
of pluvial precipitation,» Degaldo told SciDev.net
in an interview.
In particular, the authors find fault with IPCC's conclusions relating to human activities being the primary cause of recent global warming, claiming, contrary to significant evidence that they tend to ignore, that the comparatively small influences of natural changes in solar radiation are dominating the influences of the much larger effects of changes in the atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations on the global energy balanc
In particular, the authors find fault with IPCC's conclusions relating to human activities being the primary cause
of recent global warming, claiming, contrary to significant evidence that they tend to ignore, that the comparatively small influences
of natural
changes in solar radiation are dominating the influences of the much larger effects of changes in the atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations on the global energy balanc
in solar radiation are dominating the influences
of the much larger effects
of changes in the atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations on the global energy balanc
in the atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations on the global energy balance.
With the impacts
of rising temperatures already being felt, and recent IPCC reports drawing into sharper focus the range
of impacts expected
in the coming decades,
solar radiation management (SRM) is attracting increasing attention as a potentially cheap, fast - acting, albeit temporary response to some
of the dangers
of climate
change.
In other words, do minute changes in the incidence and intensity of solar radiation over very long time periods necessarily affect the set - point of our thermosta
In other words, do minute
changes in the incidence and intensity of solar radiation over very long time periods necessarily affect the set - point of our thermosta
in the incidence and intensity
of solar radiation over very long time periods necessarily affect the set - point
of our thermostat?
Valentina Zharkova, a professor
of mathematics at Northumbria University
in the United Kingdom, used a new model
of the sun's
solar cycle and its periodic
change in solar radiation emissions to predict a «mini Ice Age» may begin shortly.
These cycles
change the amount
of solar radiation received at each latitude
in each season (but hardly affect the global annual mean), and they can be calculated with astronomical precision.
This is the portion
of temperature
change that is imposed on the ocean - atmosphere - land system from the outside and it includes contributions from anthropogenic increases
in greenhouse gasses, aerosols, and land - use
change as well as
changes in solar radiation and volcanic aerosols.
The only thing we will not be actively engaged
in is what are the causes
of the temperature
changes on the planet: how much is CO2, how much is
solar radiation, how much is cosmic rays.
In the first instance, the frequency of extreme summers was calculated in climate models where both human - caused (changes in greenhouse gases, aerosols and ozone) and natural (solar radiation changes and volcanic) climate factors were include
In the first instance, the frequency
of extreme summers was calculated
in climate models where both human - caused (changes in greenhouse gases, aerosols and ozone) and natural (solar radiation changes and volcanic) climate factors were include
in climate models where both human - caused (
changes in greenhouse gases, aerosols and ozone) and natural (solar radiation changes and volcanic) climate factors were include
in greenhouse gases, aerosols and ozone) and natural (
solar radiation changes and volcanic) climate factors were included.
PHYS.org:
Changes in solar radiation, known as
solar forcing, have had only a very small effect on climate
change, a member
of the UN's top panel
of climate scientists said today.
This can be affected by warming temperatures, but also by
changes in snowfall, increases in solar radiation absorption due to a decrease in cloud cover, and increases in the water vapor content of air near the earth's surface.2, 14,15,16,17 In Cordillera Blanca, Peru, for example, one study of glacier retreat between 1930 and 1950 linked the retreat to a decline in cloud cover and precipitation.
in snowfall, increases
in solar radiation absorption due to a decrease in cloud cover, and increases in the water vapor content of air near the earth's surface.2, 14,15,16,17 In Cordillera Blanca, Peru, for example, one study of glacier retreat between 1930 and 1950 linked the retreat to a decline in cloud cover and precipitation.
in solar radiation absorption due to a decrease
in cloud cover, and increases in the water vapor content of air near the earth's surface.2, 14,15,16,17 In Cordillera Blanca, Peru, for example, one study of glacier retreat between 1930 and 1950 linked the retreat to a decline in cloud cover and precipitation.
in cloud cover, and increases
in the water vapor content of air near the earth's surface.2, 14,15,16,17 In Cordillera Blanca, Peru, for example, one study of glacier retreat between 1930 and 1950 linked the retreat to a decline in cloud cover and precipitation.
in the water vapor content
of air near the earth's surface.2, 14,15,16,17
In Cordillera Blanca, Peru, for example, one study of glacier retreat between 1930 and 1950 linked the retreat to a decline in cloud cover and precipitation.
In Cordillera Blanca, Peru, for example, one study
of glacier retreat between 1930 and 1950 linked the retreat to a decline
in cloud cover and precipitation.
in cloud cover and precipitation.18
By Amber Bentley (Aged 11)
In just 16 pages, this wonderful book covers the structure
of the atmosphere,
solar radiation, the water cycle, clouds, fronts, convection, air pressure, air masses, the global atmospheric circulation, making weather observations, forecasting, synoptic charts, hurricanes, regional climate, palaeoclimates and anthropogenic climate
change.
Natural variability might modulate the flow
of energy between parts
of the system, such as from ocean to atmosphere, but the «pace
of climate warming», as
in the general gain
in energy (or loss
of energy)
of the entire climate system, can only be dictated by some external forcing, such as somthing that
changes the amount
of solar radiation reaching the surface, volcanoes, or
changes in GH gas concentrations.
radiative forcing a
change in average net
radiation at the top
of the troposphere resulting from a
change in either
solar or infrared
radiation due to a
change in atmospheric greenhouse gases concentrations; perturbance
in the balance between incoming
solar radiation and outgoing infrared
radiation
Hi CH There are two major factor
in global climatic
changes (and I consider CO2 to be a minor one, taking place below the UHI)-- direct Sun - Earth link (TSI, electromagnetic, UV and particle
radiation)-- Ocean heath storage (long term integration process) and distribution (ocean currents) Views
of solar scientists (including Mike Lockwood) are constrained by their 1950's hero Eugene Parker's theories, which the latest discoveries often bring into question.
I have sought the best empirical evidence to show how
changes in incoming
solar radiation, accounted for by intrinsic
solar magnetic modulation
of the irradiance output as well as planetary modulation
of the seasonal distribution
of sunlight, affects the thermal properties
of land and sea, including temperatures.
Note that the inversion at the tropopause is entirely a result
of ozone reacting with incoming
solar radiation and particles so any
change in the ozone creation / destruction balance is going to affect the air circulation below the tropopause.
http://www.vukcevic.talktalk.net/NFC1.htm http://www.vukcevic.talktalk.net/LFC20.htm Re UV: This is a copy
of a note I wrote some 5 - 6 years ago with minor
changes (I occasionally quote it here and there since I think it still has some merit) Both UV and the particle
radiation (particle
radiation is a function
of solar activity and the strength
of Van Allen belt, via the Earth's field strength) could have far larger indirect contribution by controlling plankton volumes, and
in turn
changing the oceans» clarity and CO2 absorption.
`... but the «pace
of climate warming», as
in the general gain
in energy (or loss
of energy)
of the entire climate system, can only be dictated by some external forcing, such as somthing that
changes the amount
of solar radiation reaching the surface, volcanoes, or
changes in GH gas concentrations...»
According to their modeling studies, the difference
in the amount
of incoming
solar radiation,
in this case, primarily
in the ultraviolet (UV) wavelengths, during the minima and maxima
of the 11 - yr
solar cycle are large enough to produce a characteristic
change in the winter circulation pattern
of the atmosphere over North America... When the NAO is
in its negative phase, more cold air can seep south from the Arctic and impact the lower latitudes
of Europe and the eastern U.S., which helps spin up winter storm systems.
The cryosphere derives its importance to the climate system from a variety
of effects, including its high reflectivity (albedo) for
solar radiation, its low thermal conductivity, its large thermal inertia, its potential for affecting ocean circulation (through exchange
of freshwater and heat) and atmospheric circulation (through topographic
changes), its large potential for affecting sea level (through growth and melt
of land ice), and its potential for affecting greenhouse gases (through
changes in permafrost)(Chapter 4).
From 1899 to 1962, those ice fields more exposed to direct
solar radiation «wasted drastically» while those
in narrow, shaded grooves
changed very little, said Dr. Stefan L. Hastenrath, a professor emeritus at the University
of Wisconsin, who is a longstanding expert on African glaciology.
However, the
change in incoming
solar radiation — insolation — at this timescale is small, and therefore difficult to reconcile with the amplitude
of the glacial cycles.
Land comprises only about 30 %
of the Earth's surface, but it can have the largest effects on the reflection
of global
solar radiation in conjunction with
changes in ice and snow cover, and the shading
of the latter by vegetation.
Other leading theories to causes
of mass extinctions include: global climate
change,
changes in sea level, chemical poisoning
of the atmosphere and / or oceans, variation
in solar radiation, and extreme volcanic activity.
This measure is available for the US from the BEST data set... The reconfirmation now
of a strong sun - temperature relation based specifically upon the daytime temperature maxima adds strong and independent scientific weight to the reality
of the sun - temperature connection... This suggests strongly that
changes in solar radiation drive temperature variations on at least a hemispheric scale... Close correlations like these simply do not exist for temperature and
changing atmospheric CO2 concentration.»