I like to think
of dojis like this: the longer the wick, the stronger the possibility of a swing.
So you've heard
of the doji, but what about the dragonfly and gravestone dojis?
If the doji fails (a new high is make above the high
of the doji), then this would negate the reversal and suggest a potential continuation.
Not exact matches
However, when considered towards the backdrop
of the bullish
doji reversal (
of the earlier week), it seems the bulls have suffered a defeat.
However, it's simpler mentioned than finished because the weekly chart exhibits indecision within the market, regardless
of the bullish
doji reversal.
The week played out with Gold dropping Monday and consolidating all week until another hit Friday while Crude Oil printed a series
of long legged
doji in consolidation.
Going back to the failed gravestone
doji setup, you can see that it does meet the minimum requirements
of a traditional gravestone
doji.
Near the center
of the image, you will see a long - tailed
doji (or long - tailed spinning top).
Instead
of jumping into the market right away, when the gravestone
doji first appeared, you would wait for a bearish confirming candle.
The long - tailed
doji is, however, a bullish signal for a couple
of reasons: 1, the long lower wick is bullish; and 2, the size
of this candle is very large relative to any other candlestick in the image.
The same goes for the dragonfly
doji that appeared later in the trend, but just look at that beautiful bearish engulfing pattern at the very top
of the uptrend.
Lastly, on the right side
of the image above, you can see a dragonfly
doji that appears after a small downtrend in price.
Unlike many
of the other candlestick signals that we have learned about, the dragonfly and gravestone
dojis can have varying degrees
of significance, depending on where they appear in the overall price action
of the market.
The
dojis highlight areas
of possible reversal or continuation where we can find trading opportunities.
This pattern consists
of a relatively large bearish candle, followed by a small real - bodied second candle that is either slightly bearish or a
doji (since there are rarely gaps in Forex), and then a third candle who's real body pulls into and closes past, at least, the halfway point
of the first candle's real body (see the image above).
Dojis and spinning tops can be used to prepare for a possible entry, and you can use them to note areas
of support and resistance; however, you should never make a trade decision based on a
doji formation or spinning top candlestick alone.
The
doji could be a signal that the bears are running out
of steam, but price continued to drop.
At first, price action is going your way, but then you notice a series
of indecision signals, e.g., high wave candles, spinning tops,
dojis, etc....
It ended the week with a
doji slightly to the upside, in what was really a shallow pullback
of less than 1 %.
The three consecutive
dojis after our short entry gave an early warning
of the failure
of this trade.
If you see previous candles are bullish, you can anticipate the next one near the underneath
of the body low will trigger a short / sell signal when the
doji lows break.
Monday saw a
doji candle bring it back within the Bollinger Bands ® and then it jumped to another new high Tuesday, but back out
of the Bollinger Bands.
If a
Doji forms after a series
of candlesticks with long filled bodies (like Black Marubozus), the
Doji signals that sellers are becoming exhausted and weak.
If a
Doji forms after a series
of candlesticks with long hollow bodies (like White Marubozus), the
Doji signals that the buyers are becoming exhausted and weakening.
It printed a
doji Monday at the top
of the Bollinger Bands ® suggesting it may be a top.
Traders watching for this formation could have sold USD / CHF in the candle right after the
doji formation to take advantage
of at least 80 pips worth
of profit between the pivot point and the first level
of support.
In other words, a single
doji is a just a small piece
of the puzzle in helping a trader determine a higher probability point at which to either or enter, and / or exit a position.
This is mainly due to the fact that even if a
doji does signal the beginning
of a price swing reversal, it will not give any indication as to how far the reversal my go or how long it may last.
Long - legged
doji represent a more significant amount
of indecision as neither buyers nor sellers take control.
Without having identified those two components in advance a
doji, as is the case with any other solo indicator, is nothing more than a coin - toss in terms
of determining probabilities.
But when used in conjunction with other forms
of analysis,
doji can be helpful in confirming or negating significant high / lows, which in turn helps a trader determine whether a short - term trend is likely to reverse, or continue.
In this example, we will use the same Fibonacci analysis based on the rally (swing, or trend) prior to our completed
doji to calculate potential levels
of support where the projected reversal may stop and change directions.
Kuma
Doji is one
of the Seven Demonlords, an unknown group at the moment.
Despite confirmation
of a bearish
doji reversal (Monday's
doji and a bearish follow - through on Tuesday), BCH is holding above the $ 1,000 mark.
The above chart shows a bearish
doji reversal, as represented by Monday's inverted bearish «hammer» pattern (also known as a shooting star) and Tuesday's negative follow - through (drop below $ 11,000)- all
of which suggests the tables have turned in favor
of the bears.
Bearish scenario: A break below $ 16,750 (
doji candle low) would add credence to the breach
of the ascending trend line and the
doji reversal.
EOS witnessed a bullish
doji reversal this week and clocked a weekly high
of $ 7.28, as per Bitfinex data.