Also noteworthy is the value
of contrarian betting during the NBA Finals.
Please log - in to Sports Insights to see if a play is triggered by one
of our contrarian betting systems on this game.
The table below displays the value
of contrarian betting at three key data points.
-- Earlier this week we detailed the early success
of contrarian betting during the 2014 season by examining underdogs receiving less than 30 % of moneyline bets.
We also pioneered the concepts
of contrarian betting, reverse line moves, and betting signals.
The table below, using line data from Pinnacle, shows performance
of contrarian betting on NFL playoff games since 2003.
Based on our analysis
of contrarian betting during the NHL postseason, it would appear that the Columbus Blue Jackets (+160 at Pittsburgh) and Dallas Stars (+150 at Anaheim) are offering value to bettors.
We should start by pointing out that the public loves to bet favorites and overs, so most
of our contrarian betting systems will focus on underdogs and unders.
Discover how sharp bettors can take advantage
of contrarian betting and reverse line movement in College Football: http://t.co/OZ91Nw2MGq
It's one of the simplest methods
of contrarian betting, and we've proved it to be an effective strategy across the six major sports leagues.
A hypothetical matchup between Florida State and Ohio State will receive substantially more bets than a conference game between two mid-majors, which amplifies the impact
of contrarian betting.
Betting on lines that have been artificially inflated based on popular sentiment is one of the hallmarks
of a contrarian betting strategy.
Discover how sharp bettors can take advantage
of contrarian betting and reverse line movement in College Football: http://t.co/5NDZfEsHfV — SportsInsights.com (@SportsInsights) August 8, 2014
The Cowboys (+3.5) fit our 80/20 betting rule, which is a hallmark
of contrarian betting.
As you can see from the table below, the return on investment (ROI)
of our contrarian betting strategy continues to improve as we look at increasingly lop - sided bet games.
We still haven't seen sharp money take a side, but this free line value is a hallmark
of the contrarian betting strategy.
Even at the optimal level
of contrarian betting, this strategy doesn't cover the spread at a high enough rate to overcome the standard juice charged by sportsbooks.
Not exact matches
And so because you don't have that kind
of conviction, you haven't done the hard work or taken your
contrarian bet, then Lean is taking you away from that core entrepreneurial virtue.
It's a bit riskier than the 60/40 or
Contrarian, because
of the higher concentration
of foreign equities, but its wide diversification across geographies and product groups makes it a still - safe
bet.
In fact, our
contrarian strategy isn't limited solely to
betting against the public; it also includes fading the opinions
of hype machines like the mothership.
In one
of this weekend's most heavily
bet games, I love the value on the Fighting Illini as a large
contrarian home «dog.
These games attract a lot
of public
betting interest and hopefully some good
contrarian value.
In addition to our Best
Bets, Pro subscribers will receive access to all three
of our
Bet Signals —
Contrarian Plays, Steam Moves and Reverse Line Movement alerts.
Additionally, our friends at
Bet Labs published their first ever College Football
Contrarian System prior to the start
of the season.
This year's NHL
Betting Against the Public article details the profitable points for contrarian betting between 2005 and 2011, and teams receiving less than 40 % of moneyline bets had won 75.8 units, or a 1.6 % return on inve
Betting Against the Public article details the profitable points for
contrarian betting between 2005 and 2011, and teams receiving less than 40 % of moneyline bets had won 75.8 units, or a 1.6 % return on inve
betting between 2005 and 2011, and teams receiving less than 40 %
of moneyline
bets had won 75.8 units, or a 1.6 % return on investment.
SportsInsights takes an academic and
contrarian view of the sports marketplace, as detailed in this article recently published in the Wall Street Journal, entitled, «A Contrarian's Guide to Footbal
contrarian view
of the sports marketplace, as detailed in this article recently published in the Wall Street Journal, entitled, «A
Contrarian's Guide to Footbal
Contrarian's Guide to Football
Betting.
Before every season, the team at Sports Insights publishes a series
of Betting Against the Public articles which highlights the sweet spots for contrarian b
Betting Against the Public articles which highlights the sweet spots for
contrarian bettingbetting.
Purchase a Sportsbook Insider PRO membership and get NBA steam moves along with best
bet picks,
contrarian plays, dollar percentages, and reverse line moves, along with a fully customizable live odds page, line watcher, line predictor, the number
of bets on every game, and more.
Although we constantly preach the value
of betting against the public,
contrarian bettors may want to think twice before going against the sharp action tonight.
NFL
Contrarian plays are the most lopsided -
bet games
of the day.
In Week 5, the importance
of focusing on heavily
bet games when implementing a
contrarian strategy was quite evident.
In addition to receiving our winning picks, you'll also have access to real - time odds from over 40 sportsbooks, public
betting trends, our newly added money percentages, our exclusive Line Watcher and access to all
of our
bet signals including steam moves, reverse line movement alerts and
contrarian plays.
Purchase a Sportsbook Insider PRO membership and get NHL picks,
contrarian plays, dollar percentages and
bet signals, along with a fully customizable live odds page, line watcher, line predictor, the number
of bets on every game, and more.
Before the start
of every season we publish a series
of Betting Against the Public articles which utilizes our public betting trends to highlight the sweet spots for contrarian b
Betting Against the Public articles which utilizes our public
betting trends to highlight the sweet spots for contrarian b
betting trends to highlight the sweet spots for
contrarian bettingbetting.
However,
betting against the public is only one part
of a
contrarian approach.
NHL
Contrarian plays are the most lopsided -
bet games
of the day.
SportsInsights»
contrarian method
of Betting Against the Public methods in the NFL, including Square Plays, Best
Bets, and MarketWatch had a solid season, with Square Plays and NFL MarketWatch producing a combined winning percentage
of just under 55 %.
ESPN's Chad Millman, one
of SportsInsights» contacts, talked about
contrarian value and sports
betting.
SportsInsights.com is a leader in the sports information industry and has pioneered the usage
of sports investing analytics and
contrarian value in developing winning sports
betting strategies and
betting trends.
Our Sportsbook Insider Pro customers have access to vast quantities
of information including our steam moves, reverse line movement,
contrarian plays and best
bets.
Both are
contrarian favorites with Tottenham getting just 48 %
of bets and Leicester City getting 49 %.
This
contrarian philosophy has been a key component
of our Best
Bets strategy.
Below, we show that a simple method
of using «Number
of Bets» can help to «key in on Public games» and improve
contrarian results.
Our research revealed that the most profitable spot for
contrarian betting was when teams are receiving less than 35 %
of spread
bets at our seven contributing sportsbooks.
It was also an awful week for
contrarian betting with teams receiving less than 60 %
of spread
bets going 4 - 10 ATS.
Betting Against the Public (contrarian betting) is one of the most popular and simplest winning betting stra
Betting Against the Public (
contrarian betting) is one of the most popular and simplest winning betting stra
betting) is one
of the most popular and simplest winning
betting stra
betting strategies.
The Los Angeles Kings (+120) are currently receiving just 29 %
of moneyline
bets in tonight's against the Chicago Blackhawks and may be offering
contrarian value to NHL bettors.
Before the start
of every season, we publish a series
of Betting Against the Public articles which utilize our public betting trends to highlight the sweet spots for contrarian b
Betting Against the Public articles which utilize our public
betting trends to highlight the sweet spots for contrarian b
betting trends to highlight the sweet spots for
contrarian bettingbetting.
In fact when we add our
contrarian filter to the mix and look at home teams receiving less than 40 %
of public
bets, this system becomes even more advantageous with a 96 - 68 record — good for 23.28 units earned and a 14.2 % return on investment (ROI).
That includes the breakdown
of our public
betting trends at all seven contributing sportsbooks, improved line graphs for all
of our available sportsbooks, full injury reports, enhanced weather reports, detailed referee / umpire data,
bet signals (including steam moves, reverse line movement,
contrarian plays and best
bets), and current lineups.