When the likelihood of extreme damage goes up, calls for mitigation become more persuasive and pass muster against a wider variety
of economic scenarios.
If a company can sustain consistently growing dividends over the years, then it needs a solid and resilient business producing growing cash flows through all kinds
of economic scenarios.
The actuarial model asks, «Can we assure that we will be solvent under a wide number
of economic scenarios over the long run, some of which might be quite severe?»
True, the choice
of the economic scenario used to drive the model creates an implicit potential error, but that's the reason why climate modellers develop a range of possible economic scenarios to test in the model.
Not exact matches
In the current challenging
economic environment, a company's worst - case
scenarios might include the bankruptcy
of its biggest and once - best customer, a banker's decision to close down its corporate credit line, the postponement or cancellation
of an impending initial public offering, or the meltdown
of a company's value.
And though he says the scientific benefits
of supporting space industrialization alone justify the project, Metzger lays out a
scenario where major
economic and environmental benefits could return to Earth.
He noted that the baseline
scenario for tests in 2015 — which projected an
economic contraction
of 2.3 percent for that year — was more dramatic than the 1.3 percent contraction used in the most conservative
scenario in the current tests.
Many
of them may relate to an optimistic
scenario — one in which the
economic recovery accelerates, causing the Federal Reserve to tighten monetary policy and interest rates to rise.
The
scenarios used by the Bank
of England are pretty apocalyptic, setting out major collapses in a whole heap
of asset classes and a massive worsening
of economic conditions.
The chart assumes that Marine Le Pen will reach the second round
of voting, and looks at the
economic scenarios that could play out, as well as examining the political fallout
of the election.
Yet even in the unlikely
scenario that restructuring is finally accepted by its fellow lenders, the IMF's forecasts are still an overly optimistic account
of Greece's
economic woes.
In that
scenario, I would expect no more than one Fed policy rate hike this year, as labor market strength has been the highlight
of recent
economic performance.
The amount that would be added to global GDP if there were
economic gender parity among all countries in each region
of the world (the «best in region»
scenario, totaling $ 12T) or among all countries worldwide (the «full potential»
scenario, totaling $ 28T).
This study estimates the
economic impact
of the proposed U.S. tariffs and China's proposed retaliation in three different
scenarios.
Even apart from the desirability
of allowing inflation to rise above two percent in a happy
economic scenario GDP, labor market and inflation expectations data all make a compelling case against a rate increase.
In this
scenario Canada would be required to contribute $ 41 billion
of stimulus, which is only slightly less than what the federal government did under its
Economic Action Plan.
In the current
economic scenario, small businesses constitute the backbone
of most
of the leading economies.
Not surprisingly, NERA shows far superior
economic outcomes for this
scenario, with U.S. GDP decreasing by half
of one percentage point compared to a no - policy
scenario in 2025.
Prior to finalizing their agreement with Atlas, Tombstone completed an extensive review
of previous work at the property and commissioned an
economic study
of alternative development
scenarios.
The IMF has also warned
of a possible Swedish housing bubble, saying «There is significant risk
of a decline in house prices in coming years, even in a relatively benign
economic scenario,» [4] while the OECD warned that Swedish housing prices are overvalued by about 30 percent in relation to income.
The worst case
scenario according to Credit Suisse is negative
economic growth in 2013
of -0.5 % GDP.
The wider
economic strength
of the housing
scenario in Britain had a knock on effect on all house building and related companies.
Each
of them has been written by a member
of a network
of associations or intellectuals working in this area, and each
of them emphasises one aspect
of today's
economic scenario.
It is frustrating to see William Chip's well - documented argument
of the
economic and political evils
of illegal immigration rebutted from Scaperlanda's supposedly moral standpoint, when in fact the victims in this
scenario are the laborers working without regulations for workplace safety, without employment benefits, and even without police protection (since contact with law enforcement is associated with deportation).
Whereas challenges to biblical faith, world war, the decline
of conventional morality,
economic depression, and growing expectation
of another great war undermined liberal optimism, that
scenario made the dispensationalist interpretation
of scripture, with its predictions
of a downward spiral preceding the second coming
of Christ, increasingly plausible.
In this particular instance it is not very difficult to imagine
scenarios in the not - too - distant future in which there might occur resurgences
of socialist policies and ideals: the failure
of neo-capitalist regimes in developing societies and / or the formerly Communist countries in Europe to achieve
economic take - off; the insight granted to sundry dictators and despots that, while socialism invariably immiserates the masses, it is a very good recipe for enriching those who claim to hold power as the vanguard
of the masses; the «creeping socialism» (still an aptly descriptive term) brought on by massive government intervention in the economy in the name
of some societal good, e.g., there could be an environmentalist road to socialism, or a feminist one, or one constructed (perhaps inadvertently) with some other building blocks
of politically managed regulations and entitlements; or, last but not least, the actual restoration
of socialism, by coup or by voting, in a number
of countries, beginning with Russia.
From this point
of view, classical
economic theory from Adam Smith on, and Marxist theory as well, are paradigmatically modern, and both
of the
scenarios derived from the accounts summarized above, instead
of breaking with the modern, carry it through with a more thoroughgoing consistency than ever before.
History presently offers us a
scenario of socio -
economic, cultural and spiritual crisis, which highlights the need for a discernment guided by a creative proposal
of the Church's social message.
Numerous
scenarios depicted in this publication represent the millions
of people from all social and
economic backgrounds who have adopted this new agrarian ethic on the integrity
of food.
maybe you don't understand that Wenger's words are simply an attempt to recover some
of the market value that was lost due to the way they have mishandled his contract negotiations, which means that everyone, once again, knows that we have little to no leverage when it comes to negotiating a transfer... much like we did with RVP, when we sold the EPL trophy to ManU for less than $ 25 million... any reputable team with a sporting director would never have allowed this situation to occur again and if they had heads would roll... if handled correctly the worst case
scenario would have seen us get a minimum
of $ 65 million for a player
of his ilk in the present
economic climate and we could have used those funds to purchase the best available striker in the early days
of the transfer window... just imagine what outsiders must think about the state
of our team if all you did was read the headlines... sadly, things might just might be worse than they think
Humanitarian crises often deepen the
scenario of exclusion due to, among other issues, the destruction
of physical structures, the disruption
of public services,
economic hardship and political, religious or ethnic disputes.
It predicts that under either a soft or hard Brexit
scenario, leaving the EU will have a devastating impact on the
economic performance
of our towns and cities.
However these
scenarios are at the extreme outer edges
of probability, and, in the absence
of some extraordinary event, Labour will almost certainly once again win significantly fewer seats than the Conservatives in 2020, whatever the party's
economic policies and whoever is leader.
Ben ten Brink, researcher at the Planbureau voor de Leefomgeving (PBL): «This
scenario is conceivable for regions that face a combination
of impactful developments, such as strong population growth, poverty, climate change, a weak
economic system and a feeble government.
The long - term warming over the 21st century, however, is strongly influenced by the future rate
of emissions, and the projections cover a wide variety
of scenarios, ranging from very rapid to more modest
economic growth and from more to less dependence on fossil fuels.
The IPCC AR5 Working Group 1 Report contains projections
of future global surface temperature change according to several
scenarios of future socio -
economic development, most
of which are presented using a baseline
of 1986 to 2005.
These
economic assessments are based on
scenarios where the climate expected by the end
of the century (2080s) occurs in the current population and
economic landscape.
The scientists simulated hundreds
of scenarios looking into the future and found that on average, the water basins that feed
economic growth in China and India will have less water than they do today.
Better application
of science and technology, empowerment
of local communities in decision making, integrating biodiversity conservation into other key sectors,
scenario planning that is sensitive to
economic and cultural diversity, private sector partnerships in financing biodiversity protection, as well as better cross-border regional collaboration, are some
of the many important approaches the report identifies.
Scenarios in the model reflect different
economic and policy options that would influence e.g. natural gas prices, hydropower availability or cost
of solar power.
It's a hypothetical
scenario, but tempting because Kendall's chronology meshes neatly with a poorly understood period when Egypt lost control
of Nubia's gold mines and lucrative trade routes to sub-Saharan Africa and plunged into a dark age
of economic and political turmoil that lasted 350 years.
An article published by JAMA Pediatrics estimates the number
of measles cases in U.S. children and the associated
economic costs under different
scenarios of vaccine hesitancy, which is the delay or refusal to vaccinate based on nonmedical personal beliefs.
In their documentary film adaptation
of the best seller, Levitt and Dubner apply
economic theory to human behavior in real - life
scenarios.
NASA scientists estimate that a worst - case solar storm could have an
economic impact similar to that
of a category 5 hurricane or a tsunami: One
scenario shows that the cost
of lost satellites could be as much as $ 70 billion.
In turn, the ministry, taking a holistic view
of the dismal
scenario in Pakistan, has launched a vast number
of projects that fall under other ministries but that involve the effective use
of science and technology for
economic growth.
Jerome Amir Singh, a researcher at the Centre for AIDS Programme
of Research in South Africa and at the University
of Toronto, argued in his paper that the
economic factors that created the current climate change
scenario are unlikely to lead the world to a solution on their own.
This negative biocultural
scenario, triggered by the
economic crisis in Europe has the potential to have a long - lasting detrimental effect on the general health
of the whole population and is likely to affect subsequent generations.
Thus as a practical matter, it doesn't really matter whether the inertia is climatic or societal or technological or
economic because the globe will continue to warm under all realistic
scenarios (what we do have a possible control over is the magnitude
of that warming).
SRNL has unique experience and expertise in thermochemical hydrogen production flowsheet development, modeling, and simulation using commercial off - the - shelf (COTS) software to support conceptual designs,
scenario studies, capital and operating cost estimates, comparison
of alternative designs, and techno -
economic analyses.
By comparison,
scenarios for fossil fuel emissions for the 21st century range from about 600 billion tons (if we can keep total global emissions at current levels) to over 2500 billion tons if the world increases its reliance on combustion
of coal as
economic growth and population increase dramatically.