The Republican presidential candidate would have an absolute
majority of the electoral votes, and thus win the election, but no VP candidate would have a majority.
In the recent 2012 election, if all states had switched to «proportional»
allocation of electoral votes, what effect would that have had on the outcome?
By awarding each state an number
of electoral votes equal to the number of congressional delegates, the smaller states get more sway.
This is theoretically achievable by winning with a one - vote margin the states with the highest
ratio of electoral votes per capita.
Winning a few states may deny either major - party candidate a
majority of the electoral vote and put a third party in a position to dictate the outcome of the election.
A bill passed by both the Senate and Assembly would include New York in an effort to change the allocation
of electoral votes in presidential elections.
Define a coalition as winning if the total number
of electoral votes of the state in that coalition is 270 or more (let's ignore at first that two small states make things more complicated by allowing a mixed elector group).
Gerrymandering is when a partisan committee moves around the borders of voting districts to favor their own party, squeezing the maximum
amount of electoral votes possible out of a certain area of land.
Running it on the 2010 census apportionment (used for the 2012, 2016, and 2020 presidential elections) gives the following «power» values as a
function of electoral votes:
Subsequently, votes would be distributed to candidates on a proportional basis: candidates would receive a
fraction of the electoral votes of each state, equivalent to the percentage of the popular vote they garnered during the election.
Proportional
distribution of electoral votes maintains the foundation of the Constitutional Framers» original intent, while providing a positive alternative to the current system.
So, my question reduces to: where can I find the actual cast votes per each state (since the algorithm is validated by the linked answer - winning with a one - vote margin the states with the highest ratio
of electoral votes per capita.)
This way, a candidate who come in second place in a state with 45 % of the popular vote would receive 45 %
of the electoral votes from that state, instead of 0 %.
In 2000, they became renowned for their project [V] ote - Auction — a platform for the
trading of electoral votes in the presidential race between Bush and Gore.
On a state level, each contest is a winner take all affair; with only Maine and Nebraska allowing for a split
share of electoral votes.
He also played a role in another historic legal case, as the Wall Street Journal's Law Blog notes: «On election night 2000, his famed
analysis of electoral votes on his handheld whiteboard served as a bookend to the Supreme Court's controversial decision in Bush v. Gore.»
Even if this happened in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, Trump will still have a majority
of the electoral votes at 260 - 232.
Each state has a number
of electoral votes equal to the combined total of its congressional delegation, and each state legislature is free to determine the method it will use to select its own electors.
+1 for the point about Maine and Nebraska, meaning almost any
combination of electoral votes could occur, which almost completely answers my question.
The number
of electoral votes for each state may change whenever there is a Census and reapportionment of congressional districts.
According to the national news media, the outcome of the presidential election wasn't likely to be final until all ballots in Florida were recounted, including absentee ballots, because of a close popular vote in that state and the pivotal number
of electoral votes in the balance.
Trump repeated the claim that the Russia investigation is an effort by Democrats to save face after an embarrassing loss, citing the number
of electoral votes he won.
Trump is still likely to have the majority
of electoral votes, and Hillary Clinton will not be president (neither will Jill Stein for that matter).
Obama is going to win about 65 %
of the electoral votes to romney's 35 %.
According to the 2012 report by the Census Bureau of the United States around 23.8 % of the US is Catholic and in the 2008 presidential election 20 %
of the electoral vote was comprised of Catholics.
@DavidRicherby Perhaps I'm wrong, but if 50 parties each win 1 state, then the ones with the highest number
of electoral votes will be potential options.
Those states control over 50 %
of the electoral vote.
I've read conflicting explanations of how the election would be resolved in the case that no candidate secures a majority
of electoral votes.
trump won the majority
of the electoral votes, the only kind that matters in our election, and continues to be so until it is changed.
The bill would take effect only when enacted, in identical form, by states possessing a majority
of the electoral votes — that is, enough electoral votes to elect a President (270 of 538).
That elector's abstention did not change who won that year's presidential election, as George W. Bush received a majority (271)
of the electoral votes.
It only takes effect when states with a majority
of electoral votes have joined the compact (currently, they have 165 electoral votes, need 270), so that them voting a block guarantees the outcome, regardless of how states that have not joined the compact vote.