«We conclude that the level of contribution
of changing solar activity is less than 10 percent of the measured global warming observed in the 20th century.
Their findings indicated that, overall, the contribution
of changing solar activity, either directly or through cosmic rays, was even less and can not have contributed more than 10 percent to global warming in the 20th century.
Not exact matches
Throughout most
of the current geological era North America was a sheet
of ice, but the global climate
changed; mostly due to
solar activity.
Peaks in
solar activity cause the city to flood more often, apparently by
changing the paths
of storms over Europe.
A
change in
solar activity may also, for example, have contributed to the post Little Ice Age rise in global temperatures in the first half
of the 20th Century.
It gives an understanding
of how
changes caused by
Solar activity or by super nova
activity can
change climate.»
Figuring out where the space lab will fall is a complex calculation
of the station's altitude, the height
of the Earth's atmosphere (which
changes according to
solar activity) and the station's shape.
Now Muller says Berkeley Earth's new results «are stronger than those
of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate
Change,» because they found
solar activity had a «negligible» role in warming observed since the 1750s.
Changes in the number of cosmic rays hitting the atmosphere due to changes in solar activity can not explain global warming, as average cosmic ray intensities have been increasing since 1985 even as the world has warmed — the opposite of what should happen if cosmic rays produce climate - cooling
Changes in the number
of cosmic rays hitting the atmosphere due to
changes in solar activity can not explain global warming, as average cosmic ray intensities have been increasing since 1985 even as the world has warmed — the opposite of what should happen if cosmic rays produce climate - cooling
changes in
solar activity can not explain global warming, as average cosmic ray intensities have been increasing since 1985 even as the world has warmed — the opposite
of what should happen if cosmic rays produce climate - cooling clouds.
Volcanic eruptions and
solar variations were still plausible causes
of change, and some argued these would swamp any effects
of human
activities.
So when the number
of particles coming from the sun
changes — usually as a result
of its 11 - year
activity cycle — it takes years before that's reflected in the amount
of neutral atoms shooting back into the
solar system.
The team attempted to develop an explanation for the anomalous
solar activity data by comparing the features
of the 14C
change with those
of other
solar events known to have occurred over the last couple
of millennia.
The amount
of solar heat entering Earth's atmosphere varies by about 0.1 per cent on a timescale
of years as the sun's
activity changes, but satellite data show no overall increase corresponding to the soaring temperatures
of recent decades.
«It is true that there are other factors (such as volcanism, the
changes in the orbit and the axis
of the Earth, the
solar cycle), but numerous scientific studies indicate that most
of the global warming in recent decades is due to the large concentration
of greenhouse gases (carbon dioxide, methane, nitrogen oxide and others) mainly emitted due to human
activity.»
It was possible, according to the I.P.C.C. consensus statement, that the warming before 1956 could be because
of changes in
solar activity, and that even a substantial part
of the more recent warming could be natural.
The consortium instruments are designed to study a number
of phenomena, including the interaction
of 67P / C - G with the
solar wind, a continuous stream
of plasma emitted by the sun;
changes of activity on the comet; the structure and dynamics
of the comet's tenuous plasma atmosphere, known as the coma; and the physical properties
of the comet's nucleus and surface.
«The task,» Millikan wrote, «
of learning to substitute stored
solar energy for muscular energy — the great underlying cause
of most
of the
changes in man's
activities and living conditions — has been learned within the past eighty years and will never need to be learned over again.»
This conclusion is, in retrospect, not too surprising; we've learned from satellite measurements that
solar activity changes the brightness
of the sun very little.
I'm curious, if the mid-holocene event resulted from
solar activity, rather than orbital effects, would the resolution
of our paleoclimate data really be high enough to determine whether or not these
changes were as rapid as the
changes we're seeing today?
After all, the implied
changes in GCR flux are huge compared to what is expected from the gentle modulation
of the Earth's magnetic field arising from recent
solar activity changes (not that there's any trend in those that would explain recent warming).
Tails mark the approach to the
solar apex
of a comet's long orbit, when surface temperature, dust halo thickness and geologic
activity all
change.
The main factors include
solar variability, volcanic
activity, atmospheric composition, the amount
of sunlight reflected back into space, ocean currents and
changes in the Earth's orbit.
Investigating the cause
of 20th Century warming is properly done in detection and attribution studies, which analyze the various forcings (e.g.,
solar variations, greenhouse gases or volcanic
activity) and the observed time and space patterns
of climate
change in detail.
New data have more accurately quantifi ed
changes in
solar spectral fl uxes over a broad range
of wavelengths in association with
changing solar activity.
If the forcing due to a certain
change of solar and / or volcanic
activity should have been higher than previously assumed, this wouldn't
change the weight
of these factors much, neither for the Esper / Moberg period nor the period since 1950.
Periods
of volcanism can cool the climate (as with the 1991 Pinatubo eruption), methane emissions from increased biological
activity can warm the climate, and slight
changes in
solar output and orbital variations can all have climate effects which are much shorter in duration than the ice age cycles, ranging from less than a decade to a thousand years in duration (the Younger Dryas).
And Perdue's not the only leading recipient
of Southern's political support to help spread the questionable scientific talking points the utility has paid for: Rep. Gary Palmer, an Alabama Republican who received $ 18,000 from the company's PAC and employees in the 2014 cycle, last year told WATE that science «says global climate
change is more a function
of nature and
solar activity than it is anything man does.»
The first collection
of papers establishes that (a) decadal and multi-decadal ocean circulation patterns (AMO, PDO, NAO, ENSO) have significantly modulated precipitation and temperature
changes in recent decades, and the second collection
of papers confirm that (b) natural ocean oscillations are, in turn, modulated by
solar activity.
Scientists have modelled the expected temperature drop over the 21st century due to waning
solar activity — and they found that the
change is likely to be dwarfed by the much bigger warming effect
of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere.
Among the materials the group sent was a 10 - minute DVD called «Unstoppable
Solar Cycles: The Real Story
of Greenland,» which says scientists are «deeply divided» about «the notion that climate
change is mostly the result
of human
activities.»
Changes in the density
of the upper atmosphere caused by dust storms and
solar activity make each TGO close approach unpredictable.
Solar cycle length is a useful indicator of long term changes in solar acti
Solar cycle length is a useful indicator
of long term
changes in
solar acti
solar activity.
«If we figure out how much atmosphere is removed by
changes in
solar activity, we can extrapolate back to estimate what the isotope ratios should have been billions
of years ago.
These investigations will reveal whether such
changes are consequences
of seasons, local weather, or
solar activity.
The number
of sunspots varies as
solar magnetic
activity does — the
change in this number, from a minimum
of none to a maximum
of roughly 250 sunspots or clusters
of sunspots and then back to a minimum, is known as the
solar cycle, and averages about 11 years long.
Investigating the cause
of 20th Century warming is properly done in detection and attribution studies, which analyze the various forcings (e.g.,
solar variations, greenhouse gases or volcanic
activity) and the observed time and space patterns
of climate
change in detail.
If I'm correct in saying that the bulk
of that increase was up to the late 90s, and * should * have been by the mid-90s or even earlier, then this leaves a tiny bit more room for
changes in
solar forcing — since it's only after the
solar max
of the early 90s that the trend in
solar activity from 1940 took a dive http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Image:Temp-sunspot-co2.svg#file.
There are a large number
of recent peer - reviewed scientific publications demonstrating how
solar activity can affect our climate (Benestad, 2002), such as how
changes in the UV radiation following the
solar activity affect the stratospheric ozone concentrations (1999) and how earth's temperatures respond to
changes in the total
solar irradiance (Meehl, 2003).
Although the direct heat increase is not enough to cause much climate
change, the indirect influence
of solar activity on cloud cover, wind and rain patterns may be large enough to have an important impact.
Dr. Sami Solanki — director and scientific member at the Max Planck Institute for
Solar System Research in Germany, who argues that
changes in the Sun's state, not human
activity, may be the principal cause
of global warming: «The sun has been at its strongest over the past 60 years and may now be affecting global temperatures.»
Thanks for publishing this, there are folks who denigrated the work
of scientists that claimed a
solar - climate (temperature) link because the variability in
solar energy output just wasn't enough to explain the temperature swings, and perhaps they now realize that there could be another mechanism - similar to a transistor where small
changes in gate voltage can affect large
changes in power transmission - whereby
solar activity can create significant effects on temperature.
Thus it appears that, provided further satellite cloud data confirms the cosmic ray flux low cloud seeding hypothesis, and no other factors were involved over the past 150 years (e.g., variability
of other cloud layers) then there is a potential for
solar activity induced
changes in cloudiness and irradiance to account for a significant part
of the global warming experienced during the 20th century, with the possible exception
of the last two decades.
Heliophysics encompasses cosmic rays and particle acceleration, space weather and radiation, dust and magnetic reconnection,
solar activity and stellar cycles, aeronomy and space plasmas, magnetic fields and global
change, and the interactions
of the
solar system with our galaxy.»
You must not do any real studying if you've never heard about the evolution
of the Earth's atmosphere through biosphere
changes and oxygenation, plate tectonics / silicate weathering, milankovitch cycles,
solar activity and volcanic eruptions, among other things.
I particularly enjoyed the slides that, when combined (1) provided an overview
of hotter and cooler CO2 molecules as it relates to how they are seen from outer space and from profile — because this will make it easier for me to explain this process to others; (2) walked through the volcanic and
solar activity vs assigning importance to CO2
changes — because this another way to help make it clearer, too, but in another way; (3) discussed CO2 induced warming and ocean rise vs different choices we might make — because this helps point out why every day's delay matters; and (4) showed Figure 1 from William Nordhaus» «Strategies for Control
of Carbon Dioxide» and then super-imposed upon that the global mean temperature in colors showing pre-paper and post-paper periods — because this helps to show just how far back it was possible to make reasoned projections without the aid
of a more nuanced and modern understanding.
The paper he wrote together with Friis - Christensen in which he found a correlation between
solar activity and clouds had a «slight» flaw: it ignored that the period
of the study coincided with a big El Nino, and that large scale
changes in ocean surface temperature are going to have an effect on cloud formation.
Investigating the cause
of 20th Century warming is done in so - called detection and attribution studies, which analyze the various forcings (e.g.,
solar variations, greenhouse gases or volcanic
activity) and the observed time and space patterns
of climate
change in detail.
The real driver to climate
change (warming or cooling) is the sun and the cyclic nature
of the suns
solar activity.
One key metric in this debate is the spatial pattern
of cooling which may provide a «fingerprint»
of the underlying climate
change, whether that was externally forced (from
solar or volcanic
activity) or was part
of an intrinsic mode
of variability.
If there was more natural variation in the past millenia, specifically due to
solar changes, then that goes at the cost of the GHG / aerosol combination, as both are near impossible to distinguish from each other in the warming of the last halve century... Solar activity has never been as high, and for an as long period, as current in the past millenium (and even the past 8,000 ye
solar changes, then that goes at the cost
of the GHG / aerosol combination, as both are near impossible to distinguish from each other in the warming
of the last halve century...
Solar activity has never been as high, and for an as long period, as current in the past millenium (and even the past 8,000 ye
Solar activity has never been as high, and for an as long period, as current in the past millenium (and even the past 8,000 years).