It is unique in being a seat that has a majority
of ethnic minority voters, but a Conservative Member of Parliament - a sign that the party does not struggle to quite the same extent with Hindu voters as it does with Muslim or black voters.
Politics: Harrow East is a traditional marginal seat between Labour and the Conservatives, and has remained so despite the growing numbers
of ethnic minority voters.
Analysis
of ethnic minority voters on the YouGov panel suggests that the degree of Conservative support among ethnic minority voters, and the shift away from Labour and towards the Conservatives, may not be as large as Survation online data suggests.
Backed up by polling showing Labour streaking ahead in London, it's easy to see the basis of this trend, even if certain seat - specific results look odd - lots
of ethnic minority voters, lots of young voters and students, lots of young professionals, and lots of angry Remainers make for lots of Labour votes.
At the 2010 election, only 16 %
of ethnic minority voters supported the Conservatives.
Popular commentary in the past year has focused on the Party's difficulty in winning the support of aspirational C2 voters, as well as the difficulty in winning larger numbers
of ethnic minority voters over to the Conservatives.
The detail is buried away in Lord Ashcroft's latest poll
of ethnic minority voters.
Not exact matches
Influenced by advisors whose white nationalists views are well known, the president has waged a propaganda war against
ethnic and religious
minorities, stoking fear and hate by lying about crime rates, terrorist attacks, and
voter fraud and by issuing executive orders that have already hurt many thousands
of people around the world, including desperate refugee families.
«It's definitely true that in many ways, white evangelicals and black Protestants or black evangelicals, or evangelicals from other racial and
ethnic minorities have a lot in common,» the Pew Research Center's associate director, Greg Smith, told NPR for its exploration
of the true number
of evangelical
voters.
Put
minority voters together, so they have a better chance
of getting a representative from the same
ethnic or racial background.
The report strengthens the hand
of Tory modernising groups like Bright Blue, which want the party to appeal to young and
ethnic minority voters.
She ended the session with a much less irritating attack on changes to the electoral register which will almost certainly see thousands
of disadvantaged and
ethnic minority voters fall off the list.
This analysis confirms what we might have anticipated from the evidence
of the polls — local authorities appear to contain more Leave
voters if there was a large vote for UKIP there in the 2014 European elections, if there was a small vote for parties
of the «left» (Labour, Liberal Democrats, Scottish and Welsh Nationalists and Greens) on the same occasion, and in places with relatively low proportions
of graduates, young people, and people from an
ethnic minority background.
However, there was absolutely no mention
of an entire street
of Labour - voting
ethnic minority voters not being able to speak English either in her Guardian report or elsewere.
The
ethnic minority vote could be decisive in the next general election, according to new research highlighting the enhanced power
of Black and Asian
voters in 2015.
These seats also have very low numbers
of voters who tend to remain resistant to Ukip, including university graduates,
ethnic minorities and people in professional and economically secure occupations.
Campaigns like the «Go Home» vans or spot checks at London Tube station - or Cameron's photo opportunity with immigration officers in the home
of an alleged undocumented immigrant - go down like a bucket
of sick with
ethnic minority voters.
The reported comments come amid allegations Crosby sidelined a Sikh aide because he promoted the idea
of making Tories more appealing to
ethnic minority voters.
For Labour, concessions to this by constant apologies that the last government got it «wrong» on immigration or saying there are «legitimate concerns» on immigration are seen in the same way and risk repelling significant sections
of the electorate, especially among those Labour needs to win over or persuade to turn out — notably 2010 Liberal Democrats and
ethnic minority voters.
Many
ethnic minority voters are worried about immigration, like their white counterparts, but they are much more sensitive to some
of the more draconian elements
of the system, which have been allowed to run amok as the Tories try to invite Ukip
voters back to the party.
Electorally, Labour also stands to lose most from pursuing such a xenophobic line as it will alienate
ethnic minority voters who are a major component
of the most deprived sections
of the working class, and are a core constituency
of its support in most metropolitan areas.
68 %
of ethnic minorities voted Labour at the last election compared with 31 %
of white
voters.
He easily eclipsed Ken Clarke, the Tory grandee who had turned up to lend his support, suggesting that the Tory leader's big tent approach to candidate selection — particularly in a constituency where 62 per cent
of voters are from
ethnic minorities — may pay dividends.»
Speaking to The Daily Telegraph, the first female Muslim Cabinet minister urged Mr Cameron let her carry on so that she could help the party attract a new generation
of women, working class and
ethnic minority voters.
At the last General Election, more than two thirds
of voters from Britain's black and
ethnic minority (BME) communities supported Labour; only 16 % voted for us (source: Ethnic Minority British Election Study (PDF)
ethnic minority (BME) communities supported Labour; only 16 % voted for us (source: Ethnic Minority British Election Study (PD
minority (BME) communities supported Labour; only 16 % voted for us (source:
Ethnic Minority British Election Study (PDF)
Ethnic Minority British Election Study (PD
Minority British Election Study (PDF)-RRB-.
Labour certainly has to find ways
of reaching out to and reconnecting with the so - called «left behind» Ukip
voters but without - to borrow a line from activist and commentator Ellie Mae O'Hagan - throwing immigrants - and, for that matter, British - born
ethnic minorities - under the bus.
But its evident both from the thrust
of Lord Ashcroft's report and from polling commissioned by the Runnymede Trust that Indian - origin
voters - especially Hindus - are more receptive to the Conservatives than other
ethnic and religious
minorities.
Appealing to the north
of England, working class
voters and
ethnic minorities with an aspirational agenda was at the heart
of this launch, with a focus on «bread and butter issues such as the cost
of living,» as well as ensuring environmental problems aren't merely seen as a concern
of the left.
Accordingly I had a feeling
of quiet vindication when I read «Degrees
of separation -
Ethnic minority voters and the Conservative Party» by Lord Ashcroft.
The presence
of a northern woman in the cabinet will not be the silver bullet to the issue
of Tory unpopularity with urban
voters and women, just as Sajid Javid's appointment has not made the Tories more appealing to
ethnic minorities.
The research, conducted by internet polling company Survation, suggested that the longstanding link between
ethnic minorities and the Labour party was fraying, and that the Conservatives might at last be breaking through with
minority voters, having achieved a 33 % share
of the 2015
ethnic minority vote overall or «one million» new
voters for the party, and with a lead over Labour among Hindu
voters.
Our evidence fits with other research suggesting that traditional partisan loyalties to Labour are fading away among
ethnic minority voters, producing an electorate more willing to «shop around» and consider a range
of other political options, including the Conservatives, the Greens and UKIP.
I have argued that the Party had made strategic errors through tokenism and ignorance; that it doesn't matter if we think we're not racist but
ethnic minority voters do, and that it's time to end the Conservative war on multiculturalism (which, by the way, is supported by 71 per cent
of Tory
voters).
Last year he admitted that many
ethnic minority voters in his target seat
of Dudley North, held by a Labour majority
of just 649, think that the Tories «remain a racist party».
The scale
of this challenge is not yet at U.S levels, but given that Britain under 18 is considerably more diverse than the current electorate, it will become increasingly unlikely at each election there will be a future Conservative majority government without making considerable progress among
ethnic minority voters.
As Lord Ashcroft puts it: «the Conservative Party's unpopularity among black and Asian
voters is not simply a matter
of class and geography... Among
ethnic minority voters the Conservatives» brand problem exists in a more intense form.»
Labour's problem is their now heavy reliance on two types
of voter:
ethnic minorities and public sector workers.
After the political Cabinet which reviewed the party's electoral performance, one Minister told me: «A number
of the problems that were there haven't gone away — our attractiveness to
ethnic minority voters, for instance.»