I guess the lesson for me is that if I'm buying a spread
of cigar butt companies — a la Walter Schloss or Ben Graham — I'm not willing to pay a higher average earnings multiple for a basket of high ROIC companies.
I do know that when Buffett worked for Graham - Newman, that many
of the cigar butt ideas he pitched to Graham were passed over.
«The supply
of cigar butts was running out.
Not exact matches
So I went around looking for what I call used
cigar butts of stocks.
Quite simply, paying fair prices for quality companies, instead
of focusing on «
cigar butt» type businesses helped the two build Berkshire Hathaway instead to the low maintenance, decentralized, cash generating machine it is today.
Thus it is no longer a «
cigar butt», but instead is a well - capitalized bank in the fastest growing area
of the nation.
I'm not going to waste too much
of your time on this strategy because Warren Buffet, the living Intelligent Investor, has tried and failed repeatedly to profit from bargain issues and since 1989 has publicly denounced what he nicknamed the «
cigar -
butt» strategy.
Munger knew that value investing had to evolve since the «
cigar butt» types
of businesses that Graham liked to buy started to disappear as years passed since the Great Depression.
The clown insists on putting side by side many
of those things that we spend considerable time in keeping in separate drawers
of the mind — altruism and selfishness, reason and impulse, religion and sex, Rolls Royces and
cigar butts.
Other than the plethora
of cigarette /
cigar butts and pistachio shells in the sand, it was very clean.
Norman Rothery has an article in the Globe and Mail's Strategy Lab The revenge
of the market's castoffs:
Cigar -
butt stocks get last laugh about Deep Value: Carl Icahn is trying to squee...
For those
of us with much smaller sums
of capital, «
cigar butts» might be the way to go (with the occasional compounder when they are available at good prices).
His
cigar -
butt strategy involves the purchase
of net - net stocks - businesses selling below their liquidation value as found using the following equation:
I agree that buying unloved businesses at beaten down prices is a form
of value investing; it's typically referred to as «
cigar butt investing» and was practiced by Buffett in his partnership days.
This is despite the fact that, as early as 1965 and while working under Graham, Buffett was becoming aware that the latter's strategy
of buying cheap stocks (what Graham called «
cigar -
butts», or companies selling for less than their net working capital) was not ideal, for it did not consider the quality
of businesses, and just a stock's cheapness.
Buying those cheap,
cigar -
butt stocks was a snare and a delusion, and it would never work with the kinds
of sums
of money we have.
By the time he linked up with Ben Graham, there were still a lot
of «
cigar butts» to pick up and puff.
The approach is called
cigar butt investing because it's likened to the idea
of picking up a
cigar butt that's been discarded on the street but still has one good puff left in it.
Quite simply, paying fair prices for quality companies, instead
of focusing on «
cigar butt» type businesses helped the two build Berkshire Hathaway instead to the low maintenance, decentralized, cash generating machine it is today.
Graham likes to use the metaphor
of finding a discarded
cigar butt on the ground and picking it up for one last triumphant puff.
The gist
of the post seems to be that Buffett, early in his investing career, didn't just buy
cigar butts as everyone seems to think, rather his largest investments tended to be quality companies acquired at reasonable prices.
I've since shifted away from concentration and back to a well - diversified,
cigar butt portfolio, a la Ben Graham and Walter Schloss, largely because
of the emotional challenges
of Buffett's concentrated approach.
I originally planned to equal weight a portfolio
of 20 to 30
cigar butt positions.
For the remaining time from 2005 to 2016 I managed a portfolio
of 12 to 30 «
cigar butt» stocks.
Many
of his investments were what he would today call «
cigar butts» where he would have one good puff out
of the company and then had to move on to the next.
As a value investor, one
of the decisions is where to invest the time:
cigar -
butts vs quality businesses vs special sitations, etc etc..
One mistake was that, by focusing on
cigar butts selling for low single - digit multiple
of earnings or a low price in relation to liquidation value, I missed out buying into higher - quality businesses like Asian Paints and Pidilite, which compounded capital at high rates
of return for a long time.
What Leon Cooperman is referring to here is that Warren Buffett, with the help
of Charlie Munger, was able to evolve his value investing style when Ben Graham style
cigar butts companies trading at less than liquidation value disappeared after the Great Depression.
I think he was interested in the compounders at an early age... and although he bought net - nets and
cigar butts like Cleveland Worsted Mills, most
of the money he made — even early on — was due to a few big winners that were for the most part — great businesses.
Berkshire was a Ben Graham
cigar butt — it was trading at around $ 7 and had net working capital
of $ 10, and book value
of $ 20.
On the other hand, if the comparison is between Graham & Fisher, I would think, as coc has mentioned, good
cigar butts are hard to find (most
of them have reasons to be undervalued).
For example, the risk - adjusted returns on the higher - priced, but very high quality firms (i.e., Buffett firms) are much worse on a risk - adjusted basis than the returns on a basket
of the cheapest firms that are
of extreme low quality (i.e., Graham
cigar butts).
After collecting the data on recent net - net «
cigar -
butts», I quickly realized something: about half
of my list consisted
of Chinese reverse - merger companies!
Other Graham - style value investors wish Munger and Buffett the best
of luck with looking at quality as a factor in their decision - making and are comfortable with their own «
cigar butt» approach.
Remove the veil
of emotions and I do not think it is doomsday - if this was a «
cigar butt», this is only half way down - enough for a dozen more puffs, not just 1 - 2 IMHO.
If someone who starts as an investor reads the book, he or she will appreciate that there are many ways to do it, many ways to cook, and he or she will probably be able to, based on his or her temperament, identify and find some affinity with one
of those investment styles, whether it's George Soros or Paul Tudor Jones or Ben Graham with the
cigar butts, or Philip Fisher.
Other value investors are numbers - driven
cigar -
butt investors who do not consider the quality
of the business.
We have gotten together for the last three weeks to discuss the practice
of investing, primarily in the Buffett / Munger framework with an emphasis on Moats more so than the Graham / Dodd
cigar butts.
There are, in general, two flavors
of value investing: buy
cigar butts on the cheap (wretched companies whose stocks more than discount their misery) or buy great companies at good prices.
Smoking is allowed in the privacy
of your suite, but please be mindful that the train is generally made up
of wood; please don't throw flammable items such as cigarette or
cigar butts off the train as bush fires in Africa are a constant and dangerous hazard.