My fear is that both sides are wrong and that what we have here is a true case
of dynamical complexity.
The broader theory
of dynamical complexity says that chaotic systems exhibit characterisitc behaviours — among these abrupt change and regime persistence.
I have said this many times in many different ways — but the understanding
of dynamical complexity remains elusive.
It is the lnguage
of dynamical complexity — which as I say is semantically equivalent to deterministic chaos.
You need an actual theory
of dynamical complexity that explains real data.
The recognition of decadal climate shifts are an example of better science — the new paradigm
of dynamical complexity in climate.
Climate as an initial value problem limited in scope and range much as a weather forecast is limited to a week or so as a result
of dynamical complexity.
You need to understand the meta - physics
of dynamical complexity to realise that — interesting as all this is — the future of climate is fundamentally non-linear.
Firstly, that in the midst
of dynamical complexity and complexity in the dictionary sense of the word it seems unlikely that increasing emissions throughout ihe century is prudent.
Not exact matches
In our discussions
of chaos or
complexity theory, we have established the underlying non-deterministic (Or stochastic) nature
of all
dynamical systems with interactive and self - organizing component parts.
«We hope to continue our analysis, which will allow us to make a three - dimensional chart
of the rich chemical and
dynamical complexity of the populations in the bulge.»
Born out
of computer - based analyses
of complex
dynamical systems,
complexity theory seeks fundamental principles that might underlie the patterns
of order that such systems display.
Much
of complexity theory is grounded in the manipulation
of various kinds
of mathematical models
of complex
dynamical systems.
, there is a lot
of interesting stuff going on in Antarctica: the
complexities of different forcings (ozone in particular), the importance
of dynamical as well as radiative processes, and the difficulties
of dealing with very inhomogeneous and insufficiently long data series.
, there is a lot
of interesting stuff going on in Antarctica: the
complexities of different forcings (ozone in particular), the importance
of dynamical as well as radiative processes, and the difficulties
of dealing with very inhomogeneous and insufficiently long data series.
Although there are extreme limitations on what is known about potential tipping points the new paradigm does provide an opportunity to reframe the climate wars — clearly that nearly everyone has been dead wrong about the essential nature
of Earth systems using simple causality rather then
dynamical complexity.
The other is the reality
of coupled, non-linear,
dynamical complexity.
Irreducible imprecision from
dynamical complexity can only be asessed by a systematically designed family
of models.
The three - body problem is
of course at the center
of Chaos theory and climate research has long acknowledged that the climate is a
dynamical system existing on the edge
of spatio - temperal chaos and that the
complexity of multiple interacting positive and negative feedbacks make it so particularly complex and nonlinear.
How exactly is the
dynamical complexity more informative than the history
of extremes, without actual parameter values and tested predictions?
It involves
dynamical complexity as the underlying mode
of climate variability — and persistent modes
of ocean and atmospheric variability including ENSO and the PDO.
The
complexity of radiative -
dynamical response forced by volcanic impacts suggests that it is important to calculate aerosol radiative effects interactively within the model rather than prescribe them (Andronova et al., 1999; Broccoli et al., 2003).
We don't need no stinkin»
dynamical complexity, high faluting butterfly talk, bifurcated phase space and a whole lot
of city slicker glop about autocorrelation and dragon - kings.
It's the entire non-linear
dynamical complexity of the entire universe.
The
complexity of radiative -
dynamical response forced volcanic impacts suggests that it is important to calculate aerosol radiative effects interactively within the model rather than prescribe them.