This survey also found that the media exposure
of contrarian positions is higher in the media, contributing to the consensus gap.
Some Democrats and environmentalists distrust the Oakland, Calif. - based institute because
of its contrarian positions.
Fran Barlow: «It's hard to escape the conclusion that much
of the contrarian position simply reflects the desire to fight what they see as a culture war against anything that smacks of human (as opposed to «market») control over policy.»
Quotes me:» It's hard to escape the conclusion that much
of the contrarian position simply reflects the desire to fight what they see as a culture war against anything that smacks of human (as opposed to «market») control over policy.»
«It's hard to escape the conclusion that much
of the contrarian position simply reflects the desire to fight what they see as a culture war against anything that smacks of human (as opposed to «market») control over policy.»
Not exact matches
That is just not the function
of a dealer: Dealers are the buyers and sellers
of first resort, not
of last resort, and their function is not to take huge
contrarian risks on long - term fundamental
positions.
A
contrarian strategy means the fund's managers view periods
of market volatility as an opportunity to build
positions that they think have good long - term value potential.
This negative
positioning is supportive
of a dollar bounce, says Jon, not a continuance
of the downtrend, from a
contrarian point
of view.
While the Wall Street Journal and most market analysts are forecasting a 2007 continuation
of the 2006 record bull market, I am taking a
contrarian position, predicting 2007 will usher in a strong bear market that will soon begin reflecting the realities
of the economic recession we entered roughly 11 months ago, in February 2006.
Those on both sides
of the debate now claim to be taking
contrarian positions.
The Spurs were in the
position of contrarian favorites again, and despite losing Tony Parker, this time they crushed Houston 121 - 96.
Rather, the
contrarian position was to ask what side had overcommitted relative to their ability to carry the
positions, and the ability
of others to get financing to buy them out.
Those naysayers were an inadequate reason to take a
contrarian position; many
of them didn't have a dog in the fight, aside from intellectual bragging rights.
I like equal weighting because it forces you to be
contrarian and buy more
of a declining
position when the value metrics are still attractive.
The lesson that these observations holds for investors is to know yourself and your tolerance for risk or you are likely to be the «other side
of the trade,» sacrificing return because it was too painful to hold a
contrarian position through a market cycle.
Holding any
contrarian position, whether it is part
of a dedicated value strategy or a component in a contra - traded rebalancing strategy, such as RAFI, is very difficult for many investors.
This amounts to a success
of the economic interests behind the
contrarian position, as the public is left with a far more equivocal view
of the situation than the science actually indicates.
As Lars comments, «One thing that it demonstrates quite clearly is how difficult it has become to effectively parody the stance
of contrarians like Crichton, as their
position is itself an incisive parody
of real science».
Why is this such a ridiculous
position in the mind
of skeptics,
contrarians, the media, and our government?
In any case, as one
of those rare
contrarian climate scientists, Spencer is in a good
position to present the best arguments against the global warming consensus.
So, since it is so important for the diversity
of scientific thought (as well as the cold hard scrutiny
of all ostensibly scientific thought — but despite the clamor for diversity and challenge, this leading site, for laying out the myriad errors
of climate change skepticism arguments, is nevertheless, among many other similar ones, decried, denigrated, and dismissed as unworthy and worse)-- what, exactly, is the «
contrarian»
position?
Thus the climate
contrarian position receives nearly as much media coverage as the mainstream
position, even though the
contrarians comprise less than 3 %
of climate experts.
This over-representation
of the climate
contrarian position in the mainstream media for the sake
of false balance is undoubtedly the main reason why such a large percentage
of the populace is unaware
of the climate consensus.
Intentionally or not, readers were misled, and the good name
of the New Statesman has been used all over the internet by climate
contrarians seeking to support their entrenched
positions.
There is a silver lining in this cloud
of obfuscation - climate
contrarians appear to be retreating more and more away from the «it's not happening» and «it's not us» myths, toward the «it's not bad» fallback
position.
For the case
of climate change, Thagard and Findlay (2011) showed that the
contrarian position, exemplified by the opinion that global warming is a natural fluctuation, is incoherent in comparison to the mainstream scientific
position.
Hence, since Dr Curry also mentioned in yet another recent piece that it was good that the «
contrarian»
position was getting some mileage, the question, on the topic
of understanding «both cases,» what exactly that
contrarian position was
That the award is intended to show group solidarity with his
position as the Serengeti target
of the
contrarians as much as acknowledgement for the quality
of his early work on climate reconstructions that have been largely confirmed by subsequent research.
Yes, there are still a handful
of scientists who like to take slightly
contrarian positions, which allows them to be quoted in media stories.
Any scientific study's result, or statement by a researcher, that does not fit a
contrarian's personal, flexible definition
of CAGW can therefore be adopted as ostensibly supporting their view and refuting the mainstream, even when such results are actually consistent with the mainstream
position on climate -LSB-...].
For those who are determined to maintain a
contrarian position on AGW, there are other much better grounds on which to base that
position (maybe climate sensitivity is low, or maybe the impacts
of GW will be on balance positive, or maybe the impacts will be negative but the costs
of mitigation would be higher than the benefits).
Eventually, the climate realists raised upward
of $ 10,000 in «realist» bets, and
contrarians raised something around half
of that for the «
contrarian»
position.
In this post we will examine the claims made by Giaever in his talk, and show that his
contrarian climate opinions come from a
position of extreme ignorance on the subject, as Giaever admits.
In any case, it is simply an effort to reconcile the rapid rates
of warming in the Arctic with the output
of the most recent group
of global climate models — everyone agrees that global warming is real, except for a very large number
of editors and reporters with the U.S. press, who continue to advocate for the
positions held by a small number
of fossil fuel funded
contrarians and insist on giving them «equal time» — a luxury denied to renewable energy experts.
There have been a number
of contrarians claiming that they are part
of the 97 % consensus, which they believe is limited to the
position that humans are causing some global warming.
But to get back to it, «climate
contrarians» acknowledge the net beneficial value
of CO2, and thus, are not conflicted If climate scientists were to also acknowledge this, they would do themselves a world
of good in terms
of credibility and be better
positioned to counter accusations
of hypocrisy.
SPENCER: Roy Spencer, a
contrarian with a university
position and a NASA medal, but also with a track record
of bad mistakes, co-published a defective paper in a non-climate journal (HERE) in July 2011, claiming that some predictions
of climate models are wrong.
And certainly
contrarian positions are useful in leadership team discussions, especially when it seems only one side
of the argument has been heard.