The result is the most extreme level
of equity market valuation on record.
Not exact matches
Should listings become scarce, their
valuations would climb, lowering the cost
of capital raised on
equity markets and attracting more companies back into the public sphere.
«The level
of valuations in the
equity markets are not bubbles, but it's tough to argue any
of the components
of equity markets are undervalued globally, with the best example being the U.S.,» Davis told CNBC.
«The current
equity market valuation is certainly stretched in historical terms but it does not appear unreasonable based on the high level
of corporate profitability,» he said.
«The absence
of adequate
market access for crude oil out
of Canada has repeatedly impeded
equity valuations and is once again driving a wedge between the performance
of Canadian investments and global alternatives,» it said.
The determination
of Albertsons» majority owner, private
equity firm Cerberus Capital Management LP, to carry out the IPO despite volatility in the stock
markets underscores its confidence that it can fetch a high
valuation for Albertsons.
yields will hit the highs on close end
of the day...
equity markets setting up to be slammed tomorrow maybe but today they have run over weak shorts in the face
of rates... the federal reserve see's this and again will wonder if they are behind on hikes, strong data, major expansion in credit, lack
of wage growth rising bond yields and ballooning debt... rates will go much higher and
equities will have revelations as to what that means for
valuations
If every
valuation metric I can find didn't suggest the domestic
equity (and real estate)
market is historically expensive, I'd try to follow Buffett's advice for his wife's estate and put 90 %
of my assets in broad
market equity index funds.
Broadly, we still prefer
equities over credit due to strong earnings growth, modestly cheaper
valuations following last month's swoon and
market's pricing in expectations
of Fed rate increases.
«While the stock at its current
valuation is discounting the end
of the Yieldco business model, we believe that management has a nice cushion
of cash and several options to ride through this
market dislocation until cost
of raising
equity for Yieldcos normalizes,» RBC Capital analysts said.
Equity markets have appreciated sharply in recent years, and
valuations, based on price - to - earnings ratios, in developed
markets were not cheap relative to their historical averages as
of late 2017.
«As alluded to earlier when discussing the long - term upward drift in CAPE, another related but distinct headwind for contrarian stock
market timing in the second half
of our sample has been the decades - long
valuation drift in post-World War II
equity markets, over which the CAPE gradually doubled.
Along with the steepest
equity valuations in U.S. history outside
of 1929 and 2000 (on measures that are actually reliably correlated with subsequent
market returns), private and public debt burdens have reached the most extreme levels in history.
«M&A activity globally is very high, which is common in the late stages
of an
equity bull
market as both private
equity and corporate owners look to cash in on rich
valuations,» Lait explains.
And what about the
valuations of these funds using realistic mark to
market prices for the illiquid assets, like private
equity, commercial real estate and OTC derivatives?
For immediate release: January 31, 2018 Zecotek Announces Divisional
Equity Financing of $ 5,000,000 Based on $ 75 Million Valuation Vancouver, January 31, 2018 — Zecotek Photonics Inc. («Zecotek» or the «Company»)(TSX - V: ZMS, Frankfurt: W1I, OTC PINK: ZMSPF), a developer of leading - edge photonics technologies for healthcare, industrial and scientific markets, is pleased to announce that it has closed on a previously announced divisional equity financing of $ 5 mi
Equity Financing
of $ 5,000,000 Based on $ 75 Million
Valuation Vancouver, January 31, 2018 — Zecotek Photonics Inc. («Zecotek» or the «Company»)(TSX - V: ZMS, Frankfurt: W1I, OTC PINK: ZMSPF), a developer
of leading - edge photonics technologies for healthcare, industrial and scientific
markets, is pleased to announce that it has closed on a previously announced divisional
equity financing of $ 5 mi
equity financing
of $ 5 million.
We believe
valuations of select emerging - country
equity and sovereign bond investments remain attractive relative to those available in developed
markets.
Last week, the U.S.
equity market climbed to the steepest
valuation level in history, based on the
valuation measures most highly correlated with actual subsequent S&P 500 10 - 12 year total returns, across a century
of market cycles.
Equities are essentially 50 - year duration investments at current
valuations, and even if investors are passive and don't hold any view about future
market returns at all, one
of the basic principles
of financial planning is to align the duration
of ones assets with the expected horizon over which the funds are expected to be spent.
When
valuations move from elevated levels to historical lows over the span
of several
market cycles, the result is a «secular bear
market» and headlines about the permanent death
of equities.
Given the absence
of a public trading
market of our common stock, and in accordance with the American Institute
of Certified Public Accountants Accounting and
Valuation Guide,
Valuation of Privately - Held Company
Equity Securities Issued as Compensation, our board
of directors exercised reasonable judgment and considered numerous and subjective factors to determine the best estimate
of fair value
of our common stock, including independent third - party
valuations of our common stock; the prices at which we sold shares
of our convertible preferred stock to outside investors in arms - length transactions; the rights, preferences, and privileges
of our convertible preferred stock relative to those
of our common stock; our operating results, financial position, and capital resources; current business conditions and projections; the lack
of marketability
of our common stock; the hiring
of key personnel and the experience
of our management; the introduction
of new products; our stage
of development and material risks related to our business; the fact that the option grants involve illiquid securities in a private company; the likelihood
of achieving a liquidity event, such as an initial public offering or a sale
of our company given the prevailing
market conditions and the nature and history
of our business; industry trends and competitive environment; trends in consumer spending, including consumer confidence; and overall economic indicators, including gross domestic product, employment, inflation and interest rates, and the general economic outlook.
The additional factors considered when determining any changes in fair value between the most recent
valuation report and the grant dates included, when available, the prices paid in recent transactions involving our
equity securities, as well as our operating and financial performance, current industry conditions and the
market performance
of comparable publicly traded companies.
We utilized the arm's - length transactions
of our
equity securities in the secondary
market since our most recent common stock
valuation date, February 25, 2013, and the tender offer completed on March 4, 2013 to estimate the fair value
of our common stock.
We utilized the arm's - length transactions
of our
equity securities in the secondary
market since our most recent common stock
valuation date, May 15, 2013, to estimate the fair value
of our common stock.
Of course, that final line — that there is a new, higher «equilibrium valuation of equities» — is surely to remind some market historians of Irving Fisher's famous line that stocks had reach a new «permanently high plateau» on the eve of the 1929 stock market crash which ushered in the Great Depressio
Of course, that final line — that there is a new, higher «equilibrium
valuation of equities» — is surely to remind some market historians of Irving Fisher's famous line that stocks had reach a new «permanently high plateau» on the eve of the 1929 stock market crash which ushered in the Great Depressio
of equities» — is surely to remind some
market historians
of Irving Fisher's famous line that stocks had reach a new «permanently high plateau» on the eve of the 1929 stock market crash which ushered in the Great Depressio
of Irving Fisher's famous line that stocks had reach a new «permanently high plateau» on the eve
of the 1929 stock market crash which ushered in the Great Depressio
of the 1929 stock
market crash which ushered in the Great Depression.
For instance, as measured by price - to - earnings (P / E) and price - to - book (P / B)
valuations metrics, EM stocks continue to trade at a roughly 30 % discount to the broader global
equity market (source: MSCI, as
of 3/31/2015).
Despite their outperformance year to date, EM
equities remain attractively valued compared to their historical
valuations and to the
valuations of their developed
market counterparts.
Despite my admitted stumble in the half - cycle since 2009, it's perplexing that the
equity market is at the second greatest
valuation extreme in the history
of the United States, on what are objectively the most durably reliable
valuation measures available, but it has somehow become an affront to suggest that this will not end well.
It is not without its faults, but it is a decent way to look at the overall
valuation of the
equity market and the potential total returns over the next 10 years.
I have several models that take the measure
of equity valuations, and they all reach the same conclusion — this
market is stretched.
For example, our effort to carefully account for the impact
of foreign revenues, and to create an apples - to - apples measure
of general
equity valuation led us to introduce MarketCap / GVA, which is better correlated with actual subsequent 10 - 12 year
market returns than any
of scores
of measures we've studied.
Starting
valuations explain roughly 10 %
of U.S.
equity market returns over the following year but 87 %
of returns over the next 10 years, according to our analysis back to 1988.
This private
equity investment mark - to -
market «Picasso» leads to extreme «over-marking»
of private
equity investment
valuations at pension funds.
If you are looking for a place to ride out these choppy
market waters while awaiting more compelling
equity valuations, the short end
of the US investment - grade corporate bond
market looks to be a less risky part
of the
market.
Putting aside the performance
of bonds during the bear
market beginning in 1980 (both because the starting yields on Treasuries were so high but also because the bear
market was relatively mild as the decline began from relatively low levels
of valuation), what's interesting about the above chart is how dependably bonds protected a portfolio during
equity bear
markets.
Bottom line: U.S.
equities are the least dirty shirt
of global
equity markets, although high
valuations keep our return expectations in check.
This chart shows the median (because it is less sensitive to outliers) and upper + lower quartiles
of emerging
market equity valuations across countries.
In 2002 he co-founded STL Capital Partners, LLC, which, until 2015, advised middle
market companies involved in various capital
market transactions including private placements
of debt and
equity securities, mergers and acquisitions, leveraged buyouts and
valuations of securities, and provided merchant capital in private transactions.
The gains over the last six years have been much more impressive in the U.S. and, as a result,
valuations of many foreign
equity markets remain more attractive than the stretched
valuations in the U.S., in our opinion.
JPM has a beta
of 1.2, indicating that the
equity market valuation is more volatile than the broad
market or asset peers such as WFC.
Unlike other
valuation proxies, the Rule
of 20 has been reliable in all types
of equity markets and economic environments since it incorporates inflation in the
valuation process (click on chart to enlarge).
It's awareness
of historical context that is important in terms
of elevating risk management at any point in time, since
equity market valuations are guideposts.
One
of my favorite Twitter follows @LadyFOHF shared the below scatter chart from Morgan Stanley that attempted to map areas
of the global
market that were both cheap (
valuation ranks at the lower end
of its 10 - year history) and defensive (a low or negative correlation to global
equities).
With the sentiment around lithium almost universally bullish, the recent hammering
of lithium
equity share prices can be traced back to one or two reasons: either as a sign that
valuations had exceeded reality or a specific catalyst has injected a dose
of reality into the
markets.
In contrast, the professional managers that operate downstream
of individual investor flows, and that manage the various investment vehicles that provide those investors with
equity exposure, probably exert less control over the
market's absolute
valuation.
Equity Markets: It's worth noting that at a forward P / E ratio
of just over 17x for the S&P 500,
valuations do not appear to be stretched.
Following one
of the worst periods for value on record, and with the style still trading at significant
valuation discounts even after a nascent rally, we believe there is cause for cautious optimism, and that «value unbound» describes the most compelling opportunity in
equity markets today.
Stock
markets are tumbling int he wake
of the decision but given the recent strength in
equities, in the face
of the rising interest rate expectations, we don't expect a serious move lower after the decision, despite the
valuation concerns.
One
of the great anomalies
of investing: The historical long - term outperformance
of certain smart beta or factor - based strategies relative to the broader
equity market (think choosing stocks based on their
valuations, momentum, low volatility or quality metrics such as profitability).
One thing we know for certain is this: The cyclicality,
valuations, and economic fundamentals
of the
equity markets will continue to change.