Today, even if the digital currency breaks out
of the downtrend line, it is unlikely to race away towards the highs.
It is likely to break out
of the downtrend line.
We were correct in predicting a fall to $ 400 levels on Bitcoin Cash if it failed to breakout
of the downtrend line.
After breaking out
of the downtrend line, Bitcoin consolidated in a small range Sept. 26.
If the ETH / USD pair breaks out
of the downtrend line, we might see a rally towards the $ 967 levels, where both the 20 - day EMA and the 50 - day SMA converge.
Nevertheless, if price fails to breakout
of the downtrend line, it will lead to the formation of a descending triangle pattern, which is a bearish development.
Notwithstanding, if the cryptocurrency breaks out
of the downtrend line, it will indicate a change in trend.
Starting with the weekly chart, you will see that $ EWH is testing resistance
of a downtrend line that has been in place since early 2011.
Also, the price moved back above resistance
of its downtrend line that had formed off the October high.
We call this a «backside test
of the downtrend line.»
This overcut
of the downtrend line is significant because it sucks in new buyers, just as institutions are starting to sell into strength.
Notice that the formation of the shooting star candlestick also occurred as $ SPY «overcut» resistance
of its downtrend line from the September high.
On the weekly chart, notice that $ USO broke out above resistance
of its downtrend line a few weeks ago.
It will become positive in the short - term after it breaks out
of the downtrend line.
After $ GDXJ pops back above its 20 - day EMA (above the $ 27.60 area), buyers should step in due to break of key moving average resistance, as well as a break
of the downtrend line from the January high.
We prefer lower risk entry points, so we look to build a position much earlier in the base using a combination
of downtrend line breakouts, higher swing lows, and the 50ma.
Another reason we would first like to see a minor price retracement from current levels before buying is that the long - term monthly chart interval shows us that $ GLD is actually running into resistance
of its downtrend line from its September 2011 high:
Taking an updated look at the long - term monthly chart pattern of DGP, notice that it has also broken out above resistance
of its downtrend line that began with to September 2011 high.
After moving above resistance
of a downtrend line that was in place for more than a year, $ KOL developed a tight base off the lows that has been in place for the past six months.
The close at 16,497 is above the value
of the downtrend line and is the first signal that the downtrend has ended.
Note, these are not Fibonacci fan lines, they're a series
of downtrend lines with a common starting point.
Not exact matches
But the recent bounce in the dollar shows that it has broken the
downtrend line and is actually finding a key level
of technical support around the 90.00 level.
«Any type
of [continued] strength will do one thing: it will start to move us above this
downtrend line that's been in effect for three years.»
A case in point is the
line chart
of the dollar index with a
downtrend line.
The four
downtrend lines have a common starting point from the high
of October 2012.
Either way, $ RP may present an ideal buy entry on a breakout above the high
of the short - term
downtrend line (not shown) that has started forming off the August high.
After three shakeouts below the 50 - day moving average (on 3/22, 4/5, and 4/15), $ THD has reclaimed the 50 - day MA and is poised to break out above the short - term
downtrend line of the consolidation.
We set a buy stop above resistance
of the short - term
downtrend line that formed during the pullback, enabling us to buy $ MZOR at $ 45.11 on the second buy entry.
This is one
of several reasons our market timing system shifted from «buy» to «neutral» mode on December 13, after several major indices formed «shooting stars» on their weekly charts while running into the
downtrend lines from their September 2012 highs.
While this week's price action was certainly a step in the right direction (so far), both the NASDAQ and Russell 2000 are now in «no man's land» because the indexes are back above resistance
of their 20 and 50 - day averages, yet still must contend with resistance
of their prior highs and short - term
downtrend lines that have formed.
A breakout above the high
of the current range should lead to a breakout above the monthly
downtrend line:
With $ EWS, the monthly chart below shows a
downtrend line in place with multiple touches
of the anchor points.
A break above the three - day high is our buy entry, as this would put the price action above the 20 - day EMA and the short - term
downtrend line of the tight range.
The «cup» was formed after the low
of the pullback that tested the
downtrend line on the weekly chart above, and the «handle» has been forming the right side
of the chart pattern just below the prior highs from September
of 2012:
If $ SMH can set a higher swing low and close above Monday's high on a pick up in volume, then it may attract enough buying interest to break the short - term
downtrend line and test the highs
of the base:
After rallying 30 % off its 2012 low, $ RSX subsequently pulled back and successfully tested new support (prior resistance)
of its multi-year
downtrend line, and now is forming the right -LSB-...]
Now, it appears as though TMF is setting up to break out above resistance
of its 3 - month
downtrend line and resume the long - term uptrend that has been in place for nearly 2 years.
After rallying 30 % off its 2012 low, $ RSX subsequently pulled back and successfully tested new support (prior resistance)
of its multi-year
downtrend line, and now is forming the right side
of this bullish chart pattern.
Now, $ YCS is back above both its 10 and 40 - week moving averages, as it pops its head above resistance
of a 6 - month
downtrend line on increasing volume and with a bullish reversal pattern.
$ WB cleared the
downtrend line of the handle part
of a cup and handle pattern on May 5, which could have served as the first buy entry point.
A few days after highlighting the trade setup, EBAY triggered a long entry after it broke out above the
downtrend line on increasing volume, closing near the high
of the day.
Zooming into the shorter - term daily chart
of $ USO, we see that the ETF broke out above resistance
of its short - term
downtrend line (from the April 2 high) just two days ago and is holding the breakout:
Nevertheless, the stock still must contend with an abundance
of overhead resistance because it is merely bouncing off support
of its (downward sloping) 50 - day moving average and prior
downtrend line.
Other bullish signals for the cryptocurrency includes the Tenkan / Kijun
line crossover, and the Saucer Bottom pattern which appears to have reversed last month's
downtrend at the support level
of $ 6,504.
Because
of the clearly defined short - term
downtrend line off the highs
of the dominant uptrend, we notified subscribers
of The Wagner Daily that we would be entering IYR on a breakout above that
downtrend line, which occurred on March 12:
It broke out above the
downtrend line in mid-February and has since pulled back, in a relatively controlled low volatility manner, to test the
line as support during the most recent pullback, low
of $ 137.12.
Our signal to list $ PLNT as a potential setup in our stock trading newsletter came on November 7, as the price rallied above the short - term
downtrend line (upper channel
of the handle).
Conversely, even if QQQ happens to bounce today (we must always be prepared for unlikely scenarios), it should find major resistance at its intermediate - term
downtrend line (the descending blue
line near $ 64.50), as well as the July 19th high
of $ 65.31.
Regardless, when the market does see it's next reversal, ETFs that are rallying into resistance
of long term
downtrend lines and down - sloping 200 - day MAs will generally provide the best shorting opportunities.
In early February, the iShares MSCI Emerging Market Index ETF (EEM) rallied above resistance
of its long term
downtrend line and 200 - day MA.