Sentences with phrase «of decadal climate»

Mechanisms, Predictability, Prediction, and Regional and Societal Impact of Decadal Climate Variability
During the workshop, ocean and climate scientists reviewed the state of the science of decadal climate variability and its relationship to rates of human - caused global warming, and they explored opportunities for improvement in modeling and observations and assessing knowledge gaps.
Evidence of decadal climate prediction skill resulting from changes in anthropogenic forcing
One of the objectives was to provide evidence of the decadal climate variability and predictability in the Nordic Region with the aim to assess the impact on forest growth, and energy production and demand.
The coordination of the scientific and practical aspects of decadal climate prediction research within WCRP is undertaken by the DCPP Panel under the guidance of the Working Group on Subseasonal to Interdecadal Prediction (WGSIP).
This work is supported through NSF Award No. 1049219, Investigation of Decadal Climate Predictability and Hydroclimate impacts (IDCPI) on the Western US.
There is currently less skill in predicting precipitation and other variables compared to temperature although progress is expected to be made as a consequence of the Decadal Climate Prediction Project (DCPP) and other projects and investigations.
Component C, Predictability, mechanisms, and case studies: the organization and coordination of decadal climate predictability studies and of case studies of particular climate shifts and variations, including the study of the mechanisms that determine these behaviours
An improved dynamical understanding of how the tropical Pacific Ocean transitions into hiatus events, including its seasonal structure, may help to improve future prediction of decadal climate variations.
Towards Prediction of Decadal Climate Variability and Change James Murphy, Vladimir Kattsov, Noel Keenlyside, Masahide Kimoto, Gerald Meehl, Vikram Mehta, Holger Pohlmann, Adam Scaife, Doug Smith
«NASA's examination of ocean observations has provided its own unique contribution to our knowledge of decadal climate trends and global warming,» said Veronica Nieves, a researcher at JPL and the University of California, Los Angeles and co-author of the new study.
The recognition of decadal climate shifts are an example of better science — the new paradigm of dynamical complexity in climate.
Cloud changes are the biggest source of decadal climate change in the record.
Back around 2007/8, two high - profile papers claimed to produce, for the first time, skilful predictions of decadal climate change, based on new techniques of ocean state initialization in climate models.

Not exact matches

A new report by the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine finds that continuity of ocean observations is vital to gain an accurate understanding of the climate, and calls for a decadal, national plan that is adequately resourced and implemented to ensure critical ocean information is available to understand and predict future changes.
The value of this information is illustrated by the results of a study published May 19 in the journal Geophysical Research Letters by Oster's group, working with colleagues from the Berkeley Geochronology Center, the Smithsonian Institution National Museum of Natural History and the University of Cambridge titled «Northeast Indian stalagmite records Pacific decadal climate change: Implications for moisture transport and drought in India.»
This variability includes the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), a long - lived El Niño - like pattern of Pacific climate variability that works like a switch every 30 years or so between two different circulation patterns in the North Pacific Ocean.
The middle globe shows a drop in levels west of Mexico, due to a cyclical climate variation called the Pacific Decadal Oscillation.
Goddard thinks it may be an early indication of a big shift in the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), a kind of long - term El Niño - like pattern of climate variability.
The working group on coupled biogeochemical cycling and controlling factors dealt with questions regarding the role of plankton diversity, how ocean biogeochemistry will respond to global changes on decadal to centennial time scales, the key biogeochemical links between the ocean, atmosphere, and climate, and the role of estuaries, shelves, and marginal seas in the capturing, transformation, and exchange of terrestrial and open - marine material.
Under the Decadal and Regional Climate Prediction Using Earth System Models (EaSM) program, the National Science Foundation and the U.S. Departments of Agriculture and Energy will kick in a total of $ 50 million a year for 5 years.
The study stops short of attributing California's latest drought to changes in Arctic sea ice, partly because there are other phenomena that play a role, like warm sea surface temperatures and changes to the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, an atmospheric climate pattern that typically shifts every 20 to 30 years.
Combining the STORM model with analysis of the rainfall data set allowed the investigators to gain insights into decadal trends in monsoonal rainfall intensity under climate change.
For climate scientists, a major question is whether the coming event will be big enough to flip the world into the warm phase of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), a 20 - to 30 - year climate cycle that is related to El Niño or La Niña conditions.
He thinks their movement may be an early indication of a big shift in the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), a long - term pattern of climate variability.
Nearly 20 years ago, researcher Nate Mantua (now at NOAA) and co-authors published a paper that revealed a close link between the survival of Pacific salmon and an inter-decadal climate phenomenon they dubbed the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO).
Among the scientific advances that will be required is better integration of weather and climate models to improve decadal climate information to help people plan,» Moss said.
Nieves said an example is the U.S. West Coast, where the phase of a multi-decadal ocean climate pattern called the Pacific Decadal Oscillation has helped keep sea level rise lower during the past two decades.
On decadal time scales, annual streamflow variation and precipitation are driven by large - scale patterns of climate variability, such as the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (see teleconnections description in Climate chapter)(Pederson et al. 2011a; Seager and Hoerlingdecadal time scales, annual streamflow variation and precipitation are driven by large - scale patterns of climate variability, such as the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (see teleconnections description in Climate chapter)(Pederson et al. 2011a; Seager and Hoerlingclimate variability, such as the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (see teleconnections description in Climate chapter)(Pederson et al. 2011a; Seager and HoerlingDecadal Oscillation (see teleconnections description in Climate chapter)(Pederson et al. 2011a; Seager and HoerlingClimate chapter)(Pederson et al. 2011a; Seager and Hoerling 2014).
New research published this week in the Journal of Climate reveals that one key measurement — large - scale upper - ocean temperature changes caused by natural cycles of the ocean — is a good indicator of regional coastal sea level changes on these decadal timescales.
Long - term (decadal and multi-decadal) variation in total annual streamflow is largely influenced by quasi-cyclic changes in sea - surface temperatures and resulting climate conditions; the influence of climate warming on these patterns is uncertain.
On shorter time scales, and layered on top of Pacific Decadal Oscillation variation, the Pacific North American pattern and the El Niño - Southern Oscillation cycles (see Climate chapter) can also affect variation in snowpack.
-- The Pacific Decadal Oscillation is a pattern of ocean - atmospheric climate variability across the mid-latitude Pacific Ocean.
Shuman, C.A. and C.R. Stearns, Decadal - length composite inland West Antarctic temperature records, Journal of Climate.
We describe two of the most important teleconnections for Montana below, the El Niño - Southern Oscillation and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation.8 It is important to bear in mind that teleconnections are happening continually, and superimposed on each other as well as upon other long - term climate patterns.
The Pacific Decadal Oscillation is a pattern of ocean - atmospheric climate variability across the mid-latitude Pacific Ocean.
Decadal variability is a notable feature of the Atlantic Ocean and the climate of the regions it influences.
In this study, we undertake another effort towards understanding the role of the Sun in changing or varying the Earth's climate on seasonal to decadal time scale.
Annual and decadal climate forcing of historical fire regimes in the interior Pacific Northwest, USA.
It is important to note that any potential effects will be spatially and temporally variable, depending on current forest conditions, local site characteristics, environmental influences, and annual and decadal patterns of climate variability, such as the El Niño - Southern Oscillation cycle, which can drive regional weather and climate conditions.
And he said it can be difficult to factor the effects of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) into any climate studies, given that «high quality data» exists for fewer than two of its complete oscillations.
The rate of release from the tundra alone is predicted to reach 1.5 billion tons of carbon per annum before 2030, contributing to accelerated climate change, perhaps resulting in sustained decadal doubling of ice loss causing collapse of the Greenland Ice Sheet (Hansen et al, 2011).
Allan, R.P., and A. Slingo, 2002: Can current climate forcings explain the spatial and temporal signatures of decadal OLR variations?
Nate, a member of the FI Board of Directors, is the leader for the Landscape Ecology Team at NOAA's Southwest Fisheries Science Center, and has expertise about decadal - scale climate variability and ecosystem regime shifts.
Over the last 30 years of direct satellite observation of the Earth's climate, many natural influences including orbital variations, solar and volcanic activity, and oceanic conditions like El Nino (ENSO) and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) have either had no effect or promoted cooling conditions.
That's largely because of the effects of a slow - moving ocean cycle, the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, which influences the global climate.
Though the ecological effects of these climate oscillations have been described in various settings, the influence of decadal indices to long - term marine turtle population trends is largely unexplored.
Using the adjoint of an ocean general circulation model, I try to understand the local and remote processes that generate temperature anomalies in the Nordic Seas on different timescales and their potential contribution to decadal climate predictability.
His research concerns understanding global climate and its variations using observations and covers the quasi biennial oscillation, Pacific decadal oscillation and the annular modes of the Arctic oscillation and the Antarctic oscillation, and the dominant spatial patterns in month - to - month and year - to - year climate variability, including the one through which El Niño phenomenon in the tropical Pacific influences climate over North America.
It is the top priority of my research group to try to solve this problem to improve our climate predictions and, depending on the answer, it could affect predictions on all timescales from medium range forecasts, through monthly, seasonal, decadal and even climate change projections.
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